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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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1000


1,001 posted on 08/13/2004 1:09:41 PM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: Miss Marple

This is just about the most republican area of the state. Overdeveloped for the last 25 years. Very expensive to live,and always getting beaten up in the storm season. I thankfully fled south Florida,but stayed away from the SW area because of the storm and flooding vulnerability. I live about 70 miles N.E. from Port Charlotte,but the cost of living is at least 1/3 less here,and there is no sprawl yet.


1,002 posted on 08/13/2004 1:09:44 PM PDT by samantha (Don't panic, the adults are in charge)
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To: Vol2727

I think Tampa dodged a bullet this time.


1,003 posted on 08/13/2004 1:09:51 PM PDT by 1smallVoice (Clinton brought us Bush)
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To: Howlin

I'm in Myrtle Beach and we've not received any evacuation notices yet......ugh!


1,004 posted on 08/13/2004 1:09:53 PM PDT by 2nd amendment mama (Can The Ban - let the AWB sunset • www.2asisters.org • www.cantheban.net)
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To: oceanview

the eye of hurricane Gloria passed right over us, we went down to the beach, the surf was amazing, clear sky, sunshine, for that period of time when the eye was over us.




Gloria was the one I experienced too. Do you live in Mass? Granted, Gloria was nothing like this one, but the eye was still eerie.


1,005 posted on 08/13/2004 1:09:57 PM PDT by cwiz24
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To: Damocles

Desoto County looking at the predicted 18 ft storm surges, MSNBC was right on the money!


1,006 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:08 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: dirtboy

Google PSU good models there.


1,007 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:15 PM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: Constitution Day

Nope.


1,008 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:26 PM PDT by SuperSonic (R)
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To: Vol2727

I lived in Largo off of Belcher Road for about five years. the house was only 7 feet above sea level. We moved to California 14 years ago so that we would just have to deal with the earthquakes and fires.


1,009 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:27 PM PDT by NorseWood
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To: swarthyguy

Storm probably weakened as it transversed the Cuban interior - before it hit Havana. Increased when it got back over water.


1,010 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:27 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: SuperSonic

I hate you.


1,011 posted on 08/13/2004 1:10:43 PM PDT by Constitution Day (;^))
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To: hobson

Darwin candidate on live feed standing next to harbor in Punta Gorda.


1,012 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:03 PM PDT by mhking
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To: Hillary's Lovely Legs
There ARE NO CONDOS IN DEL BOCA VISTA!!!


SERENITY NOW! (couldn't resist)

1,013 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:05 PM PDT by Tiger28
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To: gopwinsin04

The reporter in Charlotte Harbor better look out when the storm surge moves back in...


1,014 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:09 PM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: Howlin; Peach; Miss Marple

well, the NHC is saying the highest percentage for Charley to exit Florida is now Daytona (63%).
I said to a friend last night it would come over us - when the NHC said it would go out the top of the State - that there's no way with that other front coming thru. It would push it more east. And so now it is down here.

Wind and rain with thunder although no visible lightning. But the cloud formation overhead to the west above I95 is amazing, much like the last time I saw a tornado come thru here several years ago.

So I am taking down the PC and putting it where it's gonna stay dry if the tides come up. Gotta go, so see ya'll in a few days - maybe!


1,015 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:12 PM PDT by RedBloodedAmerican
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To: Desparado

The satellite real images show that it has already broken up..dispersing over central Florida...hope that it's true and the media hype is not.


1,016 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:12 PM PDT by eleni121 (Thank God fo John Ashcroft: Four more years!)
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To: oceanview

I can just see all the "yellow people" at Disney World running every which way.


1,017 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:13 PM PDT by hobson
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To: mhking

lol...I know...he's going to stay...til it gets closer...lol


1,018 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:33 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: hobson
"Yes, it's very surreal. I experienced the eye of Alicia and I will never forget it."

Just be happy you never got "the eye" from my wife. You know there's a cold wind blowing then. Sends shivers down my spine everytime I think of it...

1,019 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:43 PM PDT by Hatteras
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To: dawn53

Because it will be 5 days at a minimum before they can start to restore power, clear trees and debris from the roads and begin to return to some semblence of normalcy.


1,020 posted on 08/13/2004 1:11:45 PM PDT by pgkdan
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