Marist College Poll (Bush 47%, Kerry 47% - represents a +1% for *BUSH* since convention)

Marist College Poll ^ | 8/4/04

[ambrose]

Marist College Poll. July 30-Aug. 2, 2004. N=839 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3.5), including 573 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
					.
"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
					.
		Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	Nader/ Camejo	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	7/30 - 8/2/04	47	47	1	5	.
	7/12-15/04	46	47	1	6	.
					.
	Among registered voters -- with leaners:
	7/30 - 8/2/04	46	47	3	4	.
	7/12-15/04	46	47	3	4	.

[Paleo Conservative]

I want a blow out.

I want a blow on November 2. I'd rather not have Republicans get overconfident by getting a big lead early.

[OldFriend]

The leftists pollsters are well known, which is why Gallup nobounce poll was so devestating.

I believe they too underestimate the repub voters but not to the extent of many others.

[wingman1]

Thanks.

[demlosers]

Is this the same poll but AP is lying for Kerry?


Kerry has 1-point lead
8/4/2004 10:51 AM
By: Associated Press

ALBANY, N.Y. -- A national poll released Wednesday found John Kerry changed the perception of many voters during the Democratic National Convention.

The Marist College poll found the Democratic presidential nominee conveyed his vision and appeared ready to become a world leader.

The poll also found the Massachusetts senator gained little of the traditional post-convention bounce and remains neck-and-neck with President Bush.

Kerry has the support of 45 percent of the voters nationwide to Bush's 44 percent. Independent challenger Ralph Nader has 3 percent of the voters and 8 percent remain undecided.

In the nation's 17 so-called battleground states, where neither candidate has a clear advantage, Kerry had the support of 49 percent of registered voters and Bush had 42 percent.


http://www.news8austin.com/content/headlines/?ArID=115427&SecID=2

[gswilder]

Bush will win this relatively easy in the end. I wasn't so sure of that 7-8 weeks ago, but am now. It started turning for Bush in Mid to late June. The Iraq turnover was a big factor. Also, the good economic news is really starting to soak in for the majority of people. Yes, the DNC convention last week did not help Kerry much. I said a couple of weeks ago, that this week would be the final high point for Kerry. Now he starts a slow downward trend. I could see Bush winning by 3-4% points and 100+ electorally. Also, I could see Bush winning by 10+ if everything breaks like it may. Newt Gingrich said on Hannity 3 weeks ago that Bush would win by 17 points. And he was being serious. Newt has been pretty accurate in the past. Kerry is the weakest Dem candidate since Mondale. Kerry makes Gore look like a genious and a great orator.

[Prov3456]

What I'd like to see now is MUCH EMPHASIS on electing Senators who will also support the policies of the re-elected Bush administration.

Unless we get 60, or nearly 60, senators with the same goals as President Bush, we will be in for 2-4 more years of "obstruction."