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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Petronski

Yes, I do.


341 posted on 08/13/2004 11:30:29 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: mhking

Ft. Meyers Beach Cam

http://www.sunstream.com/beachcam.htm


342 posted on 08/13/2004 11:30:30 AM PDT by jimbo123
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
(Hint: Buy orange futures!)

I already did. That's why I asked. Thanx.

343 posted on 08/13/2004 11:30:33 AM PDT by bankwalker (We are having a cultural civil war and our side had better win it.)
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To: hawkaw

Some neighborhoods are only 5 feet above sea level.


344 posted on 08/13/2004 11:30:38 AM PDT by maggief
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To: ContemptofCourt

That's suicide.


345 posted on 08/13/2004 11:30:39 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: BurbankKarl

>>Anyone listening to the Hurricane Net? <<

What's the Hurricane net??


346 posted on 08/13/2004 11:31:13 AM PDT by sissyjane (You're either with us or against us.)
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To: Petronski

Yes. Projected to jeopardize the NE Florida (Atlantic) coast northward GA, Carolinas...


347 posted on 08/13/2004 11:31:39 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: jimbo123

WBBH-TV/WSVN-TV (NBC2/ABC7) Ft. Myers - Live video stream: http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo


348 posted on 08/13/2004 11:32:03 AM PDT by mhking
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To: hawkaw

The better hope they are not on the right hand side of the eye wall, if they are they will be lucky to live.


349 posted on 08/13/2004 11:32:07 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: maggiefluffs
Some neighborhoods are only 5 feet above sea level.

And the storm surge will be 15 to 18 feet .....

350 posted on 08/13/2004 11:32:14 AM PDT by hawkaw
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To: sissyjane
What's the Hurricane net??

That's what they try to catch the Hurricane in.

351 posted on 08/13/2004 11:32:52 AM PDT by OXENinFLA
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To: I still care

The breakdown I saw awhile ago was 4= extreme, 5=catastrophic.


352 posted on 08/13/2004 11:32:58 AM PDT by ican'tbelieveit
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Comment #353 Removed by Moderator

To: Petronski

354 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:01 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Dog Gone

Looking at the satellite pics, the secondary effect that I don't like the looks of is that band just north of Lake Okechobee (sp?). There are probably tornadoes being spawned from that band.


355 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:05 AM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: Mariner

"No power for a month"

Did a brown tree snake blow a transformer?? LOL!! That isn't funny though. I really lucked out! I am glad I didn't have to ride any out by myself, cause every time one came near, the ship left with my hubby on it! And I am a big weather chicken! We were there 93 - 95.


356 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:38 AM PDT by curlewbird
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To: Dog

Bonita was starting to get hit with wind and rain. The line kept going in and out, and finally went dead altogether. Prayers for your brother.


357 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:43 AM PDT by maggief
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To: Howlin

S**T, that pretty much takes it through Daytona. God save them all!


358 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:51 AM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: ApesForEvolution

Cantore on TWC sounds scared spitless!


359 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:56 AM PDT by mhking
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To: liz44040

That's about correct, local TV has the gusts at Ft. Myers now up to 51 mph


360 posted on 08/13/2004 11:33:59 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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