Posted on 07/01/2015 8:33:09 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack in the Iowa Republican Caucus, but his support is shrinking among likely Republican Caucus participants, as six other contenders battle for second place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is in 15th place, with 1 percent.
Walker has 18 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a February 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and 21 percent in a May 6 survey.
Jostling for second place are Donald Trump and Ben Carson, at 10 percent each, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 9 percent each, former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida at 8 percent and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 7 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has 5 percent. No other candidate is above 4 percent and 5 percent are undecided.
Trump and Bush top the "no way" list as 28 percent say they would definitely not support Trump and 24 percent say no to Bush. Christie is next on this negative list with 18 percent.
"Those who thought the Republican race in the Iowa caucuses might begin to clarify itself better think again," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "As even more candidates toss their hats into the ring, the race has gotten even more muddled....
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
So Cruz, Paul, Trump, Carson and Bush are tied for second place within the margin of error?
My morning fishwrap says that Christie is the 14th declared candidate. How does he garner 15th place?
Walker is not declared.
Scott Walker has yet to declare.
Oh noes!
We have a nominee, folks!
18% clinches it for Walker.
The other 82% just don’t count!
Last time I checked, Iowa was only one of the 57 states...
When someone gets up around 40% get back to me. It might actually mean something.
The only Republican (non-incumbent) candidate who has broken 40% in the Iowa caucuses is GW Bush in 2000, and Ronald Reagan in ‘76. Reagan, however, still finished second to Gerald Ford.
Eyeball traps created by leftists to lead Conservatives into confusion and disarray.
Conservatives fail to disregard them at their peril.
walker 18
trump 10
Carson 10
Paul 9
Cruz 9
Bush 8
Rubio 7
Huckabee 5
Add up Walker/Trump/Carson/Cruz/Paul and you get 56% to 20% against the weak sister side of the party. So why is Bush getting all the hype as a front runner?
OK. 35% then. ; )
Perhaps inarticulate, my point is there are just so many that it’s tough to ever say anyone actually “leads”.
Your point is well taken my friend.
Angst over Iowa is mostly useless also because the Iowa ‘winner’ gets no delegates for the trouble. In 2012, for example, ‘winner’ Rick Santorum would have gotten no votes from the Iowa delegation should the national convention outcome have not been predetermined. Ron Paul supporters controlled the Iowa RNC delegation, with some party regulars supporting Romney.
It’s better to look at the favorable/unfavorable ratios, particularly among the Tea Party (which is the group who will supply most of the volunteer campaign activists). It’s Walker and Cruz out front.
Very good point. Obviously the angst over Iowa is that the ridiculous MSM will run with whoever wins as the “frontrunner” when, while winning doesn’t mean nothing, it doesn’t mean much.
Take myself as a small example. Shut-in, can barely walk, still I post Cruz articles and have raised a ton of money for him as a bundler. Multiply that by 10 million or so.
Cruz's favorable rating is 80% among tea party (58% overall). Walker is 83%. These are the ones who will be left standing after the rest of the field has dropped out.
Rules are going to be different in 2016. Delegates will be bound on the first ballot.
But the caucuses still won’t award any national convention delegates.
The national delegates themselves will not be elected until the 2016 district/state convention. But those national delegates will be bound to vote (on the first) ballot according to the results of the precinct caucuses. This is, of course, a reaction to the situation in 2012 where Ron Paul finished third in the caucuses, but elected almost all of the national convention delegates.
Thanks. Good to know.
I know there was such a change to the general RNC rules, but I was under the impression that the hard rules didn’t apply to Iowa.
I’ll have to call downtown again!
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