Battlegrounds States Poll - August 23, 2004

WALL STREET JOURNEL ^ | August 23, 2004 | Wall Street Journel Online

[COURAGE]

The contest for the White House remains tight, according to the latest Zogby Interactive poll of likely voters in 16 battleground states. Although the map is awash in blue, with President Bush leading in only two of the battleground states, down from the three states he held three weeks ago, the results in three-quarters of the states in the survey are within the margin of error -- meaning those states remain very hotly contested. Mr. Kerry holds the top spot in 14 of the 16 polled states, up from 13 in the previous poll.

[tbpiper]

Fan of irony aren't we? Otherwise why would one chose a screen name that's the very antithesis of one' mettle?

[TheBigB]

"We're domed, domed, domed!"

[Nataku X]

Who knows if Kerry is leading or not (probably not), but Zogby's 21 point shift proves that he's smoking some pretty impressive acid. Rasmussen shows no movement over the past 2 months and most state polls generally haven't deviated that much.

[LibLieSlayer]

Is that you Master Yoda? ;-)

LLS

[Owen]

[Pulls wrinkled piece of paper from pocket and reads]

Folks, none of this matters. The only activism that matters right now is GOTV. Please, please call the campaign and volunteer to register new voters in GOP neighborhoods. The electorate must be expanded and it must be expanded with GOP voters. It's the only useful way to focus energy.

[puts paper back in pocket and trudges off to next poll thread]

[TheBigB]

Knew your father, I did!

[LS]

It is getting grimer and grimer, and your guy is in deep sh*t. Bush now has about 320 EVs by any serious (non-partisan) poll. He now has OH and FL. AZ, NC, AR, and MO are drifting into the "locked up" category, and NM, IA, WI are all tied. In other words, dear troll, your guy can't count on ONE state Gore lost in 2000, while Bush is now tied or leading in about 5 Gore states. So sad.

[ultima ratio]

1. Zogby's state polls are a joke. They have never been accurate--ever.

2. Bush is ahead in FL, OH, TN, WV, AR, MO, CO, and is closing in on WI, MN, and MI. He may even take PA and NJ.

3. Kerry is now fighting a two-front defensive war. His attempt to blame Bush for the swiftboat ad is getting nowhere.

4. Kerry has lost ground in the swing states, according to Gallup. In fact, his entire campaign is losing altitude fast.

5. Bush still has big cards to play. Despite the 60million bucks of 527s aimed at him, plus the free advertising supplied nightly to the democrats by the media, Bush's numbers keep rising steadily.

6. Karl Rove has got to be delighted. The swifties have clobbered Kerry for weeks and all Kerry has done was whine and complain and beg Bush to stop being such a meanie. He thinks this will make the whole thing backfire--which means he's incredibly stupid. If he can't run a campaign, how is he gonna run a war on terror?

7. You meant "grimmer," not "grimer."

[justin-garrett]

courage*hiding under the bed right now*

[COURAGE]

Yea, what poll you talking about that MO is in the bag? I guess we all can stay home. It's in the bag.

 

                      

Missouri 2004 Polls

Presidential Race - 11 Electoral College Votes

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Spread	2000 Vote
Zogby Interactive | 8/16-8/21	852 LV	3.4	48.8	49.3	0.9	Kerry +0.5	Bush +4
SUSA | 8/15-8/17	643 LV	4.0	48	47	-	Bush +1	-
Rasmussen | 7/1-7/31	LV	5.0	50	46	-	Bush +4	-
Zogby Interactive | 7/26-7/30	949 LV	3.2	48.2	48.8	0.8	Kerry +0.6	-
Zogby Interactive | 7/19-7/23	n/a	3.1	48.1	48.8	1.5	Kerry +0.7	-
Research 2000 | 7/20-7/22	802 LV	3.5	45	48	-	Kerry +3	-
CNN/USAT/Gallup | 7/19-22	636 LV	5.0	48	48	-	TIE	-
KC Star | 7/13-20	600 RV	4.0	44	46	-	Kerry +2	-
Zogby Interactive | 7/6-7/10	n/a	3.3	46.8	50.1	0.7	Kerry +3.3	-
SUSA | 7/6-7/8	755 LV	3.6	48	46	-	Bush +2	-
Rasmussen | 6/1-6/30	LV	5.0	48	44	-	Bush +4	-
Zogby Interactive | 6/15-6/20	n/a	3.1	48.6	47.9	1.0	Bush +0.8	-
LA Times | 6/5-6/8	566 RV	4.0	48	37	5	Bush +11	-
Zogby Interactive | 6/1-6/6	n/a	2.7	48.6	47.6	0.9	Bush +1	-
Rasmussen | 5/1-31	LV	5.0	44	43	-	Bush +1	-
Zogby Interactive | 5/18-23	n/a	4.3	43.9	47.2	2.1	Kerry +3.3	-
Rasmussen | 3/23	500 LV	4.5	49	42	-	Bush +7	-

Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

---

Senate Race

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bond (R)	Farmer (D)	Spread	1998 Vote
SUSA | 8/15-8/1	643 LV	4.0	55	38	Bond +17	Bond +9

Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

---

Gubernatorial Race

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Blunt (R)	McCaskill (D)	Spread	1998 Vote
SUSA | 8/15-8/1	639 LV	4.0	49	44	Blunt +5	n/a

RCP Polling Information

Head-to-Head: Bush-Kerry
3-Way: Bush-Kerry-Nader
Bush Job Approval

State Polls
AL	LA	OH
AK	ME	OK
AZ	MD	OR
AR	MA	PA
CA	MI	RI
CO	MN	SC
CT	MS	SD
DE	MO	TN
FL	MT	TX
GA	NE	UT
HI	NV	VA
ID	NH	VT
IL	NJ	WA
IN	NM	WV
IA	NY	WI
KS	NC	WY
KY	ND

[LS]

I do hope you stay home. That's one less Kerry voter. But if you think Missouri is going to vote Kerry, especially after the primary turnout . . . heheheheheheheh.

[TomServo]

[COURAGE]

NV is in the bag too.

 

                      

Nevada 2004 Polls

Presidential Race - 5 Electoral College Votes

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Spread	2000 Vote
Zogby Interactive | 8/16-8/21	501 LV	4.4	46.0	47.7	2.3	Kerry +1.7	Bush +4
Research 2000| 8/14-8/17	600 LV	4.0	44	42	2	Bush +2	-
SUSA | 8/14-8/16	520 LV	4.4	49	46	-	Bush +3	-
Rasmussen | 8/15	500 LV	4.5	47	46	-	Bush +1	-
Zogby Interactive | 7/26-7/30	505 LV	4.4	46.0	45.4	1.1	Bush +0.6	-
Zogby Interactive | 7/19-7/23	n/a	4.4	46.2	46.8	0.6	Kerry +0.6	-
Mason-Dixon | 7/20-7/22	625 RV	4.0	46	43	4	Bush +3	-
SUSA | 7/20-7/22	801 LV	3.5	45	49	-	Kerry +4	-
Zogby Interactive | 6/15-6/20	n/a	4.3	47.3	44.8	4.4	Bush +2.5	-
Zogby Interactive | 6/1-6/6	n/a	4.5	43.8	47.3	2.0	Kerry +3.5	-
Zogby Interactive | 5/18-23	n/a	4.3	43.5	47.3	2.8	Kerry +3.8	-
Mason-Dixon | 3/15-17	625 RV	4.0	49	38	4	Bush +11	-
SUSA | 2/11-12	505 RV	4.5	49	48	-	Bush +1	-

Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

RCP Polling Information

Head-to-Head: Bush-Kerry
3-Way: Bush-Kerry-Nader
Bush Job Approval

State Polls
AL	LA	OH
AK	ME	OK
AZ	MD	OR
AR	MA	PA
CA	MI	RI
CO	MN	SC
CT	MS	SD
DE	MO	TN
FL	MT	TX
GA	NE	UT
HI	NV	VA
ID	NH	VT
IL	NJ	WA
IN	NM	WV
IA	NY	WI
KS	NC	WY
KY	ND

[TheBigB]

Have you noticed that part where they're hauling that guy up on the ledge and Huge is in the background just losing it? I mean, he's got his hand over his face laughing! :)

[COURAGE]

Oh, yes, CO, no problem there!

 

                      

Colorado 2004 Polls

Presidential Race - 9 Electoral College Votes

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Spread	2000 Vote
Rasmussen | 8/19	500 LV	4.5	47	47	-	TIE	Bush +9
SUSA | 8/14-8/16	622 LV	4.0	47	47	-	TIE	-
Mason-Dixon | 6/15-6/18	n/a	3.5	48	43	-	Bush +5	-
Rasmussen | 4/15	500 LV	4.5	49	44	-	Bush +5	-
RMN/News 4 | 3/31-4/1	400 LV	4.9	49	40	4	Bush +9	-

Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

---

Senate Race

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Coors (R)	Salazar (D)	Undec	Spread	1998 Vote
Rasmussen | 8/19	500 LV	4.5	45	49	4	Salazar +4	n/a
SUSA | 8/14-8/16	618 LV	4.0	48	47	5	Coors +1	n/a

 

RCP Polling Information

Head-to-Head: Bush-Kerry
3-Way: Bush-Kerry-Nader
Bush Job Approval Hello out there'; ?>

State Polls
AL	LA	OH
AK	ME	OK
AZ	MD	OR
AR	MA	PA
CA	MI	RI
CO	MN	SC
CT	MS	SD
DE	MO	TN
FL	MT	TX
GA	NE	UT
HI	NV	VA
ID	NH	VT
IL	NJ	WA
IN	NM	WV
IA	NY	WI
KS	NC	WY
KY	ND

 

[italianquaker]

Zogby polls have the same credibility as the ny times
zero
w2004
ciao

[LS]

Last poll I saw Bush was up three there (meaning he's up 5-6). But keep dreaming trolldude. If you really think MO or NV or AZ or NC or AR will go for Kerry, I have real estate near Mt. Vesuvius you should check out.

[bilhosty]

Look how out of line zogby interactive polls are with others on the link below! interactive polls are not reliable because they are "self selected". Even in their regular polls there is about a 2% Dem bias.

I guarantee you if we are leading in Ohio and West Virginia with the margins shown we would not be loosing Tennessee and Arkansas and Missouri as shown.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html

[COURAGE]

NJ, we have it already.

 

                      

New Jersey 2004 Polls

Presidential Race - 15 Electoral College Votes

Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Spread	2000 Vote
Research 2000 | 8/18-8/19	600 LV	4.0	41	52	2	Kerry +11	Gore +15
Strategic Vision*| 8/6-8/9	801 LV	3.0	40	49	5	Kerry +9	-
Quinnipiac | 7/30-8/2	996 RV	3.1	36	49	6	Kerry +13	-
Rasmussen | 7/1-7/31	LV	5.0	38	51	-	Kerry +13	-
Star Ledger | 7/30	624 RV	4.0	32	52	6	Kerry +20	-
FD Public Mind | 7/20-7/26	834 RV	3.5	43	45	-	Kerry +2	-
Rasmussen | 6/1-6/30	LV	5.0	41	51	-	Kerry +10	-
Quinnipiac | 6/15-6/20	1,167 RV	2.9	40	46	7	Kerry +6	-
Rasmussen | 5/1-5/31	LV	5.0	39	51	-	Kerry +12	-
Quinnipiac | 5/10-16	1,122 RV	2.9	43	46	5	Kerry +3	-
Star Ledger | 4/28 - 5/4	643 RV	4.0	37	43	-	Kerry +6	-
Rasmussen | 4/20	500 LV	4.5	39	51	-	Kerry +12	-
FD PublicMind | 4/3-10	802 RV	3.5	48	44	5	Bush +4	-

*Strategic Vision is a Republican polling firm
Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

RCP Polling Information

Head-to-Head: Bush-Kerry
3-Way: Bush-Kerry-Nader
Bush Job Approval

State Polls
AL	LA	OH
AK	ME	OK
AZ	MD	OR
AR	MA	PA
CA	MI	RI
CO	MN	SC
CT	MS	SD
DE	MO	TN
FL	MT	TX
GA	NE	UT
HI	NV	VA
ID	NH	VT
IL	NJ	WA
IN	NM	WV
IA	NY	WI
KS	NC	WY
KY	ND

Now, now. You forgot to take your meds again, right?

[edwin hubble]

"It's getting grimer and grimer."

grimer ?