Posted on 10/02/2004 1:45:56 PM PDT by tsmith130
Edited on 10/02/2004 2:53:28 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET
New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Excerpt, the rest of the article is here: NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Kerry comitted huge blunders, but the fact that Bush didnt jump on them right then and there means that when the Bush campaign attacks Kerry for Global Test, Iran Nuclear Fuel and No Bunker busters, the public will less likely to listen.
God how I wish Jeb won in 1994!!!!
Bush needs to view Kerry as a bigger threat than Bin Laden. He needs Zell Miller as his debate coach.
Same here. If the sampling is skewed in the other direction, I'll write it off as Newsweek manufacturing momentum for Kerry. If not, I might be concerned. But for now, I'm not worried. I doubt a single debate would trash Bush's lead so quickly, especially when the post-debate polling shows most people's minds *not* changing even though most felt Kerry won.
Newsweek Poll
First Presidential Debate
Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Final Topline Results
(10/2/04)
N = 1,013 Registered Voters
Margin of error: plus or minus 4
Interviewing dates: September 30-October 2, 2004 (interviewing on 9/30
limited to the Pacific and Mountain time zones after the presidential
debate concluded)
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR TOTAL ADULTS:
1,144 Total adults (plus or minus 3)
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
1,013 Total Registered voters (plus or minus 4)
481 Men (plus or minus 5)
532 Women (plus or minus 5)
345 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
364 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
278 Independents (plus or minus 7)
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR DEBATE VIEWERS SUBGROUPS:
770 Debate viewers (those who say they watched at least some of the
debate) (plus or minus 4.1)
369 Men (plus or minus 6)
401 Women (plus or minus 6)
265 Republicans (plus or minus 7)
274 Democrats (plus or minus 7)
215 Independents (plus or minus 8)
Does your wife understand that your son will have a weak-willed, incompetant commander in chief if kerry is elected??
Does your wife understand that George W. Bush LOVES the men and women in the military and has supported them completely??
Does your wife understand that your son will be serving in the cause of FREEDOM and PEACE if he goes to Iraq?
Does your wife understand that what one hears on the STINKING NEWS is not even CLOSE to what's really happening in Iraq??
Have her talk to any number of vets who've been there........and ask why almost every single one of them is voting for President BUSH.
For the sake of your son, Bush HAS to be reelected.
Well spoken!!
Paul Harvey stated last week that there were 5,500 people killed on the job last year...How does that relate to a war!
I kinda got offended. I threw out 32 years if being a democrat. And all my past hertiage has been one of dems. I am the first that has done it. I got my hubby, one of my sons and 3 of my daughters to switch parties as well.
and fraud will put Kerry over the top
seems like too many women. Should be about 51% female
I will be suprised if that happens.
117 posted on 09/21/2004 8:32:57 PM EDT by the_rightside
Any more negatives?
Just askin.'
He spent the day with hurricane victims in Florida.
You need some tinfoil if you think it has anything to do with a conspiracy.
Yep, me too. I think Bush came off very poorly in the debate and to try and convince myself otherwise would put me on the same level as the Kerry Koolaid drinkers. Despite that, it's just one debate, most polls haven't shown a big effect from it, and Bush has plenty of time to make a better showing. It's still Bush's race to lose.
And don't forget this from the CNN/Gallup poll. So who am I suppsoe to belive CNN/Gallup or Newsweek?
Kerry/Bush
Expressed himself more clearly 60%/32%
Had a good understanding of the issues 41%/41%
Agreed with you more on the issues you care about 46%/49% Was more believable 45%/50%
Was more likable 41%/48%
Demonstrated he is tough enough for the job 37%/54%
Gallup Poll post 1st 2004 Election Debate
(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...
So why is it so many Freepers suffer from "McCainism" this deperate need to be hypercritical and hysteric about how their own side is doing?
If fraud puts Kerry over the top. It is the end of the Union and the beginning of CW2.
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