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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: ConservativeGadfly; NautiNurse; Amelia; Robert A. Cook, PE
See coverage in the Tampa Tribune http://www.tampatrib.com/ Lots of pics and some unconfirmed reports of minor damage in Lakeland. Sorry, can't deep link but it's all there on the front page.
2,261 posted on 08/13/2004 8:12:12 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (When it came to Intelligence, Kerry was absent)
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To: dstarr

Oh boy...well, I'll go with you, hoping that they evacuated and are fine in a shelter.


2,262 posted on 08/13/2004 8:12:33 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma (If only hamsters could vote.......)
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To: NautiNurse

That's what I was afraid of. The last time I heard that phrase was when I was in a mobile home and a tornado near:')


2,263 posted on 08/13/2004 8:13:08 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: katnip
We've been trying to phone friends in Cape Coral for hours now.

Phones are out in 95% of the area there. Best to try again in the morning. No power either--so it's hard to get around in the dark.

2,264 posted on 08/13/2004 8:13:24 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Jax radar
2,265 posted on 08/13/2004 8:13:41 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: NonValueAdded
Fort Myers News-press coverage.

Florida Newspapers list: http://www.usnpl.com/flnews.html

2,266 posted on 08/13/2004 8:15:37 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (When it came to Intelligence, Kerry was absent)
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To: Strategerist
The absolute wind max at landfall was pretty small, and somewhat dodged the really heavily populated areas.

No kidding! Please tell me more.

2,267 posted on 08/13/2004 8:15:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: ConservativeGadfly

Yes, it truly is!


2,268 posted on 08/13/2004 8:16:24 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: NautiNurse

And Earl is lurking out there...........YIKES!


2,269 posted on 08/13/2004 8:16:28 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: tapatio

Raleigh.


2,270 posted on 08/13/2004 8:18:23 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: NautiNurse

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2004/al03.2004/0813/1930/col02deg.png


Well, "Somewhat."

Have scattered chaser reports there is an area with Andrew-Like wind damage.....the reports from the absolute worst areas aren't in yet. But it missed Ft. Myers to the N...but part of the wind max did seem to get Port Charlotte, etc. A substantial, not huge, town.


2,271 posted on 08/13/2004 8:18:58 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NautiNurse; musicman
our house is BREATHING.... Please get into a safe room. Grab a mattress.

Gotta love freepers! Posting even as the roof is ripped off.

musicman - prayers for you and your family's safety!

2,272 posted on 08/13/2004 8:19:30 PM PDT by myprecious
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To: Strategerist

Err, make that Punta Gorda.


2,273 posted on 08/13/2004 8:19:46 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt; Howlin
Ah yes, I remember that LONG night well too. Of course I was the only one in my family awake all night listening to the transformers blowing and trees falling all night long. I don't EVER want to go through anything like that again.

We were lucky, we ended up with a smallish tree on our garage and several down in the back yard but no significant damage. We felt very fortunate after driving through town, the areas that we could even get through, and seeing rows of houses, every single one with trees on them.

We were at Crabtree tonight when the storm came through and they kept announcing on the PA system and the security guards were going to every store telling customers if they were parked on the lower parking deck level that they needed to go move their cars immediately because the parking deck was flooding. Can't imagine Crabtree Creek handling much more water tomorrow.

MKM

2,274 posted on 08/13/2004 8:19:49 PM PDT by mykdsmom (Kerry/Edwards: When you're as full of sh!t as these guys, you need 2 Johns!)
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To: CindyDawg; musicman

Jax radar showing the eye between I-95 and the beach, ust about two miles south of I-4.

Only a little more, and it will be at sea!


2,275 posted on 08/13/2004 8:19:55 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: Strategerist

Wow--you know a lot about the storms. What state are you in?


2,276 posted on 08/13/2004 8:19:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: NautiNurse

Maryland.


2,277 posted on 08/13/2004 8:20:17 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Joe Brower; NautiNurse; M Kehoe; 4integrity; floriduh voter; windchime; summer; gonzo

Thanks be to God that Sarasota/Venice were spared. Hope others are not suffering much damage.

We need a new roof so were not too upset at the thought of losing some tiles since our insurance might help with the replacement costs.

Have been praying for all my FL friends.


2,278 posted on 08/13/2004 8:20:20 PM PDT by JulieRNR21 (One good term deserves another! Take W-04....Across America!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

It is REALLY whippin as I type this !!! wow !!......

...any freepers who play the market.....IMHO....Lowes or Home Depot should do preety good after this....


2,279 posted on 08/13/2004 8:20:27 PM PDT by musicman
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

This guy on CNN says it could become a 3 again.


2,280 posted on 08/13/2004 8:20:35 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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