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CNN/Gallup Post Debate Poll Internals Show Bush Surge on Leadership on Terrorism: Bush 56% Kerry 39%
Gallup ^ | 10/09/2004 | Whitman

Posted on 10/09/2004 1:08:22 PM PDT by timbuck2

On who can better handle the issues of terrorism and Iraq, viewers moved more toward Bush than Kerry after the debate...

...Viewers also gave increased support to Bush on terrorism, initially favoring the president by 52% to 45%, but favoring him by an even larger margin after the debate, 56% to 39%.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; debate; gallup; iraq; kerry; kewl; poll; polls; seconddebate; terrorism
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That's a 17 point advantage on handling terrorism. Need I explain why this spells trouble for Kerry?

-T

1 posted on 10/09/2004 1:08:23 PM PDT by timbuck2
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To: timbuck2

Yep. Its not good. I don't think Kerry can overcome a 17 point gap in the three weeks that are left in this race. He really blew it last night and its just as well liberals are in a state of complete denial.


2 posted on 10/09/2004 1:11:49 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: timbuck2

Oh but if we vote for Kerry we also get the wisdom of the UN to protect America with powerful resolutions declaring suicide bombing can be hazardous to your health. /sarcasm


3 posted on 10/09/2004 1:12:20 PM PDT by Xcoastie (It is more difficult to organize peace than to win a war - Aristotle)
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To: timbuck2

Add this good news to the recent rasmussen daily tracking poll results (www.rasmussenreports.com), and the Prime Minister in Australia winning reelection, and we have a lot of good news. The key, however, is going to be turnout. I expect the other side to push the law as much as possible and cry fowl to distract us. Get the Bush supporters to the polls on election day and we will win.


4 posted on 10/09/2004 1:13:29 PM PDT by GodBlessAmericaKD
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To: timbuck2

"Demonstrated he is tough enough for the job" also has a Bush advantage by 53/40. But they say this is a 13 % drop for Bush (???).


5 posted on 10/09/2004 1:13:40 PM PDT by FairOpinion (FIGHT TERRORISM! VOTE BUSH/CHENEY 2004.)
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To: timbuck2

That 17 point Terrorism spread will convert into a 6 point election spread across the board of polls by Tuesday. Dickie Morris was right, Bush won. When MSM is calling it a tie, that translates to a Bush win in average American eyes.


6 posted on 10/09/2004 1:13:59 PM PDT by Bushruffneck
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To: timbuck2

This is key and exactly what the pundits were trying to spin away from last night.

Boy I wonder when Kerry will surprise us with the news that he was in Vietnam. I be that will change things....... ;-)


7 posted on 10/09/2004 1:15:38 PM PDT by festus (Proud and Practicing Member of the Pajama Posse)
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To: goldstategop
I sorta like the Lib media now spinning things for Kerry. It sets up the kool-aid drinkers for a huge emotional down fall on election night. :0)

Going to be fun watching DU explode. Gotta remember to buy lots of popcorn. Heehee...

8 posted on 10/09/2004 1:21:45 PM PDT by demlosers (The FreeRepublic Pajama Press!)
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To: timbuck2
I hope people remember this, when they vote.

"Most of the people who died on 9-11 had a job with health care and retirement benefits. The air at ground zero became an environmental disaster within seconds. A strong economy depends on keeping commercial airline ballistic missiles from being launched into Wall Street. Social security is more than an adequate pension; it requires living long enough to retire. “No Child Left Behind” has taken on special meaning with the news that federal agents have advised school district officials in Georgia, Florida, Michigan, New Jersey, Oregon and California that al Qaeda may have American children in their cross-hairs. The most important thing isn’t finding WMDs in Iraq—it’s not finding them here.

On November 2, keep in mind what mattered most on 9-11."

The Undecided: No More Beating Around the Bush

9 posted on 10/09/2004 1:22:35 PM PDT by FairOpinion (FIGHT TERRORISM! VOTE BUSH/CHENEY 2004.)
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: timbuck2

I guess these pollsters didn't see the media all over the networks this morning talking about Bush's bad performance last night...


11 posted on 10/09/2004 1:23:44 PM PDT by I still care (America is not the problem - it is the solution..)
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To: timbuck2

How can Kerry numbers be so low? I mean everyone knows Kerry has a plan! (Tongue firmly in cheek).


12 posted on 10/09/2004 1:25:39 PM PDT by The Hound Passer (Sitting home in protest this Nov is a vote for Kerry and Co.)
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To: Bushruffneck
Prediction:

Bush - 50.X%
Kerry 48.X%
Other 1.X%

Bush - 295 EV
Kerry - 243 EV

13 posted on 10/09/2004 1:27:37 PM PDT by savedbygrace
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To: The Hound Passer

Indeed!
(See tag line)...


14 posted on 10/09/2004 1:28:11 PM PDT by Conservatrix ("He's a barf." --- Sophia T., Age 4, on John Baldrick "I have a cunning plan" Kerry)
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To: timbuck2

That's really weird about the economy, and that this is the only poll so far handing the debate win to Kerry, though Bush mopped the floor with him. My daughter, who was listening to the rerun of it this morning, thought the president did surprisingly well on the economic questions.


15 posted on 10/09/2004 1:30:34 PM PDT by cake_crumb (UN Resolutions=Very Expensive, Very SCRATCHY Toilet Paper)
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To: timbuck2
Y'all might enjoy this preview posted on Hugh Hewitt's website about what Kerry can expect in the final debate, from a former Navy boxer who knows his stuff. Ketchup Boy will go down. Here's the background on next week's take-down:

"Hugh,

I wrote after the first debate when it seemed you and I were the only ones who thought the President had won. I stand by my original analysis with the boxing analogy. Bush was able to land some strong blows this round, and once again Kerry did not hurt him at all. After this round Bush is stronger and loose (just warming up). Kerry is breathing hard (labored), and his right eye is swelling up.

Bush tagged him hard, a right to the face, with the liberal label. Giving his opponent a bloody nose. All Kerry could manage was a wobbly backpedal into the ropes.

NOTE: Good boxers never move backwards, they always slip or defend by moving laterally or they cover and counter attack.

Bush has denied Kerry any room on the right. Exposing Kerry's weakness on the right (flip/flop right/wrong war etc.). With his right eye swelling shut, Kerry is now committed to moving to the left. Bush owns the right. He can work over Kerry's right eye, jabbing with his left hand (credibility, flip/flop, denigrating allies.) while setting him up for a decisive attack from Bush's right against Kerry's left.

Reverting to his leftward bias exposes Kerry to Bush's strong right hand. The President has closed off the escape routes. Leading up to the next debate, expect Team Bush to deploy their right hand agressively. Kerry's left hand counter punches over Bush's right hand have lost speed and strength and no longer poses a threat to the President. Kerry simply lacks the ability(credibility) to deliver a solid blow from the left rendering his only weapon impotent.

Bush is fighting his fight. Kerry has no way to maneuver for a decisive blow. In the third debate expect the President to attack with impunity hitting Kerry with his right hand, head and body achieving a decisive knock down if not a KO. It's going to be bloody.

Take Care,
LCDR John R. Tucker
A former Navy boxer"

What an image eh? To complete the touch, one might well say Kerry's "Read my flips, no new taxes" illustrates he doesn't even bring former President Bush's - the President's father - Bush 41's once vaunted credibility on taxes to the table insofar as domestic policy is concerned. What a position to be in with three weeks to go in this campaign.

16 posted on 10/09/2004 1:32:53 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: savedbygrace

Three words: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida. Bush must win two to be re-elected.


17 posted on 10/09/2004 1:34:25 PM PDT by pabianice
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To: pabianice

Bush will win OH and FL. I think PA's more like icing on a sweet cake. We'll see November 2nd.


18 posted on 10/09/2004 1:36:51 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: pabianice
It's been a few days since I ran that projection, but IIRC, I put Florida and Ohio in the President's column.

Those are the two states with the largest threat of vote registration fraud right now, so it is dicey.

19 posted on 10/09/2004 1:38:54 PM PDT by savedbygrace
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To: timbuck2
But, but... Kerry is tougher on America!
20 posted on 10/09/2004 1:49:55 PM PDT by unspun (RU working your precinct, churchmembers, etc. 4 good votes? | Not "Unspun w/ AnnaZ" but I appreciate)
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