FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll: Kerry 44, Bush 43

PollingReport.com ^ | 4.8.04

[ambrose]

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 6-7, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
						.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry?" Names rotated; respondents pushed for decision
						.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Other (vol.)/ Not Sure	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%
	4/6-7/04	43	44	12	1
	3/23-24/04	44	44	10	2
	3/3-4/04	44	44	11	1
	2/18-19/04	45	45	9	1
	2/4-5/04	47	43	9	1
	1/21-22/04	49	42	8	1
	1/7-8/04	54	32	12	2
	7/03	54	35	8	3
	5/03	58	29	11	2
	12/02	57	29	12	2

 

[ambrose]

..

[goldstategop]

Its a dead heat. The President should be eight to ten points behind so he's in good shape. As we've seen in the 9-11 Commission hearings, the Democrats think they will get political mileage out of politicizing the country's national security. In fact, it makes them look childish and vindictive. It will backfire on them and their standard-bearer, John F. Seinfeld, big time even though its not showing up in the polls yet. Keep the faith!

[Wright is right!]

Every last news organization out there that are running polls knows that they are meaningless this far out, but they just can't help themselves - they HAVE to have their Daily Horse Race. So they squander all kinds of $$ to get meaningless polls. Here we have one with 900 "registered voters" nationwide. Whoop de doo.

Michael

[Izzy Dunne]

respondents pushed for decision

I wonder which ones they pushed?
I wonder which way they pushed 'em?
I wonder what they pushed 'em with?

Inquiring minds want to know...

[ambrose]

Fox Poll is remarkably static. Gallup and Rasmussen, on the other hand, have seen some pretty wild fluctuations.

[Wright is right!]

Let's see. 900 registered voters nationwide in the 50 states. Using my higher math skills, that tells me that this survey is based up the opinions of 18 people per state.

They're coming to take me away, ho ho ha ha hee hee ho ho, to the funny farm where life is breautiful all th' time and they're coming to take me a waaaaayyyyyyyyy!

Michael

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[No Dems 2004]

Hey, u beat me to the punch on this ... here's the link to the full story

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,116583,00.html

This essentially seems to mean that the race hasn't changed that much since the Iraq news.

[familyofman]

Any individual poll this far are dosn't mean too much. But, the trend in this series of polls is very disturbing. The question is - what will change the trend?

[HostileTerritory]

The President should be eight to ten points behind...

No offense, but that's crazy. This is not terrible news but it is a huge stretch to say "8 to 10 points behind" in April is normal if you want to win reelection. I know you've seen the Gallup numbers from past reelection campaigns too.

[KQQL]

OMG ..BUSH LOST A POINT..lol

[KQQL]

[ambrose]

It appears that Fox has dropped Nader as a polling option..

[Libertina]

It is jaw dropping, unbelievable to me that ANYONE would vote for John F'ing Kerry. I guess it just goes to show that there are still mysteries in the universe...

[Smartass]

The truth is not out yet.

BUSH & CHENEY IN 2004

[KQQL]

President Bush’s overall job performance rating is up a couple ticks from late March as 49 percent today approve of the job he’s doing as president and 44 percent disapprove. Bush receives his highest approval ratings from Republicans (92 percent), conservatives (70 percent), higher income groups (57 percent) and whites (54 percent).

[KQQL]

Election 2004


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/
Kerry 46% Bush 43%

(updated Thursday)
Congress: Dem 42% GOP 36%
Bush Job Approval: 49%
Lowest Rating in 2004

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[Congressman Billybob]

"Pushed" has two meanings in the polling community, one of them ordinary and the other one unprofessional. The normal one applies here. Pushed for this poll means that whenever a poll respondent answered, "I don't know," he/she would be "pushed" with the additional question, "Which way are you leaning?"

Then, the "leaners" are added to the total for whichever candidate they named, and the "don't know" category shrinks accordingly. This is a normal technique, but should be revealed when used, so these poll results can be properly compared to other polls which did the same thing. It was revealed here.

The prejudicial use of "pushing" means shaping the poll to create the desired result. A question like this might be asked: "Would you still support Senator Snort if you knew that he frequently dressed in women's clothing?" No poll that uses push questions like this is legitimate. Unethical pollsters who use such questions conceal this, if they can get away with it.

Hope that information is helpful.

Congressman Billybob

Click here, then click the blue CFR button, to join the anti-CFR effort (or visit the "Hugh & Series, Critical & Pulled by JimRob" thread). Please do it now.

[DrDeb]

"Any individual poll this far are dosn't mean too much. But, the trend in this series of polls is very disturbing. The question is - what will change the trend?"


Actually, the "trends" reflected in the Zogby poll (4/1-4/04) and today's FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics poll are QUITE ENCOURAGING -- both polls show NO CHANGE in the President's standing despite unparalleled attacks from the left in the form of Clarke's historical revisionism and Kennedy et al's 'Vietnamization' of Iraq -- we couldn't ask for anything more at this point!!!!

[BTW: The FoxNews poll indicates that 92% of Republicans -- statistical unanimity -- continue to support the President. That's all we need at this point. The 5-7% of the voting public who are genuinely 'undecided' will not make-up their minds until October!]