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Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 23, 2015 | Harry Enten

Posted on 03/26/2015 10:49:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.

If we’re ever in a world where it looks like Cruz could win the nomination, you’ll very likely see such pouncing. You can read article after article about how Cruz has isolated himself in the Senate. It got so bad that he recently had to apologize to his Republican colleagues.

And the Cruz hatred doesn’t stop at the edges of the Senate cloakroom. Influential party actors dislike him, too. I can’t remember another Republican who united Ann Coulter, Pat Robertson, Jennifer Rubin and Thomas Sowell in opposition....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; cruz2016; election2016; gop; newt; tedcruz; texas
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To: MaxMax

I bet he’d look good sipping cocoa in those.


61 posted on 03/27/2015 5:46:06 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Paladin2

That is why the left is pushing Jeb.


62 posted on 03/27/2015 5:47:58 AM PDT by cableguymn (We need a redneck in the white house....)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“A 2011 graduate in government”

Ok; next opinion!


63 posted on 03/27/2015 5:50:29 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland
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To: upchuck; Kale; Jarhead9297; COUNTrecount; notaliberal; DoughtyOne; RitaOK; MountainDad; ...
Ted Cruz Ping!

If you want on/off this ping list, please let me know.

Please beware, this is a high-volume ping list!


CRUZ or LOSE!


64 posted on 03/27/2015 5:52:59 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: SoConPubbie

They were attacking Reagan as far back as Woodstock, I think. And GHW Bush and Gerald Ford hated him.


65 posted on 03/27/2015 5:55:11 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It -- Those Who Truly Support Our Troops Pray for Their Victory!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Another high school Ted Cruz political pundit. How many does this make now?


66 posted on 03/27/2015 5:55:57 AM PDT by TADSLOS (A Ted Cruz Happy Warrior! GO TED!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Well I guess it’s over Nate Silver’s blog says he has no chance. I just guess we’ll have to run lukewarm candidates such as, Jeb Bush and learn to like it.</s>


67 posted on 03/27/2015 5:57:22 AM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative)
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To: xzins
They were attacking Reagan as far back as Woodstock, I think. And GHW Bush and Gerald Ford hated him.

Yup.

Just like Reagan, they (both the left and the GOP) will do everything they can to destroy him.

Just like Reagan, Cruz is going to go over their heads and will be relentless.

This man REQUIRES our prayers.
68 posted on 03/27/2015 5:58:47 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: MaxMax

Thanks, you just let me know what I can purchase my nephew for his 8th birthday this weekend. :D lol


69 posted on 03/27/2015 6:00:34 AM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative)
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To: Olog-hai

They were saying the same garbage about REAGAN.

The party DID NOT LIKE HIM.

The public LOVED HIM.

I remember his funeral and how the left was beside themselves for how long it was - over a week - and the mall was filled with millions of people.

The left will always tell you what they fear; and they will use the young skulls full of mush to try to convince you that you’re making a bad choice.


70 posted on 03/27/2015 6:02:56 AM PDT by CyberAnt ("The hour has arrived to gather the Harvest")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Why would I take political advise from some kid that would change parties for a date with Marie Harf!


71 posted on 03/27/2015 6:04:06 AM PDT by The Toll
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To: KitJ

I think you’re catching on:

The left only likes Hispanics when they join with the left.

As for a woman for President .. don’t even think about it if you’re not a DemocRAT. Repubs are not allowed to win that race; simply because they’re Repubs!


72 posted on 03/27/2015 6:05:27 AM PDT by CyberAnt ("The hour has arrived to gather the Harvest")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So, we are to believe the rantings and ravings of some nobody 25 year old liberal faggy kid, and drop our support for Ted Cruz because junior says so?

Yeah, right.


73 posted on 03/27/2015 6:05:38 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Say no to amnesty, say no to treason.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Buisness as usual is running a mushy candidate like Jeb Bush - Cruz is a Reaganesque conservative and will take the fight to penceled necked geeks like this writer.


74 posted on 03/27/2015 6:05:53 AM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
None the less, I will vote for him, whether it is as a write in or checking the box next to his name. And people like you [the author} can kiss my ass. And the only ones that dislike him are the degenerates, the perverts, the traitors, self hating Whites, America haters. In other words, Obama worshipers and voters.
75 posted on 03/27/2015 6:06:16 AM PDT by sport
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To: cableguymn

Yep, the narrative is “supposed to be”

Jeb Bush losing to Hillary Clinton


76 posted on 03/27/2015 6:06:30 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What a wimp


77 posted on 03/27/2015 6:23:42 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Harry has drunk the kool-ade and is too immature to know what he is talking about.


78 posted on 03/27/2015 6:35:08 AM PDT by jch10 (Obama, the first Muslim in Chief.)
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To: shibumi
This is not an ad hominem attack. ‘Cause he’s not a hominem.

Faulty Latin Alert!

Should read "'cause he ain't a 'homo' " .... for which you offer no evidence, He very well might be.

79 posted on 03/27/2015 8:08:32 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk ( Obama told us what he'd do, and did it. How about your Republican Representative?)
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To: gunsequalfreedom

“The kid had the part correct about the GOP party elite pouncing if it looks like Cruz has a chance.”

That is what I fear.....not the dims.....Mr. Ted Cruz can chew up and spit out the dims. I fear the GOPe, and Jeb and Christi!


80 posted on 03/27/2015 8:19:21 AM PDT by spel_grammer_an_punct_polise (Why does every totalitarian, political hack think that he knows how to run my life better than I do?)
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