[Federalist 78]

As the election approaches, Bush will:

1. Continue to move closer to the Democrat position on various issues
2. Move toward slightly toward the right
3. Remain stationary

[OpusatFR]

This only reflects the high visability that the dems have had on tv and in print 24/7 during the primaries.

Why expend ammo when you don't have the target in sight. Bide your time.

[dwilli]

There's room to move closer?

[Ron in Acreage]

Bush is alienating his conservative base. Illegal aliens,NEA,Rx drugs,etc..They're pissed with his runaway spending.

[Bobibutu]

I seem to be always in the minority now - I support W - in spite of the immigration thing. I look at it this way - he knows more than I do about present circumstances and has better advisors than I do.

And I trust him. He has my vote.

No one ever calls me for my opinion :-(

B

[I still care]

The liberal media is salivating over destroying Bush. Their stories don't even come close to the truth anymore. They don't even try to pretend they are fairminded anymore.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1070303/posts

[Grampa Dave]

This BS poll was bought and paid for by the Kerry/Kennedy Clan.

Teddy Dearest, this poll that we bought and paid for, proves that we are beating the evil GW.

[deport]

Just damn......

Looks like Kerry is the next President to be inaugurated on Jan. 20, 2005..... Who'd a thunk it?

[nicmarlo]

Interesting.....for GW, for this question (8) (Please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people in the news, or if you have never heard of them), the poll doesn't classify who's voting by party, as they do for all the other Rats. For Bush, the just say † Based on registered voters. . But for Kerry, et al., they show this:

National Adults . . .
Republican/Republican Leaners . . .
Democrats/Democratic Leaners

hmmmmmmmm, gee, I just wonder why that is? (And that's only one question I have about this poll; there's others, like, of how many Republicans did they ask questions? Most questions seemed to be asked of Democrats...if you look closely, you'll see for yourself, for example: "Based on 415 Democratic or Democratic leaners who are registered to vote."

This appears to be, IMHO, generally speaking, a poll on what Democrats think of President Bush.

[colorado tanker]

This is temporary.

We've had saturation coverage of the Rat races and nothing from Bush. Nobody except Massachusetts and political junkies know who Kerry is - so these are generic numbers that will go down when people find out.

Bush has had a bad month, much self-inflicted with the illegal alien proposal, the busted budget and a lukewarm received SOTU. He will recover and get right again with the base.

His numbers could hit the stratosphere again if we get Osama's head on a pike in, say, May.

[FreedomSurge]

What he needs to do is to go after the black vote by endorsing reparations.

[DrDeb]

REALITY CHECK:

1.) Benedetto, et al, ignored poll results that even CNN found interesting:

"Despite the apparent rising fortunes of Democrats, the poll showed Bush enjoyed advantages over his rivals in several areas.

For example Bush was seen as a stronger leader than Kerry --53 percent to 39 percent --and, despite Kerry's military service in Vietnam, more patriotic than the senator from Massachusetts, 49 percent to 34 percent.

And,on the question of Iraq, more Americans trusted Bush than Kerry, 50 percent to 44 percent."

2.) After reviewing the internal subsets/crosstabs for the Gallup poll, the Quinnipiac, Newsweek, and Rasmussen polls, I can emphatically state that the President's BASE, i.e., Republicans, have not deserted him. In fact, they continue to approve of his job performance at the same level (88% - 94%) as noted by earlier polls; similarly, Democrats continue to disapprove of the President at the same levels as noted by earlier polls. What has changed? Independents are in a state of flux -- a flux that began with the "poor" jobs report on January 9 and continues thru the current WMD controversy (a flux exacerbatedby the leftist media's veritable canonization of Kerry).

DID YOU KNOW:

1.) Polls at this juncture merely track the general public's perception of the economy/job growth. As predictors of events in November 2004, polls conducted January - August are MEANINGLESS and polls conducted September - October are highly suspect. BOTTOMLINE: The only poll that matters is the one conducted in November!

2.) Relative to the general public's perception of the economy/job growth, tracking polls indicate that this 'perception' started turning decidedly negative after the January 9 jobs report. This past week, 'perception' took another dive after Greenspan spooked the market and the 4.0 GDP growth failed to meet economists' expectations. FOR THESE REASONS (coupled with the WMD questions), THE PRESIDENT'S APPROVAL RATINGS HAVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE A HIT. CONCURRENTLY, KERRY'S RATINGS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE PROPORTIONATELY.

What will change this trajectory? A POSITIVE jobs report on February 6! If this report fails to meet analysts' expectations, the President's ratings will take another severe hit! We will then have to wait until spring for continued GDP growth, continued growth in corporate earnings and some good news on the job front (some pundits earmark March, others April).

[*Jobs: Many pundits indicate that the way in which the government collects and reports job data is flawed. For example, job growth numbers differ greatly depending upon which report one references. The household survey indicates that OVER 2 million NEW jobs have been added since the President took office; however, the 'business' survey puts this number at fewer than 200,000. Of course, the survey that will be referenced on February 6 will be the 'business' survey!]

AGAIN, IT'S A WASTE OF MENTAL AND EMOTIONAL ENERGY TO GET EXORCISED ABOUT POLLS AT THIS STAGE OF THE ELECTION CYCLE! Remember, we are helping the President run a MARATHON not a sprint!!

BLAST FROM THE PAST:
According to Gallup, President Reagan posted job approval ratings in the 30s and 40s for 5 1/2 of his 8 years in office! [This is the President's first WEEK under 50%!]

[RightWinger]

In the last election I gave Bush hundreds of dollars and my vote. Right now, Bush doesn't have my vote and I won't give him another dime.

Now, that should say something to the Bush campaign.
Are they listening?

[MissAmericanPie]

It's the borders stupid.

[GRRRRR]

Well I guess it's all over then, cuz "THEY" say so...let's just pack it in and all move to Gondwanaland or Fiji or sumpthin' like that...

The DemoDolts have no clue what GW, the Texas Tornado, will unleash on them this summer...

We got a full tank of gas, a pack of smokes and we're on a mission from God..let's roll.

[hosepipe]

Intelligent people will vote for Bush (no matter what they say)
ALL others will do something else...

its not a question of weather you like Bush, theres simply no other rational CHOICE..
THATS what pisses me off.. and I will whine all the way to the election booth, even IF Bush makes a faux right turn.. or a real one.. I did'nt like Bush in 2000 when I voted for him then either..

[oceanview]

what it does show is the media's power to shape the outcome, and to use polls to do it. just like when they destroyed Dean. all of a sudden, Kerry was "moving" their Iowa polls said. with no apparent reason, but still, he was "moving". and since everybody wants to vote for the perceived winner, when the magical polls show a trend, then real voters actually jump on board. what we are seeing now are the effects of that initial Newsweek poll showing Kerry winning. the undecideds who want to be with a winner, jump to Kerry.

this is the mechanism by which the media uses bias polling to shape the outcome they want.

[TheEaglehasLanded]

Bush is losing support from the base:

1. Illegal Immigration
2. Trip to MARS
3. NEA Budget Increase
4. $521 Billion Deficit
5. Medicare Prescription Drug Increase $150 Billion

[Dr. Marten]

"Poll: Bush approval hits new low"

 

psssssst....that should tell the El Presidento that Americans DO NOT welcome the idea of giving LEGAL status to foreign tresspassers in order to gain more votes.....

[Dr. Marten]

USA Today is a pretty liberal rag...

[Brimack34]

One more of these stupid polls and I am going to go DEAN. Wait until summer I got enough to deal with.