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New Mason-Dixon polls just released: FL+4; OH:+2; WV:+8; MN:+1; NM:+5; IA:5; AR:+8; NV:+6
MSNBC ^ | 10/30

Posted on 10/30/2004 6:18:41 PM PDT by ambrose

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To: ambrose
The only worrisome number in all of this is Kerry up 48 - 46 in Wisconsin. The best numbers are Bush up 49 - 45 in Florida, 48 - 46 in Ohio, and 48 - 47 in Minnesota.

Given the recent polls that put Ohio in question and with Minnesota seemingly beyond our grasp in the opinion of many pundits, I really want Wisconsin, where the President has had a lead for quite a while.

I thought I heard that Gallup was due to release a Minnesota survey? Anyone got details?
61 posted on 10/30/2004 6:29:28 PM PDT by StJacques
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To: ambrose

Looks good. A kerry aide of CNN though was talking about how he expects another car bomb or two in Iraq before the election. He said if this happens, they will jump on it as examples of Bushs' inept strategy. How sick tyo capitalize on our service men's deaths.


62 posted on 10/30/2004 6:29:33 PM PDT by xuberalles
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To: ambrose
Michigan polls have been fairly consistantly -1 or -2.

Turnout will determine the winner here.

63 posted on 10/30/2004 6:29:42 PM PDT by Dan from Michigan ("Dead or alive, I got a .45 - and I never miss!!!" - AC/DC - Problem Child)
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To: Saratogamema; All
You bring up a very good point.
All my FR friends, go out tomorrow AM. Go to church, visit relatives, prepare for the football games, drink heavily. The Sunday morning talk shows will only aggravate you tomorrow. And they will have no real bearing on the outcome of the election. It is the last gasp chance for the libs to try to change your mind.
64 posted on 10/30/2004 6:30:01 PM PDT by ProudVet77 (W stands for Winner)
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To: teletech

SWEET! electoral-vote.com should be interesting in the morn!


65 posted on 10/30/2004 6:30:30 PM PDT by BladeLWS
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To: ambrose
A little last-minute campaigning by UBL, and lookie what happened.

However, I still really, really, really (really) hope that somehow Mr. Kerry's Less-than-honorable discharge info sees the bright light of day tomorrow or Monday. THAT would clinch it.

66 posted on 10/30/2004 6:30:34 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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To: federal

In that case these are old numbers and I predict the later numbers will have President Bush up even more.


67 posted on 10/30/2004 6:30:35 PM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: Raycpa
Thinking about job opportunities where you live, would you say there are jobs generally available in your community, or are jobs generally hard to find?

Jobs in PA aren't hard to find, but you have to be willing to start at $8.00 an hour, not $15.00. PA is heavily controlled by unions.

68 posted on 10/30/2004 6:30:55 PM PDT by airborne (God answers all prayers. Sometimes the answer is ,"No".)
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To: ambrose

That's it. Game over. Bush wins on Tuesday, barring some cataclismic event. The Mason-Dixon polls were what I was really waiting for, and now I don't have any worries anymore. Woohoo!


69 posted on 10/30/2004 6:31:04 PM PDT by merzbow
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To: federal

They did not. Right there in the Header on the webpage it says this :
MSNBC/Knight-Ridder polls conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling
and Research from Oct. 27 through Oct. 29, 2004


70 posted on 10/30/2004 6:31:11 PM PDT by aft_lizard (Actually i voted for John Kerry before I voted against him.)
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To: federal
It says the Minnesota polls were updated form 27th thru 29th, The rest were done between the 10th and the 18th.

That graphic is not correct. The accompanying story confirms ALL these polls were conducted Oct 26 - 29.

This is unbelievably good news!

71 posted on 10/30/2004 6:31:13 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: ambrose

the verbage on the link is VERY confusing. When was this dadt obtained???? I read several pieces of info regarding this question.


72 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:15 PM PDT by rface (Ashland, Missouri - Monthly Donor / Bad Speller)
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To: All

Is this poll up-to-date or not? Don't leave us hanging, please.


73 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:21 PM PDT by tirednvirginia
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To: comebacknewt
You have got to be kidding me. (wink) These results are from THE most reliable statewide pollster and they are FANTASTIC.

If they hold, we are looking at an absolute blowout on election day.

Anything from the most accurate state poll people showing W with a + anything is fine with me! :)

74 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:31 PM PDT by teletech (Friends don't let friends vote DemocRAT)
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To: teletech

Twice the article says that these polls were done Oct 27 to 29th. Towards the bottom it says these polls were done Oct 15 to 18th.

I have to assume they were done Oct 27 to 29th. Mason Dixon did polls last week. Why would MSNBC post polls from two weeks ago?

The Oct 15th to 18th must be a misprint.


75 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:39 PM PDT by Tester10
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To: Batrachian
It's the same as 2000 except we are up in MN and NM which Gore took.

I'll take it, though

76 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:46 PM PDT by zeebee (John Kerry- whichever way the wind blows)
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To: rface
May we assume you've been drinking heavily?

(Not that there's anything wrong with that)

77 posted on 10/30/2004 6:32:56 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: YaYa123
Here are the results of my very own just completed nationwide poll, using all of my free cell phone minutes during nights and weekends...

1. Among registered viters, Bush leads Kerry, 48-46

2. Among likely voters, Bush leads Kerry, 49-43

3. Among actual voters ( that is, those who will get their lazy asses up out of bed and really go vote) Bush leads Kerry, 53-40

4. Among voters who will claim the next day that evil Republicans wouldn't allow them to vote, Kerry leads Bush 99-1..

78 posted on 10/30/2004 6:33:11 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: Strategerist

Maybe blowout isn't the right word, but if these numbers are correct, it will be a decisive victory on Tuesday. Perhaps so great that F'n won't even contest it (but I'm not holding my breath on that one).


79 posted on 10/30/2004 6:33:15 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: ambrose
New Mason-Dixon polls just released: FL+4; OH:+2; WV:+8; MN:+1; NM:+5; IA:5; AR:+8; NV:+6.

Something else about these numbers that is worth noting. With the exception of Ohio, Bush is running 2-5 points better in these states than he did in 2000. In Ohio, which is only now finally trending clearly in his direction (better late than never!), he is now running only a point or so less than he did in 2000, when he defeated Gore by 3.5% In Michigan, another hugely important state, he is running three points better than he did four years ago. Now, keep in mind that four years ago the GOP GOTV was poor (causing Bush to underperform in all of these closely contested states), while this year it should be much stronger.

80 posted on 10/30/2004 6:33:52 PM PDT by kesg
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