New Poll Has Trump Tied In...Maine?

Townhall ^ | September 20, 2016 | Christine Rousselle

[2ndDivisionVet]

"Yeah, I think Maine will be a toss-up state this year," said nobody ever.*

As if anyone needed proof that the 2016 election is absolutely bizarre, please see this new Maine People's Resource Center (a liberal think tank) poll that has Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tied with 37 percent of the vote each. This is a slight improvement from a poll from last week that had Trump within the margin of error behind Clinton.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson polled at 11 percent, and Green candidate Jill Stein came in at five. In Maine's 2nd congressional district, Trump has a comfortable lead over Clinton, meaning that he will likely get at least one electoral vote from the Pine Tree State. Maine is one of two states that awards electoral college votes by congressional district, and the overall winner of the state gets an additional two votes...

[x]

Trump has been rising in MN and WI. After what happened this weekend in Minnesota, he'll gain more ground. Don't know if it will be enough.

Northern NE likes him because he isn't a typical Republican. But that may not last either.

[Cboldt]

Hadn’t seen it, so many thanks, that was awesome! If “nationalism” becomes an international movement, I am triply jazzed about voting for the US agent of that.

[The_Republic_Of_Maine]

If Governor LePage would refuse to allow the Syrians in, Maine would go Republican over night.

[Irish Eyes]

:)

[usafa92]

It’s entirely possible that Trump may ring up such a large margin in ME2 that it may just swing the state towards him. He will probably lose ME1, but may keep it close enough there to bag the 3 out of 4 EVs.

[LongWayHome]

I don’t know the numbers, but I’m positive that a lot of older NH residents have moved over to Maine from NH in the past decade as NH property taxes have become, in some cases, astronomical. Maine property taxes, in general, are much cheaper then NH. Those older NH residents were the old conservative base that made NH RED in the past.

This might explain some of the political movement that has pushed Maine from Blue to RED. Both states only have 1.3 million people. If you shift even a small number of voters in states like this (perhaps 30 or 40 thousand people over the last decade) it matters.

[ez]

One outrageous false poll in the middle of a few actual close polls keeps the RCP average skewed toward Illary.

[nhwingut]

NH has leaned heavy D in presidential years, and heavy R in off years.

But Gallup moved it to ‘Lean Republican’ this year with a R +8.8 voter identification. I think that’s why Ayotte and Trump will both win.

[LongWayHome]

I seen Ayotte was up +8 last week....can’t stand her, but whatever it takes to get a win there.

[Dr. Sivana]

It’s odd Trump can even make inroads into the New England such Maine and Rhode Island, but seems to be unable to in Wisconsin and MN. What happens to these two states?

Trump is very much a northeasterner, so for a lot of upper-midwesterners, his style is a bit of a turn-off. Also, even though New England votes overwhelmingly Democrat these days, many apolitical types have just got in the habit of sitting out races as the Republicans (at least in CT) try to run "fiscally moderate/socially perverted/always cronyism" types whenever possible. Look at LePage in Maine, he showed what a fire-breathing populist can do in the northeast.

I've lived in Connecticut and Wisconsin, and spent plenty of time in NYC and upstate. A year ago, when I was supporting Cruz, I admitted that if Trump got the nomination that he would win, it wouldn't be particularly close, and that he would be the only candidate who can put the northeast into play. He is running a great campaign, and Hillary is running on smelly fumes.

[LongWayHome]

I seen Trump was + 10 in Maine 2CD last week....that’s going to be a lock. It’s going to be tough going downstate though.

[Mjreagan]

I can’t see him winning Minnesota...there’s just something so out of whack there. It’s not impossible but I’d keep it out of electoral projections. Wisconsin and Michigan are winnable.

[FrdmLvr]

Maybe they have skewed it for her. It’s the best they could do.

[ak267]

It might have something to do with Trump coming from that region?

[Karoo]

I can’t figure out how their ratings are number one?? Who’s watching them

[proudpapa]

Would love to see Trump host a rally in Augusta Civic Center.

Over 95% of Mainiacs live within 90 minutes of Augusta! It would be HUGE!

[MS.BEHAVIN]

There is an old saying: “As Maine goes, so goes the nation.”
LOL
Let’s hope that is still true!
“I” live there, and I vote!
Maine votes matter!
*wink*