Free Republic
Browse · Search
Religion
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

What if America’s religious decline has been overstated?
Christian Post ^ | 09/02/2026 | Byron R. Johnson and Thomas S. Kidd

Posted on 09/03/2026 9:29:16 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Over the past decade, the secular media has told us incessantly that American Christianity is in its death throes. The number one news story on religion in recent years has been the rise of the “Nones,” or people who say they have no religion.

So, is it finally the end for American faith? No. If you dig a little deeper, you’ll see why it’s not.

More people tell pollsters today that they have no religion. The total number of Nones, agnostics, and atheists rose from about 16% to 28% of respondents between 2007 and 2023, according to Pew Research.

A generation ago, cultural Christianity had a stronger hold in America. People then were likelier to say they were Christians, even if they never went to church. Today such people often just concede that they don’t have any formal religion.

The growing number of Nones has made America less superficially Christian. But from the Church’s perspective, this presents an opportunity. If a None visits your Church, they will not be confused about whether they’re a real Christian, unlike many nominal Christians in the Bible Belt.

Most polls do not ask follow-up questions about a person’s religious identity. When they do ask Nones about their specific beliefs, however, we see that they overwhelmingly believe in God (or a “higher power”), and they think people have souls.

The media regularly lumps Nones together with atheists and agnostics. However, the number of atheists and agnostics is not growing. Only the Nones have seen a significant leap in the past two decades.

Nones also display surprisingly high rates of spiritual practices and experiences. Some have been “born again.” Many Nones pray at least occasionally; some pray regularly. A small but significant number of Nones even attend church.

“Nones,” then, are definitely not atheists.

Whatever the reason for the Nones’ ascent in polls between about 2007 and 2023, their growth appears to have stopped. Even the Pew Research Center, the chief promoter of the Nones narrative, conceded that the Nones plateaued at around 29% of respondents by 2025. Again, Pew conflates atheists and agnostics with those who believe in “nothing in particular.” They label them all as Nones. In our view, this is a distortion of the data.

However you interpret the Nones, though, more than 60% of Americans still identify as Christians. This is a notable decline since 2007, when about 78% of respondents said they were Christians. But it doesn’t reflect a tidal wave of unbelief, either.

More intriguing for the future, however, are religious “switchers,” as well as a large cohort we call the “Others.”

Americans regularly switch religious affiliations. Perhaps you know someone who grew up Pentecostal, stopped attending church in their late teens, and then became a Catholic (or some other denominational transition) after getting married.

Some news stories tell us that this person has left “their childhood religion.” But that headline leaves out the most important part, which is that they end their journey by choosing another Christian group.

Even some conservative Christians tout the leaving theme and warn about how many children “leave the faith” after high school. To be sure, some youth group kids do “deconstruct,” leave Christianity, and never return to church.

But the data tell us little about how many people switch denominations versus how many leave religion altogether. Most polls only capture snapshots about random people at a moment in time. The next group of polling snapshots is not the same people. We don’t see the longer trajectory or where they settle religiously.

For many young adults, leaving your “childhood religion” ultimately means choosing a new Christian denomination and staying there. This type of switching makes American religion stronger, not weaker.

Unlike switchers, the massive group of Others is simply absent from public discussions of religion. These are the millions of Americans who attend church regularly but who are never counted in standard surveys of congregational life. Why aren’t they counted? Because surveyors don’t know the Others exist, or they are unable to get congregational data from them.

The Others are often non-denominational, or their church is part of a relatively new denomination. Their congregations tend to be largely African American, Latino, and/or immigrant-focused. Some of these churches meet in storefronts or in another congregation’s building. But some are prominent megachurches.

What the Others mainly have in common is that the Congregational Census (CC), the standard survey of American congregations, does not include them. County-level studies in diverse parts of the U.S. show that the CC undercounts the total number of religious congregations by at least 25%, and sometimes as much as 40%.

This means there are tens of thousands of congregations, and perhaps tens of millions of Others, who are unknown and uncounted in surveys of the state of Christianity.

Thus, sensational reports about the Nones are overblown. Meanwhile, there are tens of millions of Bible-believing Christians who are simply absent from the coverage of Christianity’s alleged demise. American religion is changing, for sure. But we don’t buy the headlines about its massive decline.

Predictions about the death of religion are as old as America itself. Don’t take the latest doom-and-gloom reports at face value. Look more closely, and you will find that American Christianity is surprising, dynamic, and always underestimated.


Byron R. Johnson and Thomas S. Kidd are the co-authors of The Death of Religion? Nones, Others, and the Flourishing of Faith.



TOPICS: Current Events; Ministry/Outreach; Religion & Culture
KEYWORDS: decline; religion; usa

1 posted on 09/03/2026 9:29:16 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

We went for years without going to church, but were Christians all along. There are also a lot of Christians who watch church services on tv. It’s not as obedient as attending church, but it’s still worship.


2 posted on 09/03/2026 10:20:13 PM PDT by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Hi... I’m van see the disaster in lumping nones, agnostics, and atheists in one dog pile.

I suggest the nones choose that, to get the pollster to shut up, go away and leave me alone.

The agnostics agree there is something bigger than ourselves, but cannot come to s common consensus of what that should be.

The atheists, from what I have witnessed, look at everybody of every other belief system, (including “moose limbs”), as straight bat guano nuts.

So, the lumping does a disservice in misrepresenting the first two groups, while accepting the premise of the third, outright.

I do think, with enough credible information
to to redress any ‘yeah, but”, you might again an agnostic’s acceptance.


3 posted on 09/03/2026 10:24:36 PM PDT by Terry L Smith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
I don't believe polls, and I won't throw around speculative percentages,
but there's definitely more visible atheism than when I was younger (and an atheist).
4 posted on 09/04/2026 5:43:34 AM PDT by Salman (It's not a slippery slope if it was part of the program all along.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Articles like this are whistling past the graveyard. OK. Maybe in some way its not quite as bad as the data suggests, but that is cold comfort. Even if its not that bad, its really bad. Churches are shutting down left and right. The message being preached in a lot of churches is New Age nonsense. Even in “conservative” parts of the country, you get “prosperity gospel” BS. There are churches in what used to be the “Bible Belt” that accept gay marriage. I really don’t know what is going to create a true religious revival. I hate to be a pessimist, but I think its going to have to be something really bad - like a world war or depression.


5 posted on 09/04/2026 5:48:19 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Opinionated Blowhard

Religions are just different clubs existing on their members dues. True religion exists only in each persons belief system.


6 posted on 09/04/2026 5:59:36 AM PDT by redcatcherb412
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Flaming Conservative

The Churches are collapsing. The Average protestant church goer is over 60.

The United Methodists, The Episcopal Church in America, The Evangelical Lutherans and the Presbyterian Church in America will be functionally extinct in 20 Years.

15,000 churches will close this year.


7 posted on 09/04/2026 6:40:21 AM PDT by MMusson ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MMusson

Those churches you mentioned need to close.


8 posted on 09/04/2026 7:23:46 AM PDT by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Jesus said “When the lord returns WILL HE FIND FAITH WHEN HE COMES?”
Maybe the return of Christ is held off as Sodom would not be destroyed IF the Lord could find TEN RIGHTEOUS MEN in the city. He could not find any in that city.


9 posted on 09/04/2026 7:30:48 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (REOPEN THE CLOSED MENTAL HOSPITALS! Closed in the 1970s, murders by crazies sky rocketed!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

There may indeed be a slow decrease in “organized religion”... probably due to social media gleefully reporting on every single instance of corruption and/or failing of church leaders.... but also due to certain denominations embracing the LGBTQ lifestyle and movement, instead of the “go and sin no more” mantra.

But I don’t think the number of actual Christians has decreased as much as they’d like to think it has. Just more folks like myself, who are believers but don’t attend or no longer attend church, are non-denominational and believe that you can pray at home just as well, if not better.


10 posted on 09/04/2026 7:34:28 AM PDT by Danie_2023 (I'm America First, but I stand by Israel and against 'anyone' that acts against America or Israel.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Flaming Conservative

My wife and I went the home church route about 10 years ago and never looked back. Our tithes go toward meeting the needs of the community instead of fancy buildings and rock band instruments.


11 posted on 09/04/2026 7:56:42 AM PDT by flair2000
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Danie_2023

Actually Catholics are seeing a huge surge in converts, and those converts are vibrant and enthusiastic.


12 posted on 09/04/2026 2:11:25 PM PDT by Texas_Guy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: redcatcherb412
True religion exists only in each persons belief system.

False

John 4:22
Ye worship ye know not what: we know what we worship: for salvation is of the Jews.

Acts 28:20
For this cause therefore have I called for you, to see you, and to speak with you: because that for the hope of Israel I am bound with this chain.
13 posted on 09/04/2026 2:30:19 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 ( The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Religion
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson