Posted on 08/23/2004 5:31:31 PM PDT by Nascardude
. Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Who would you vote for?
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Nader/ Camejo Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 46 48 2 4 2004 Jul 19-22 46 50 1 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 45 45 3 7 2004 Jul 19-22 44 49 2 5
National Results
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Nader/ Camejo Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 46 48 3 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 45 46 5 4
2. (Asked of Nader voters) If Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in your state on Election Day, would you vote for Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, or Bush and Cheney, the Republicans?
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 47 48 5 2004 Jul 19-22 47 50 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 20-22 46 46 8 2004 Jul 19-22 45 49 6
National Results
Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Neither/other/ no opinion Likely Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 47 50 3 Registered Voters 2004 Aug 9-11 47 48 5
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush has handled the response to the hurricanes that hit Florida last week?
Approve Disapprove No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 71 16 13
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Jeb Bush has handled the response to the hurricanes that hit Florida last week?
Approve Disapprove No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 76 15 9
5. How worried are you that you or your family will suffer significant property damage or financial loss caused by a hurricane in the area where you live -- very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all?
Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried Not worried at all Already suffered loss No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 19 33 27 19 1 1
6. Have you, personally, ever suffered significant property damage or financial loss as a direct result of a hurricane hitting the area where you live, or not?
Yes No No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 17 83 * Based on 507 Florida adults in Form A. For results based on this sample, the maximum margins of sampling error are ±5 percentage points.
7. Have you, personally, suffered significant property damage or financial loss as a direct result of either Hurricane Bonnie or Hurricane Charley hitting the area where you live, or not?
Yes No No opinion Florida Adults 2004 Aug 20-22 10 90 * Based on 495 Florida adults in Form B. For results based on this sample, the maximum margins of sampling error are ±5 percentage points.
Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,002 Florida adults, aged 18+, conducted August 20-22, 2004. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
For results based on the sample of 859 registered voters in Florida, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
Results for likely voters in Florida are based on the subsample of 671 survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2004 Presidential Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions and past voting behavior. For results based on the total sample of likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points. Based on past voting history in Florida, turnout is assumed to be 50% of the voting age population.
Approximately 4% of all interviews were conducted in Spanish.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Cool bump!
Go Nader!!
Yahoo, Yipee, Oh Yah, Life is Great! Go Swift Vets!
The Swifties lay waste to all in their path. "Crush the enemy and the lamentation of the women" -- Conan the Barbarian aka Ahnold.
Next to Floriduh.
Don't be too hard on 'em whilst they be learnin how ta vote! Ya cain't be espectin 'em ta lern ta spell at duh same time, how can ya? (snort!)
Florid'oh! Thanks...
Ping
This makes sense in light of the fact that Gallup is about the only national poll that has showed Bush having a consistent national lead over the last two weeks or so.
I hope they're right.
At any rate, I'm convinced that Bush is ahead in OH, FL, NV, MO, AZ, AR, NC and is tied or slightly ahead in IO, NM, and WI. He is getting close in NJ and MN.
By election day, he'll add PA and either OR or NJ and get close to 320 EVs.
If Rummy leaves I nominate John O'Neill as the new Secretary of Defense in the second term.
. .. And this result was achieved even though the areas hardest hit by Charley were largely Republican and still not accessible by phone!
Still too close though.
Does this exclude or include the 46,000 Democrat voters who voted in both NY and Florida..
God bless your analysis, and I hope you're right.
Oh! By the way!! What does "sionnsar" spell???
Hey now, not allus Flarda peeple are ignernt!
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