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First female president or vice president near-certain come 2016
The Hill ^ | March 12, 2015 | Jessica Taylor

Posted on 03/12/2015 2:58:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

(VIDEO-AT-LINK)

One way or another, there’s likely to be a woman in the White House in 2017.

With Hillary Clinton as the Democrats’ heavy favorite, Republicans will be feeling pressure over the next year to pick a woman as their No. 2.

That combination atop the major party tickets would assure that for the first time in history, there would be either a female president or a female vice president.

Both parties have tried before — Democrats made history first with New York Rep. Geraldine Ferraro as their nominee for vice president in 1984. But that didn’t stop President Reagan’s reelection rout of the Ferraro ticket with Walter Mondale.

Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) pick of then-Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate in 2008 seemed significant at first like it might turn things around. It didn’t. Her missteps ended up hurting McCain’s bid and Barack Obama became the nation’s first black president.

Republicans have a much deeper, more experienced bench eight years later. With Clinton signaling in recent speeches she will embrace the historic nature of her candidacy this time around — something she was hesitant to do in 2008 — Republicans are going to have to find a way to counter that advantage and the yawning gender gap.

New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez seems to check all the boxes the GOP needs checked — the Latina was just reelected handily. She’s downplayed any national aspirations, but party elders can be very convincing.

Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has been proving exactly why the GOP needs a woman on the ticket to balance out Clinton.

The GOP’s biggest problem over the past few cycles has been figuring out both how to talk to, and about, women. In recent years, male politicians tripped badly over questions about rape, abortion and sexual assault.

According to 2012 exit polling, GOP nominee Mitt Romney lost women by 11 points nationally, 55 to 44 percent. Women made up 53 percent of the presidential electorate that year.

How to deftly criticize Clinton without it backfiring is something the all-male GOP presidential front-runners will have to figure out too. Yet, Fiorina could provide them cover — and she’s already been embracing the role of attack dog in a way that men can’t.

Her major speeches at the Iowa Freedom Forum and last month’s Conservative Political Action Conference have caused the GOP establishment class to take notice. She’s a long way from breaking into the top tier of the likely 2016 field, but she’s far improved her standing since her heavily criticized 2010 California Senate run.

New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte would be high up on the GOP’s wish list, but she has her own competitive 2016 reelection to worry about. Ayotte is allowed to run for the Senate and the White House simultaneously. Given the ferocity with which outside groups like Crossroads GPS are already going after her likely opponent, Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan, it’s unlikely the GOP would risk a competitive Senate seat when the upper chamber is at risk.

Nikki Haley, the Indian-American governor of South Carolina, will also likely be talked about and handily won a contested reelection race last year. But she’s currently dealing with a lawsuit against the state’s embattled foster care system.

A dream candidate would be former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice — an African-American female who would neutralize many of Clinton’s foreign policy and gender advantages. But she’s shown little interest in elective office since leaving the George W. Bush administration, most recently passing on a California Senate run.

There could be other long shots in the mix, too. Freshman Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst is skyrocketing to fame after her 2014 win, delivering this year’s State of the Union rebuttal. She’ll have major influence in her home state caucuses. The Iraq combat veteran would bring military heft to a ticket, though critics would attack her lack of experience.

Less well-known names like West Virginia Sen. Shelley Moore Capito or House GOP Conference Chairwoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers could also be considered; both would add years of legislative heft to the ticket.

The good news for Republicans is that the GOP bench is deeper than it ever has been.

It may not just be Republicans who are eyeing female vice president, though. I’ve heard speculation among both Democrats and Republicans that Clinton could pick a female running mate to bolster an already historic ticket.

To satiate a progressive Democratic base, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren would be an obvious pick. Clinton is viewed with skepticism by the left, and a Clinton-Warren ticket would allay some concerns. However, there would be drawbacks of such a one-two combination. Warren could run the risk of overshadowing the top of the ticket. In addition, they both represent, or have represented, blue states in the Northeast.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand would be another top contender, but two New Yorkers on the same ticket has risks.

Meanwhile, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar has presidential aspirations, but won’t run against Clinton. She has made trips to neighboring Iowa and could also be in the mix.

If Clinton gets the nomination, as expected, 2016 will already be the year of the woman for Democrats, no matter who her running mate is.

But for Republicans, picking a woman may quickly become a political necessity.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties
KEYWORDS: 2016; democrats; hillary; palin
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To: Georgia Girl 2

41 posted on 03/12/2015 3:47:14 PM PDT by nascarnation (Impeach, convict, deport)
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To: nascarnation

LOL!


42 posted on 03/12/2015 3:48:18 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Her missteps ended up hurting McCain’s bid and Barack Obama became the nation’s first black president.

Lie.

43 posted on 03/12/2015 3:50:42 PM PDT by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Crusher138
I want a Cruz-Martinez ticket so I can infuriate liberals by massively over-pronouncing their names in Spanish., trilling the R's and drawing out vowels.

KrrUUUUzz - MarrTIIInez

44 posted on 03/12/2015 3:51:41 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Loser in Life? No problem - Buy a Pit Bull. Now you're "tough".)
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To: laplata; All
"Correct, it is Congress and the States"

There! Fixed it, and thank you for your patience with this discussion.

As you read the rest of this relatively simple post, please bear the following in mind. We probably wouldn’t be having this discussion if state lawmakers hadn’t ratified the ill-conceived 17th Amendment, foolishly giving up the voices of the state legislatures in Congress by doing so.

Congress’s power to regulate the military, interstate commerce and negotiate treaties aside, practically the only constitutional authority that Congress has to regulate anything within any state is to deliver the mail (1.8.7). Nearly everything else that the feds do in the states is based on 10th Amendment-protected state powers which the corrupt feds have stolen from the states.

The 17th Amendment needs to be repealed.

45 posted on 03/12/2015 3:56:33 PM PDT by Amendment10
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Palin came into the picture very very late - Sept 2008.

Having been an office holder in a low population, remote state, she was basically unknown nationally.

The MSM was able to write her story.

And of course the journ-0-lists were “all in” for Obama.


46 posted on 03/12/2015 3:56:43 PM PDT by nascarnation (Impeach, convict, deport)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Her missteps ended up hurting McCain’s bid and Barack Obama became the nation’s first black president.

I stopped reading there. Analysis that flawed from the outset isn't worth bothering with.

47 posted on 03/12/2015 4:01:45 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I think the country is tired of gimmicks. “The First This!” “The First That!”

People are hungry for good, sound, honest leadership. Period.


48 posted on 03/12/2015 4:04:39 PM PDT by JennysCool (My hypocrisy goes only so far)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Heck Yeah! You would think we would have learned our lesson that electing someone as a “first” can be a disaster.


49 posted on 03/12/2015 4:05:31 PM PDT by conservativejoy ("Where there is no vision, the people perish." Proverbs 29:18)
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To: allendale

Those ‘attributes’ describe both the leading Dem candidates at this point.


50 posted on 03/12/2015 4:07:16 PM PDT by originalbuckeye (Moderation in temper is always a virtue; moderation in principle is always a vice. Paine)
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To: MeshugeMikey

It will confuse the heck out of the opposition. It will be nearly impossible to attack a trans-gender person from the liberal left side! lol


51 posted on 03/12/2015 4:10:45 PM PDT by entropy12 (Real function of economists is to make astrologers look respectable.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The author obviously isn’t acknowledging the woman jarrett who has been running the nation into the tank since 2008. Then there is the mrs who I can imagine takes over when she is given the time. There is no way the man in the top spot is running anything.


52 posted on 03/12/2015 4:15:27 PM PDT by huldah1776
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To: SmokingJoe

Agreed. I couldn’t care less about a female president.

I’ll even go so far as to say I prefer a male in that position. Controversial, I know...


53 posted on 03/12/2015 4:38:51 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: CatherineofAragon
In a world where our enemy has zero respect for women, I think we would be better represented by men in leadership on a national scale.
54 posted on 03/12/2015 4:50:19 PM PDT by conservativejoy ("Where there is no vision, the people perish." Proverbs 29:18)
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To: entropy12

we outsmart them using their own tactics...

the mooselim terrorists use our constitution to practice their “religion” here in America...

we use the lefts DIVERSITY against them. ...


55 posted on 03/12/2015 5:00:28 PM PDT by MeshugeMikey ("Never, Never, Never, Give Up," Winston Churchill ><>)
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To: Michael.SF.

Didn’t help that Ferraro cried like a little girl after losing.


56 posted on 03/12/2015 5:07:32 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Secret Agent Man
I spoke to someone the other day who has some political connections. He mentioned that Ferraro almost had a collapse towards the end of the campaign and was under Dr. care-- bed rest and such.

All very hush hush and that she cancelled numerous political events. I did not recall that occurring, but to be honest, I was not paying that clos of attention back then.

57 posted on 03/12/2015 5:13:27 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (It takes a gun to feed a village (and an AK 47 to defend it).)
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To: SmokingJoe

its silly to debate the genitals of the next president.


58 posted on 03/12/2015 5:52:07 PM PDT by goat granny
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To: Dutchboy88
Here she was . .


59 posted on 03/12/2015 6:13:16 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (If a border fence isn't effective, why is there a border fence around the White House?)
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To: laplata

West would be great but Walker has been governor way too long.


60 posted on 03/12/2015 7:48:35 PM PDT by Lisbon1940 (No full-term governors)
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