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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: LikeLight
Well, this "Why didn't we know where it was going to hit" is ridiculous.

If they asked me that, I'd just say, "You can't be serious." Ignorant!

2,201 posted on 08/13/2004 7:29:52 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: NautiNurse

Heck, if the printer were still upstairs in the shower, I'd go join the printer.

(Gotta save water ya know...)


2,202 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:02 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: NautiNurse

Did the plant make it?

Get that place cleaned up; I'm coming down!


2,203 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:06 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: LikeLight

You are right. The absence of major reports tells me that there is too much damage to get to the locations that are the worst off. The fact that this thing is still producing to gusts after being onshore for 7 hours should tell everyone that this was a beast. Tomorrow is going to prove that this thing did a ton of damage.


2,204 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:08 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: NautiNurse

Great pic, NautiNurse! Glad to hear you made it thru the storm OK. :-)


2,205 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:28 PM PDT by nutmeg ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Comrade Hillary - 6/28/04)
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To: Howlin

25 miles at the most.I am 6 houses from the A1A beachside due north of New Smyrna Beach-Edgewater area.


2,206 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:46 PM PDT by musicman
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To: musicman

Oops.


2,207 posted on 08/13/2004 7:31:53 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: nwctwx; LikeLight

*gusts to 100+


2,208 posted on 08/13/2004 7:32:16 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: musicman

We go to New Smyrna Beach all the time; it's not far from their house.

They are riding it out.....ugh!

You stay safe and keep posting!


2,209 posted on 08/13/2004 7:32:32 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: nutmeg; Howlin

LOL! Everyone (and I mean everyone) in my neighborhood was walking around in the road at sunrise this morning. We were all reporting our evac plans. I was carrying the can of spray paint. One neighbor cautioned against using profanity, in case Charley could read!


2,210 posted on 08/13/2004 7:37:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: musicman; Howlin; NautiNurse

Any reports from Lakeland? Got a father-in-law and grandfather-in-law there....


2,211 posted on 08/13/2004 7:38:32 PM PDT by ConservativeGadfly
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

I told ya I'll keep ya updated as soon as it gets better....
I don't want you to worry....got the local news on & if something happens you'll hear from me....(I'm on the wife's
laptop now......satellite PCM-CIA card,2 batteries,with another portable power scorce in reserve.

I luckily can still access FR even if we loose power...(fingers crossed)


2,212 posted on 08/13/2004 7:40:48 PM PDT by musicman
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To: ConservativeGadfly

Haven't heard reports about Lakeland--will listen up and let you know. Reports are always so spotty after dark. It's a long, frustrating wait to hear something. Hang in there.


2,213 posted on 08/13/2004 7:41:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: ConservativeGadfly
Lakeland was about 25 miles west of the eye, one short report indicated little major" damage there, but lots of "minor" problems.

Make sense?

Region and neighborhoods and whole buildings weren't destroyed (most likely, as far we know) but lots of trees down and power lines down and still raining/flooding hazards. Roof damaged, signs down etc almost certainly.

but the storm is past them now.
2,214 posted on 08/13/2004 7:44:24 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: ConservativeGadfly

My cousin who is there said no major damage in their neighborhood. Lots of wind & rain, some tree damage.


2,215 posted on 08/13/2004 7:46:35 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: musicman

Aiming right for those condo's in South Daytona Shores....

(And here I was, worried about the stupid hurricane coming FROM the ocean!)


2,216 posted on 08/13/2004 7:46:36 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you so much -- been watchin' this thread on and off and prayin' for all of you in the storm's pathway. Very glad to see your posts and pics!

I am sure they are ok, but I don't want to clog up needed phone line capacity cause I'm being a nervous ninny. They probably evacuated anyways.

And I'm in Washington DC, so any local FL news is good to know!


2,217 posted on 08/13/2004 7:46:38 PM PDT by ConservativeGadfly
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Eeeesh--Outer Banks likely for Charley. TS Danielle is born.


2,218 posted on 08/13/2004 7:47:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: Amelia

You know, with so many millions of cell phones outthere, the "phone lines down" problem is mitigated from previous storms!


2,219 posted on 08/13/2004 7:47:43 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: Gabz

Look out VA Capes!


2,220 posted on 08/13/2004 7:49:43 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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