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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: oceanview
Blitzer says "Bush needs to be on his best behavior" regarding this event.

Stop the world! I wanna get off.

1,661 posted on 08/13/2004 3:01:16 PM PDT by don-o (Stop Freeploading. Do the right thing and sign up for a monthly donation.)
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To: aberaussie

The eye is moving almost due north now, (about "Bridges" perhaps) and is well north of the Harding County - Desota County line.

Hmmmn.

Could pass west of Orlando ... ?


1,662 posted on 08/13/2004 3:01:20 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: SE Mom
That F-5 killed about 42 people west of us in Winter Garden skipped right over you and me and then laid down again and killed more people in the Sanford area. I will never forget that strange noise as it went overhead.

I did not hear a thing that night. I could not understand why my MIL called us in such a panic...until I turned on the tv. :-(

1,663 posted on 08/13/2004 3:01:39 PM PDT by aberaussie
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To: ksen
Hello! We have a dear family friend that lives in Orlando. I had no idea that she could be in danger from this storm. Could you (or others) give me an idea of what is heading that way. Thank you!

Prayers sent to all in the path of Charlie!!

Glad to be here, MOgirl
1,664 posted on 08/13/2004 3:01:56 PM PDT by MOgirl (In memory of Walton Wayne Callahan, I love you forever.)
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To: HipShot; NCjim; sissyjane; buccaneer81
Emergency Operations Center

Thanks.

1,665 posted on 08/13/2004 3:01:56 PM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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To: WoodstockCat

Hurricanes are like Democrats. Loud, dangerous, and they make you clean up the mess they made.


1,666 posted on 08/13/2004 3:02:46 PM PDT by WestVirginiaRebel (I'll put George W. Bush's four years in office over Kerry's four months in Vietnam any time!)
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To: Ichneumon

Emergency Operations Center....I couldnt make out the county.

Was on fire too...they were asking for Hams to respond


1,667 posted on 08/13/2004 3:03:35 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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Bookmark


1,668 posted on 08/13/2004 3:04:27 PM PDT by HipShot (EOM couldn't cut the head off a beer with a chainsaw)
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To: BurbankKarl

I heard that it was a false report.


1,669 posted on 08/13/2004 3:04:39 PM PDT by sissyjane (You're either with us or against us.)
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To: WestVirginiaRebel
Hurricanes are like Democrats. Loud, dangerous, and they make you clean up the mess they made.

Now that's REALLY good!

1,670 posted on 08/13/2004 3:05:26 PM PDT by jslade (People who are easily offended, OFFEND ME!)
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To: WestVirginiaRebel
Hurricanes are like Democrats. Loud, dangerous, and they make you clean up the mess they made.

I know this is a political board, but Jesus, please us, can we leave off that on threads like this?

Suggestion: Somebody start a Political Hurricane Charley thread.

1,671 posted on 08/13/2004 3:06:40 PM PDT by don-o (Stop Freeploading. Do the right thing and sign up for a monthly donation.)
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To: don-o

Tell me, Mr. Blitzer, what do you think Bush should have done? Worked harder to get a coalition to stop the hurricane? What a colossal idiot.


1,672 posted on 08/13/2004 3:06:45 PM PDT by WestVirginiaRebel (I'll put George W. Bush's four years in office over Kerry's four months in Vietnam any time!)
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To: jslade

But I thought that Democrats are like hurricanes: big sucking holes surrounded by hot air.


1,673 posted on 08/13/2004 3:06:55 PM PDT by Overtaxed
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To: Dont_Tread_On_Me_888; SE Mom
Grew up In Altamonte Springs, Mom still lives in the area and is working with Fl Emergency Management at one of the Ops Centers in Orlando. Just read that one collapsed. Have no way to contact her at this point. All of you are in my prayers.

Please ping me if you hear anything further.

Del

1,674 posted on 08/13/2004 3:07:30 PM PDT by Delmarksman (Pro 2A Anglican American (Ford and Chevy kill more people than guns do, lets ban them))
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1,675 posted on 08/13/2004 3:07:43 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: jslade

Hurricanes are like Democrats. Loud, dangerous, and they make you clean up the mess they made.
...and like Kerry...this hurricane has flip-flopped...


1,676 posted on 08/13/2004 3:07:47 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: NCjim

Carteret County......voluntary evacs so far.

http://www.wral.com/news/3610473/detail.html


1,677 posted on 08/13/2004 3:07:53 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: SE Mom
Yep- I'm in Casselberry- it's getting really dark...hang in there neighbor:)

I lived in Casselberry a long time ago, before all those stores and housing developments popped up on Red Bug Road.

It's probably so expensive to live there now huh? Pretty area. Good luck to you in this storm.

1,679 posted on 08/13/2004 3:08:24 PM PDT by katnip
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1,680 posted on 08/13/2004 3:08:35 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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