Posted on 09/02/2004 2:50:42 PM PDT by MplsSteve
I don't want to be thought of as the splash of cold water on the success of the GOP Convention so far. It think it's going great and Kerry is lookinga little battered right now.
However, he is far from dead. This race is far from over. Kerry has a Rasputin-like ability to come back from the dead. We all need to realize this.
With that in mind, click on the link to yesterday's commentary on RealClearPolitics.com.
Opinions anyone?
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
it's never over until it's over and (kudos to Hugh Hewitt) IF IT AIN'T CLOSE THEN THEY CAN'T CHEAT!
If araRATfink still manages to stay alive and rule, ketchupman will live on to vex everyone.
Because he's still lying.
I think it is a great point because just like the democrats thought the country already decided Bush had to go things can turn on an instant. That being said if I were a betting man I would not dare bet against W.
To borrow a quote about Calvin Coolidge, "How can they tell?"
Yes, its true Kerry did just that during the Dem primaries. HOWEVER, there are a LOT of factors in W's favor:
Kerry's campaign IS imploding--for now
The economy is moving the right way
stock market is up on last day of convention--historically, when this happens, incumbent wins
All but one poll shows W's approval >50%-again, incumbents always win when approval rating is at or above 50 at this stage in the campaign
Even media pundits admit the RNC's speeches have been head and shoulders better than the DNC's
9/11
The new crop of 18-21 voters seems much more conservative than those aged 18-21 in 2000
As evidenced by what? He hasn't been in a real tough campaign in his life. Why do you suppose he decided to run up here in Massachusetts as a Liberal? Because it was eeeeeeasy. He's in a dogfight now and his opponent is starting to salivate as he zeroes in on Kerry's jugular.
I'll admit I was worried about W's chances back in March / April, but he has steadily improved his position since then and is in great shape heading for November.
John Kerry has only survived this long because the press is batting for him.
Terry McAuliff is lying through his teeth in front of every camera he can get in front of.
The Democrats did not lay off the campaigning through the RNC convention.
They are doing damage and spin control for Kerry because he has been unable to pull a rabbit out of his hat, and if he still can't manage it before the middle of October, he's as good as no longer in the race.
A longtime liberal Dem I know said today at lunch that he despises Kerry, and that it's all over.
Kerry is not dead because the Mainstream Media Whores lie to the American people every day about JFK and GWB.
Because there are still a few people who don't know the truth about him yet.
But he is brain dead, don't you agree?
John Kerry has tried to sprint for the entire marathon. George Bush has run his race at an easy pace that has kept him fresh. He'll sprint the last 100 yards.
"Kerry has a Rasputin-like ability to come back from the dead. "
Give me one example.
Because he's pining for the fjords.
Kerry's comebacks have all been in Massachusetts. He's not talking to a predominately liberal audience now and his military record wasn't of much consequence to Mass voters as they generally aren't strong supporters of the military.
He's not dead? I've seen him speak and could have sworn he was a corpse...
Of course he's not dead. Of course the campaign is far from over. Of course all the work is ahead.
But saying "Kerry can come back" isn't a prediction based on solid facts. If Kerry could have done something to rid himself of the Swift vets, he would have. He could have signed form 180. End of story.
Fashionable pessimism is fine if that's one's personal quirk. No one here htinks Bush is going to slide into a second term, whatever our exuberant comments.
But you'd have to be blind not to see Kerry is sinking fast. Recognizing that isn't unrealistic.
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