Posted on 07/29/2015 12:56:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
When the home team suffers an unexpected and startling defeat on its own field, fans and commentators will most likely take notice. And that’s just what’s happening today as the GOP front-runner for the 2016 presidential nomination, Donald Trump, scores a big win in a state where a rival or two could certainly be considered favorite sons.
The website Florida Politics reports on what it calls the “shock poll” that finds Trump leading Jeb Bush by a significant margin in Florida, the state where George W.’s younger brother served as a very popular governor from 1999-2007.
According to the just-released St. Pete Polls survey of more than 1900 likely GOP primary voters in the Sunshine State:
For the first time this year, Donald Trump tops a state poll of GOP presidential candidates in Florida.
A St. Pete Polls survey released on Wednesday shows the New York businessman with 26 percent support, with Jeb Bush in second place with 20 percent.
And what about Marco Rubio’s standing in the newly released survey of GOP voters? The senator from Florida is also found to be trailing Trump. Rubio places fourth in the new poll with 10 percent of the respondents backing him. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker came in third with 12 percent.
What many observers and analysts of presidential politics might find equally if not more surprising are the results of a different voter poll — one conducted by the left-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP). In this national survey, Donald Trump has a higher favorability rating than any of his GOP competitors among Latinos who were questioned July 20-21 about their candidate preferences.
According to MRC-TV coverage of this survey of 1,087 registered voters of Hispanic heritage, Trump scored a favorability rating of 34 percent. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, who one might think would hold an advantage with Latinos because of their backgrounds, were close behind with 30 percent and 29 percent, respectively. Jeb Bush, whose wife hails from Mexico and who frequently delivers campaign messages in fluent Spanish, won 31 percent of the Latino vote in this PPP poll.
You may recall that, as Western Journalism reported, Donald Trump has confidently said he would win the Latino vote should he become the nominee of the party. Trump has made that prediction several times, despite the fact that he continues to generate heated controversy over his campaign-launching remarks about dangerous, criminal aliens illegally entering the United States.
love seeing Yeb going down in flames!!!
Outside the margin of error no less!
And 2nd in Illinois only behind Walker from neighboring Wisconsin. Walker leads Trump 23-18, with Jeb in 3rd at 11
Well to be fair, Bush and Rubio are slipping the vote. When Trump polls above both combined then I’ll be impressed.
The immediate effect of this poll will cause potential donors to Yeb and Rubio
to pause, and look elsewhere to put their money.
Cruz could benefit.
This campaign is actually fun. The Donald is making huge waves. I love it.
Cruz or Walker were my favs but I think both are gone now. Maybe Walker can come back but I doubt it. Too many players and Trump, at this point is unstoppable. I think for conservatives the VP spot needs attention now. Id bet Trump would pick Rubio over any of the others for his VP...my 2 cents.
I think it’s great, and frankly, it’s such a relief to feel free of the typical nitpicking “oh, he supported blah blah blah in 1964 so I could never vote for him”. Really, who cares?
She is killing her Dad's chances on his last election
Why did Fox hire her at all
Telling it like it is, is a winning strategy for the up coming election.
Walker got a post announcement bump.
His numbers will soon start to bottom out.
Cruz is still in position to gain.
let her speak lol
Perhaps senor el Jebbo was not as popular as his publicist claims?
Interesting break out of the respondents;
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1744 responses
Cruz: 4.4% Paul: 3.6% Rubio: 8.4% Carson: 4.5% Bush: 19.1% Trump: 26.7% Walker: 12.7% Kasich: 4.4%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.3%
Black, Not Hispanic 12 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 8.3% Carson: 0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 25.0% Walker: 8.3% Kasich: 8.3%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.7%
Asian or Pacific Islander 15 responses
Cruz: 13.3% Paul: 0% Rubio: 0% Carson: 20.0% Bush: 20.0% Trump: 6.7% Walker: 6.7% Kasich: 6.7%
Unsure or Someone Else: 26.7%
Hispanic 105 responses
Cruz: 1.9% Paul: 2.9% Rubio: 26.7% Carson: 1.0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 22.9% Walker: 3.8% Kasich: 1.0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 6.7%
Other or Unknown 26 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 19.2% Carson: 7.7% Bush: 23.1% Trump: 26.9% Walker: 11.5% Kasich: 0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 11.5%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1177 responses
Cruz: 4.0% Paul: 4.4% Rubio: 8.2% Carson: 3.7% Bush: 20.3% Trump: 28.2% Walker: 13.1% Kasich: 4.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 13.4%
Female 725 responses
Cruz: 4.6% Paul: 1.9% Rubio: 11.4% Carson: 5.5% Bush: 19.6% Trump: 23.2% Walker: 10.6% Kasich: 3.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 19.6%
http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_July_28_A8WJ.pdf
I suspect that Trump, if he is the Republican candidate, throws everyone a curve ball and asks Gov.Sarah Palin to be the VP candidate.
Trump has his own money and doesn't need to get on his knees before the donors and that allows him to speak the truth. That is what is scaring the "New Establishment" and why it is running him down and digging up 30 year old dirt.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3318192/posts
He can’t leave his bathroom to make the trip.....
Quote:
“Cruz or Walker were my favs but I think both are gone now. Maybe Walker can come back but I doubt it. Too many players and Trump, at this point is unstoppable. I think for conservatives the VP spot needs attention now. Id bet Trump would pick Rubio over any of the others for his VP...my 2 cents.”
If he’s smart he would choose Fiorina as his running mate. Would make for a landslide of epic proportions. Cruz for AG or SCOTUS. After that Trump can put a mix of actual, accomplished, hard-nosed business, political, and military people in the appropriate posts. And of course a spot for Palin somewhere.
Then sit back and watch heads explode.
I said Cruz could benefit, not Trump.
I am quite aware Trump is funding his own Campaign.
I say Rubio only because Florida can be a bit tricky...
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