Posted on 08/23/2004 5:31:31 PM PDT by Nascardude
. Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Who would you vote for?
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Nader/ Camejo Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 46 48 2 4 2004 Jul 19-22 46 50 1 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 45 45 3 7 2004 Jul 19-22 44 49 2 5
National Results
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Nader/ Camejo Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 46 48 3 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 45 46 5 4
2. (Asked of Nader voters) If Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in your state on Election Day, would you vote for Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, or Bush and Cheney, the Republicans?
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 47 48 5 2004 Jul 19-22 47 50 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 46 46 8 2004 Jul 19-22 45 49 6
National Results
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 47 50 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 47 48 5
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush has handled the response to the hurricanes that hit Florida last week?
Approve Disapprove No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 71 16 13
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Jeb Bush has handled the response to the hurricanes that hit Florida last week?
Approve Disapprove No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 76 15 9
5. How worried are you that you or your family will suffer significant property damage or financial loss caused by a hurricane in the area where you live -- very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all?
Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried Not worried at all Already suffered loss No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 19 33 27 19 1 1
6. Have you, personally, ever suffered significant property damage or financial loss as a direct result of a hurricane hitting the area where you live, or not?
Yes No No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 17 83 * Based on 507 Florida adults in Form A. For results based on this sample, the maximum margins of sampling error are ±5 percentage points.
7. Have you, personally, suffered significant property damage or financial loss as a direct result of either Hurricane Bonnie or Hurricane Charley hitting the area where you live, or not?
Yes No No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 10 90 * Based on 495 Florida adults in Form B. For results based on this sample, the maximum margins of sampling error are ±5 percentage points.
Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,002 Florida adults, aged 18+, conducted August 20-22, 2004. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
For results based on the sample of 859 registered voters in Florida, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
Results for likely voters in Florida are based on the subsample of 671 survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2004 Presidential Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions and past voting behavior. For results based on the total sample of likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points. Based on past voting history in Florida, turnout is assumed to be 50% of the voting age population.
Approximately 4% of all interviews were conducted in Spanish.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Only the beginning, Kerry's records will show that his first purple heart was issued for a self inflicted wound absent enemy fire. There is a witness for this and Kerry's people are trying to get out front on it by admitting that this wound may have been self inflicted.
The Sifties aren't gonna stop. They are in for a penny and in for a pound and if/when the American on the fence finds out that the author is a guy who voted for Al Gore in 2000, Kerry will take an even bigger hit.
Sometimes the truth outs, this may be one of those times despite the piss poor journalism currently being practiced in this country.
The sight of the Lanny Davis' and Boston Globes of this world attacking Vietnam POW's and Bob Doles of this world is beyond the pale and almost humorous. Almost.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1195371/posts
Sat. after watching Fox and Friends, and hearing Ellen Ratner try to "defend" Kerry, I posted that there were "Five Signs that the Swifties are Killing Kerry."
1) He is not campaigning when he said he wouldn't; he is spending $500,000 that he doesn't have or need to be spending now trying to counter these ads; 3) Ratner said twice that the Republicans were "unfair"; 4) The hosts and Ratner stumbled into using the word "lie" or "lies" in the context of Kerry's "defense" (meaning the L word is out there); 5) the Dems are calling out the lawyers---a sure sign of desperation.
I agree. Bush is up in Fl. (I think trade will become an evening bigger issue within the orange growers now they hurt by the hurricane. Also He seems up in MO, Southern boarder states and MO. WV, Mich, NV, NM, Wisc, Ohio seems tied and Kerry has a slight lead in Penn, NH, Org, Wash, NJ.
huh. I expected nader to do better in FL, but every little bit helps, I suppose.
on top of californicate.
Did anyone actually read the poll results?
Gallup Ping
FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.
Did you? I just got here.
+2% is much better than +527 votes, rushmom. and I believe that more than a 1% margin will not trigger an automatic recount.
Naders is on the ballot in fl right? I mean half the world was last time.
Yeah. Bush has lost ground in Fla.
Sorry that the article is so messy. Here are the actualy poll results:
Bush 48%
Kerry 47%
Bush 48%
Kerry 46%
Nader 2%
Bush also gets a 71%-16% approval rating from Florida voters for his handling of the aftermath of Hurricane Chuck. Brother Jeb gets a 76%-15% approval rating.
Thanks for the good news. It's nice seeing GW ahead.
Is there a pattern forming here? lol
Democratic vice presidential candidate John Edwards (news - web sites) shakes hands with diners during a visit at Delta Family Restaurant in Oshkosh, Wis., Monday, Aug. 23, 2004. (AP Photo/The Oshkosh Northwestern, Shu-Ling Zhou)
Where did you hear that there is a witness for the first purple heart wound?
This is the trial of the century...
As a Georgian, I have felt all along that the polls showing Kerry ahead in FL have been bogus. And I think Bush is up, there, by more than Gallup shows. Gallup does have some credibility with me. But, as for your predictions, I think PA is a longshot . . . Heinz money will buy it. But I agree with you on all the rest. However, I do believe, if I am not mistaken, that the abbreviation for Iowa is IA, not IO.
No, those people who vote twice, along with the felons in prison, are only in the Zogby sampling formula, not Gallup.
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