Posted on 09/23/2004 12:54:32 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
President George W. Bush is trusted on moral leadership and seen as the better candidate to handle terrorism and Iraq, and Democrat John Kerry is strong on the issues of health care and the economy. Overall, Bush holds his post-convention edge over Kerry, a FOX News poll finds, though the presidential race remains tight.
The new national poll of likely voters shows Bush ahead of Kerry by 45 percent to 43 percent. In the three-way matchup Bush is backed by 46 percent of voters, Kerry 42 percent and independent candidate Ralph Nader one percent. The results are well within the poll's margin of error, and show just how divided the national electorate continues to be.
The poll finds Bush not only receives strong support from his core constituencies such as Republicans (92 percent), those living in the South (52 percent), and men (48 percent), but that he also cuts into his challenger's support among women — a voting group that has traditionally backed the Democratic candidate.
In 2000, over half of women voted for former Vice President Al Gore over Bush (54 percent to 43 percent), and in recent polls Kerry has held a slim lead among women. Today Bush slightly edges out Kerry among female voters: 44 percent to 42 percent.
Kerry receives some of his strongest support from young voters (57 percent), non-whites (62 percent), and those living in the West (49 percent).
Throughout the campaign the intensity of support has been higher among Bush voters than Kerry voters, but Kerry's numbers have been improving steadily. Today, over three-quarters of Bush voters (76 percent) say they support him "strongly," which is about where it has been for the last few months. Among Kerry voters, 72 percent support him "strongly" today, up from 64 percent a month ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
If I had to make a (another) prediction, it would be that you will see Nader's numbers gradually edge up. Kerry is too big a boob, and they will start to vote their evil consciences.
That adds up to only 89. Seems kinda late to be undecided.
Job approval = 50%
A 4-point lead is relatively consistent with the 6-point lead I think he currently has. Once undecideds split, he'll get about 60% of them, so look for him to win by 7-points, barring some major catastrophe between now and election day.
And about that major catastrophe, I'm sure someone at DU has received their circa 1971 Olympia and is typing it up now.
Bush 46, Kerry 42, Nader 1
Impossible. I simply refuse to believe this.
It bothers me that a large minority of voters, and perhaps even a majority, will vote for such a sorry excuse for a statesman as Kerry for President.
Kerry has NOT broken 42%. And I have a feeling even that's generous. At the rate he's melting down, he'll be lucky to get 40% on Election Day.
Maybe the Freepers should start campaigning for Nader!
I look for the gap to close dramatically over the next few weeks....The Kerry-Nader gap, of course.....
Oh a Democrat would get 45% in a good year. But Kerry is getting less than that. And now that he's decided to run from the Hard Left, he's down basically to the ABB Crowd and Michael Moore voters. That's all he'll get come Nov. 2nd.
The 9/9 Fox poll was an outlier too. It had Bush 47, Kerry 43 and Nader 3. No movement in this poll which is good for Bush.
IMHO, this is because the left, and rightly so, knows that most Americans are too damn lazy to do any real work to locate the truth to any one issue. They rely on Dan, Tom,& Peter to TELL them how to feel & think.
A fair and balanced moment which CBS is not a part of.
The moment is greatly appreciated.
Dubya is trusted overall, and Kerry is tossed a bone and shown as being strong in his "big government" spending agenda.
It's a stinker. They should have chucked it and tried again; poll-taking is not that gd hard to do.
Is Fox still using Opinion Dynamics? Never cared for their ops methodology...
In 1992, Carville and Begala helped put together a campaign that got the RAT candidate 43% of the popular vote. I look for them to duplicate that achievement in 2004.
And he isn't or better?
"Jesus loves me, this I know, for the polls tell me so". John Kerry stated today, "I want to win, I want victory...
Heartfelt by the public? I don't think so.
Also, show me a quote from a Kerry supporter that states a liking for Kerry's agenda, and not just a total dislike for Dubya alone for a reason for supporting the election of Kerry.
November 2nd = a Bush landslide.
Remember, fox weights their poll ala Zogby, assuming 35% Republicans, 39% Democrats.
Nobody will be able to find one. The problem is that I think many of the undecideds are looking for a reason to vote for Kerry. And if his campaign continues to pick things up, we could be in trouble. (I'm sure to be in the FR minority in thinking that Kerry's campaign has improved in the last few weeks, since taking on the Clintonistas. Of course, his campaign was so bad he only had one direction to go.)
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