I don't think it can hit the Jersey Shore as a significant hurricane - a hurricane has to approach from the SE to score a solid hit there, and this one will be coming from the SSW - which means it will either have to move inland first or pass just off the coast.
That's why North Carolina gets hit so often - it juts out into the prevailing storm tracks.
If anyone hears what damage was done to Sanibel Island, please let me know.