Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
TWO!?
Yeah, we're pretty near the water and we're not getting any winds at all. Our subdivision is high so we're not in an ABC evac zone, but we're at the tip of the peninsula, so if we're not getting weather, I know he's not either.
I know that before a hurricane in the 80s that Shell Key used to be attached to St Pete Beach.
Nice Christian mercy there .... quit being stupid. There are Freepers in the MIDDLE of this thing.
Todd's cell phone aint working any more, for a second there I thought I was listening to the Phil Hendrie show!
Howlin: Was this Port Charlotte area evacuated or is the landing of the hurricane such a surprise that it didn't happen?
Oh, brother. I remember you. You're the idiot who made fun of people making preparations for ANOTHER hurricane one time.
If you're this annoying in cyberspace, I can only IMAGINE what you're like if real life.
Red
interesting latest recon info.....note...the pressure and wind speeds were the strongest report yet.....and ththis was after charley entered the bay.....clearly the storm hit at its peak...
249
URNT12 KNHC 131956
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 13/1957Z
B. 26 DEG 39 MIN N
82 DEG 10 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2611 M
D. 110 KT
E. 162 DEG 003 NM
F. 229 DEG 148 KT
G. 162 DEG 003 NM
H. 941 MB
I. 9 C/ 3074 M
J. 20 C/ 2994 M
K. 7 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C5
N. 12345/07
O. 0.1/1 NM
P. AF963 0903A CHARLEY OB 35
MAX FL WIND 148 KT SE QUAD 1955Z.
FWIW, there's a decent chance enough of a weak El Nino may form that Late Sept. and October could be less active than usual.
Stay safe.
Definitely darker than it's been all day. And it's only started to rain in the last hour. So we might get some weather from the bands.
I don't think it can hit the Jersey Shore as a significant hurricane - a hurricane has to approach from the SE to score a solid hit there, and this one will be coming from the SSW - which means it will either have to move inland first or pass just off the coast.
That's why North Carolina gets hit so often - it juts out into the prevailing storm tracks.
My brother is in Mandarin (Jacksonville area), Guennie and he's staying put, but he's farther in than your daughter in St. Augustine.
Todd should have driven due NE and followed the eye, it was his only chance..
Nope, the area has been under Hurricane Watches and Warnings for more than the standard warning time, and the evacuation orders were given.
That would be a good thing. But by then anyway, things are going less active, except a brief spike in October.
We have a wayyyy-behind subcontractor in Melbourne. I can't help thinking they're secretly hoping....
Do you have a URL for what you're watching or is it on TV?
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