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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: dennis1x

Isn't 941 millibars kind of low for a Cat 4?


1,321 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:15 PM PDT by ex 98C MI Dude (Proud Member of the Reagan Republicans)
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To: Strategerist

The drug traffickers will be smited by the hand of God.

"The number of innocent, good people that will be smitten is gonna greatly exceed the number of drug traffickers. Natural disasters aren't a punishment from some deity."


Chill, I was wishful thinking, oooooooooh 'kay? I still wish drug traffickers ill will, got a problem with that, tough. Reread my original post, I posted that I am praying for "THE GOOD PEOPLE" OF FLORIDA. The drug traffickers can go to H-ll


1,322 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:22 PM PDT by SunnySide
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To: mhking

Really I was watchung TWC, some guy on the beach. I was wondering where the 18 ft storm surge was.


1,323 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:26 PM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: dawn53

I lived in St. Pete for 4 years and Cocoa Beach for 3. My father was a commercial fishing captain so I learned well top watch and track storms. Some of these peoples statements on here are just down right ignorant.


1,324 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:34 PM PDT by md2576 (Freep On!)
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To: NCjim

WBBH-TV/WSVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo


1,325 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:35 PM PDT by mhking
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To: All

If anyone hears what damage was done to Sanibel Island, please let me know.


1,326 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:40 PM PDT by mystery-ak (The most dangerous place in the world...between Moore and Ronstadt in the buffet line!)
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To: Howlin

Is that state of emergency for the entire state of N.C., howlin?


1,327 posted on 08/13/2004 1:50:47 PM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: Peach

I would bet that the lead time for that locale was less then others, and that they didn't have as much time to get people's attention to get out.


1,328 posted on 08/13/2004 1:51:12 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: md2576

Major damage at Cape Coral Hospital.


1,329 posted on 08/13/2004 1:51:22 PM PDT by mhking
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To: r9etb

Substanital damage in Cape Coral. City Hall damaged. Cape Coral Hospital lost a bunch of windows...no water pressure. Significant damage through city.

Minimal damage in Fort Myers, according to the reporter at the disaster center. Some roofs off in Sanibel.


1,330 posted on 08/13/2004 1:51:40 PM PDT by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: dennis1x

5 pm advisory has the winds at 140 mph. This one is gonna do some serious inland damage.


1,331 posted on 08/13/2004 1:51:43 PM PDT by dirtboy (Forget Berger's socks - has ANYONE searched his skin folds for classified documents?)
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To: dennis1x

yikes, when did #5 show up? I saw #4 earlier.

And hey, I don't mean to dis what you know, we could both be right or both be wrong.

Wasn't it Dennis that sat off the coast for week dropping rain before it actually moved again? And then a few weeks later Floyd came in and did major damage.

All I'm saying is, I'm north (Virginia) in the path of ~whatever~ this thing turns into. And it ~could~ get stronger.

It ~has~ happened.


1,332 posted on 08/13/2004 1:51:47 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (www.wardsmythe.com)
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To: ex 98C MI Dude

941 is a solid 4.....i think it usually ranges from 930-950....andrew was 920ish.....gilbert 899!!!


1,333 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:02 PM PDT by dennis1x
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To: Pyro7480
I've quit Hannity and have been listening to Todd. It's much more captivating!

You've been Toddomized.

1,334 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:03 PM PDT by SuperSonic (R)
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To: mhking

Thanks!


1,335 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:06 PM PDT by NCjim
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To: Strategerist

Good; thanks for the update.


1,336 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:09 PM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: dennis1x
thats right...only a few hours...will be moving at 20+ mph as it transitions into an extratropical "noreaster" type storm....

You're UnderscoreJim, aren't you? If not, you're his twin brother.

1,337 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:13 PM PDT by Nita Nupress ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton, 6/28/04)
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To: Peach

Apparently.


1,338 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:13 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: NCjim

I think the TV link was mentioned a few hundred posts ago, this station is doing a bang up job of reporting! (although their reporters are maybe a bit too gung ho..)


1,339 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:42 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: mhking
The FRIDAY the 13TH Storm of 2004.
1,340 posted on 08/13/2004 1:52:48 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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