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To: Yardstick

Newsweek Poll
First Presidential Debate
Princeton Survey Research Associates International

Final Topline Results
(10/2/04)

N = 1,013 Registered Voters
Margin of error: plus or minus 4
Interviewing dates: September 30-October 2, 2004 (interviewing on 9/30
limited to the Pacific and Mountain time zones after the presidential
debate concluded)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR TOTAL ADULTS:
1,144 Total adults (plus or minus 3)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
1,013 Total Registered voters (plus or minus 4)

481 Men (plus or minus 5)
532 Women (plus or minus 5)

345 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
364 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
278 Independents (plus or minus 7)

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR DEBATE VIEWERS SUBGROUPS:
770 Debate viewers (those who say they watched at least some of the
debate) (plus or minus 4.1)

369 Men (plus or minus 6)
401 Women (plus or minus 6)

265 Republicans (plus or minus 7)
274 Democrats (plus or minus 7)
215 Independents (plus or minus 8)


425 posted on 10/02/2004 3:14:38 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: West Coast Conservative

seems like too many women. Should be about 51% female


433 posted on 10/02/2004 3:17:15 PM PDT by OhGeorgia
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To: West Coast Conservative

Wow, that was quick! Thanks for the numbers.

It looks like they've reversed themselves and sampled more Democrats this time. A clear case of manufacturing the mo', in my opinion.


445 posted on 10/02/2004 3:19:57 PM PDT by Yardstick
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To: West Coast Conservative

N = 1,013 Registered Voters
Margin of error: plus or minus 4
Interviewing dates: September 30-October 2, 2004 (interviewing on 9/30
limited to the Pacific and Mountain time zones after the presidential
debate concluded)

345 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
364 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
278 Independents (plus or minus 7)




Does anyone else notice any glaring red flags here? The 30th was limited to the Mountain and Pacific Times. It does not say how many people were interviewed on that date. And an over-sampling of "independent" voters.


459 posted on 10/02/2004 3:22:14 PM PDT by Hoboto
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To: West Coast Conservative
"(interviewing on 9/30 limited to the Pacific and Mountain time zones after the presidential debate concluded)"

So they're saying they polled the LEFT COAST late on Thursday, in addition to polling on Saturday MORNING???

Newsweek is also the poll that had Kerry +7 (7/29-30) and Bush +11 (9/2-3).

Sorry, I just don't buy this. Extremely flawed sampling. Newsweek must know and wants to sell some magazines.

475 posted on 10/02/2004 3:24:30 PM PDT by Sooth2222
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To: West Coast Conservative; cyncooper

They oversampled on Democrats...


483 posted on 10/02/2004 3:26:17 PM PDT by Dog
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