Move On: Full Page Ad in NYT Slamming Gallup

NY Times | Sept 28 | MoveOn.org

[jern]

The ad text:

WHY DOES AMERICA’S TOP POLLSTER KEEP GETTING IT WRONG?

If John Kerry believed in the Gallup poll, he might as well give up. A couple of weeks ago,a highly publicized Gallup poll of “likely voters” showed President Bush with a staggering 14-point lead.

But wait a minute. Seven other polls of likely voters were released that same week. On average, they showed Bush with just a three-point lead. No one else came close to Gallup’s figures. And this isn’t the first time the prestigious Gallup survey has been out on a limb with pro-Bush findings.

What’s going on here? It’s not exactly that Gallup’s cooking the books. Rather, they are refusing to fix a longstanding problem with their likely voter methodology.

Simply put, Gallup’s methodology has predicted lately that Republican turnout on Election Day is likely to exceed Democrats’ by six to eight percentage point. But exit polls show otherwise: in each of the last two Presidential elections, Democratic turnout exceeded Republican by four to five points. That discrepancy alone can account for nearly all of Bush’s phantom 14-point lead.

This is more than just a numbers game. Poll results profoundly affect a campaign’s news coverage as well as the public’s perception of the candidates.

Two media outlets, CNN and USA Today, bear special responsibility for this problem. They pay for many of Gallup’s surveys, in exchange for the right to add their names to the polls and trumpet the results first. They wind up acting as unquestioning promotional partners, rather than as critical journalists. The public would be better served if journalists asked some tough questions, beginning with the Gallup Organization, which has been asked to select the audience for the Bush-Kerry “town meeting” debate on October 8.

George Gallup Jr., son of the poll’s founder, was the longtime head of the company and now directs its non-profit research center. Why hasn’t he pushed for an update of the company’s likely voter modeling, which his own father pioneered in the 1950s?

Gallup, who is a devout evangelical Christian, has been quoted as calling his polling “a kind of ministry.” And a few months ago, he said “the most profound purpose of polls is to see how people are responding to God.”

We thought the purpose is to faithfully and factually report public opinion.

[MOgirl]

Hello,

This is now officially a banner day. 1st, I got to see the video of Gore stalking Bush at one of the debates (2000), Bush shreds him with one look. Now, I have the thrill of this ad, in the NYT, wherein the Left eats it's own. I just couldn't be happier.

Glad to be here, MOgirl

[NorCoGOP]

"Looks like the rattlesnakes are committing suicide."

Mississippi Burning.

Good analogy.

[Tempest]

The beatings shall continue until you have set yourself on or Orwellian agenda.

[Petronski]

Get those traders back in here!!!

[aft_lizard]

No Kidding, its wonderful to see them waste money, if I was soros I would be demanding a refund.

[satchmodog9]

Funny how that works.

[MeekOneGOP]

George Soros today on WABC 770am NYC news on the half hour said he was going to spend another $15 million dollars to defeat President George W Bush.

I heard today he was giving an additional $20 million on WBAP 820AM.

They played a short blip about [paraphrased] 'there are more terrorists signing up against the US since 911'.

Hey, you a-hole Soros: Keep your Hungarian Socialist nose outta our business !! We're killing those bas*ards over THERE to keep them out of HERE!

[Robert A Cook PE]

You found their "key words" - They are using their hatred of his RELIGION to attack the numbers they didn't like!

So tolerant, these liberals, ya know!

[MeekOneGOP]

Hey! Look what I just found .....

Soros Resurfaces to Bash Bush, Boost Kerry

[willNJ]

Ah-hah, He's Christian so moveon dosen't like him, that figures

[Grampa Dave]

The fact that the NY Slimes accepted blood money from George $oreA$$es puppet, Move On, shows the total lack of any character in the ownership of the NY Slimes.

Of course the people who pay for a NY Slimes or subscribe to it, will be voting several times for their butt boy Kerry.

[dixiechick2000]

"George Soros today on WABC 770am NYC news on the half hour said he was going to spend another $15 million dollars to defeat President George W Bush."


My wishes for November 3...

1. We are looking forward to the inauguration of President Bush.

2. George Soros is broke.

[builder]

The ORANGEMAN and his fellow members of the Frenchocrat party are just trying to "buck-up" the base. They are so afraid of how most voters are soft in their support of Kerry that they won't bother going to vote if they feel he is losing.Plus throwing religion into the mix just fires up the manic base, that hates religion,which is a sizable part of their voters.

[<1/1,000,000th%]

We thought the purpose is to faithfully and factually report public opinion.

Just like Dan Rather does.

[blackie]

The lunatic left just doesn't get it!

[Faraday]

The socialists are DEJECTED that their candidate has been REJECTED, not SELECTED.

[68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub]

Kerry : Help is on the way!
Hanoi Jane Partners with MoveOn.Org
Click Here

John F. Kerry
Timeline of a traitor.
Click Here

READ THIS INTERVIEW THAT KERRY GAVE in 1970
KERRY GAVE AID AND COMFORT TO THE VIET CONG

Harvard Crimson : Kerry refused order to destroy Viet Cong village

http://www.thecrimson.com/article.aspx?ref=352185

Published on Wednesday, February 18, 1970
John Kerry: A Navy Dove Runs for Congress

By SAMUEL Z. GOLDHABER

Crimson Staff Writer

"...One time Kerry was ordered to destroy a Viet Cong village
but disobeyed orders and suggested that the Navy Command
simply send in a Psychological Warfare team to be
friend the villagers with food, hospital supplies,
and better educational facilities."

Free online version of
Kerry's "The New Soldier"
You can read it online right now.

[Duke Nukum]

Maybe anti-American Bush Haters like Soros and MoveOn is causing moore people to become Republicans?

If I were a Democrat these days, I'd be ashamed to admit it.

Luckily, I'm not.

[mware]

Gallup, who is a devout evangelical Christian,

I guess Gallup should be glad that Move-On is not in the Middle East. The crime of being a Christian could lose you your head.

[Duke Nukum]

I'm surprised NYT hasn't run it pro bono, as a "news" story.