[LS]

I think only Gallup, for whatever reason, has figured out cell phones/call screening in their samples. Ras seems to get part of it, because he always has Bush at 51-53% JA rating and a very close congressional rating, which SIMPLY DOESN'T COMPUTE to a Kerry lead.

At any rate, I'm convinced that Bush is ahead in OH, FL, NV, MO, AZ, AR, NC and is tied or slightly ahead in IO, NM, and WI. He is getting close in NJ and MN.

By election day, he'll add PA and either OR or NJ and get close to 320 EVs.

[rushmom]

God bless your analysis, and I hope you're right.

[MrChips]

As a Georgian, I have felt all along that the polls showing Kerry ahead in FL have been bogus. And I think Bush is up, there, by more than Gallup shows. Gallup does have some credibility with me. But, as for your predictions, I think PA is a longshot . . . Heinz money will buy it. But I agree with you on all the rest. However, I do believe, if I am not mistaken, that the abbreviation for Iowa is IA, not IO.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

If GW takes MN, he will carry OR and NJ.

[justshutupandtakeit]

Thanks to your prediction I will sleep soundly tonight.