Poll: Sex Allegations Backfire, Arnold Gains

NewsMax.com ^ | 10/07/03 | NewsMax.com Wires

[kattracks]

Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2003

MENLO PARK, Calif. -- In a new poll that replicated the daunting ballot California voters will face at this Tuesday's special election, Arnold Schwarzenegger held his ground and may even have gained support; the allegations of sexual misconduct that have dogged him in recent days appeared to have little immediate effect on his decisive lead.

This is the third and final recall survey sponsored by Stanford University's Hoover Institution and fielded among registered California voters on the Knowledge Networks Panel.

In the new poll of 956 registered voters conducted between September 26th and October 4th, Schwarzenegger was chosen by 43% of respondents, compared to 40% in the two previous Stanford-Hoover polls; the analysis is based on response from 702 likely voters and the sampling margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Schwarzenegger's support among Republicans rose from 62% to 72% since the last survey, and he also received "votes" from 20 percent of Democrats and 39 percent of Independents.

And comparisons of data from before versus after the misconduct allegations showed no significant change in the level of support for Schwarzenegger.

The poll also indicates that 59% of California voters still favor the recall itself; in the two earlier polls -- conducted August 29th to September 8th and September 11th to 21st -- support was at 62% and 61%, respectively. Republicans overwhelmingly (94%) favor the recall, while Democrats are increasingly opposed -- 68% are against it, an increase of 10 percentage points since the first Stanford-Hoover survey.

The Stanford-Hoover polls are unique because they presented voters with the same choice they will have to make on election day -- 135 names, with no option for remaining "undecided."

Among the other major candidates in the recall:

-- Cruz Bustamante (Democrat) holds 30% of the vote, compared to 28% and 32% in the earlier polls; but his support among Hispanic voters is down, from 63% in the last poll to 49% in the new one (Schwarzenegger is supported by 32% of Hispanics);

-- Tom McClintock (Republican) was chosen by 13% of respondents; and

-- the remaining 132 candidates collectively accounted for 14% of "votes."

The Hoover Institution, founded at Stanford University in 1919 by Herbert Hoover, who went on to become the 31st president of the United States, is an interdisciplinary research center for advanced study on domestic public policy and international affairs, with internationally renowned archives.

[Dialup Llama]

I will termynate the mecha (BustaMEChA) and drive Grey Devil from the lands of Callyfornia.

[RedBloodedAmerican]

Go, Tom Go! He's rocketed up to 13% now!

[Support Free Republic]

DON'T MEAN TO BUG YOU.....
BUT CAN YOU HELP? PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC Donate Here By Secure Server
Or mail checks to

FreeRepublic
LLC PO BOX 9771 FRESNO
CA 93794
Or you can use
PayPal at Jimrob@psnw.com
STOP BY A BUMP THE FUNDRAISER THREAD
It's on the Breaking News Sidebar

[Robert_Paulson2]

With JimRob encouraging us all to switch to Arnold in order to save our state, and likely our republican party... I expect the tomster to continue to "surge" right down to 8-9 percent by tomorrow night... or less.

We gotta win this thing. All TRUE conservatives KNOW this now. We can work on "adjusting arnold's" attitude once he is elected. And we WILL.

But, Davis has to roast in hades for what he has done to OUR state... and the entire WEST coast.

"Damn him... damn that man"
It's never too late...
for democraptic voter fraud.

[GalaxieFiveHundred]

[blackbart.223]

Arnold must be doing somthing right if The Rats are pulling out all the stops to smear him.

[TheCrusader]

Why did anyone think that folks on the Left Coast would care a whit about Arnold's sex scandals? They're much too busy indulging in their own escapades to lift an eyebrow.

[Russell Scott]

How come now we care. My God, if the Republicans were half this voracious in their defense of Simon when he got slimed, he would have been Governor. This is all too bizarre, the obsession with a liberal left-wing Republican.

[The Vast Right Wing]

You don't understand do you. People LIKE arnold and view what is being done to him as unfair. Similar things happened to Simon, but people aren't familiar with him so they don't care. But people like Arnold and hate Gray, that is why people support him.

[jraven]

Arnold groped women. But Grey Davis went all the way with what he did to the state of California.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

and the entire WEST coast.

Amen.

[goldstategop]

Let's get Arnold to over 50% if we can. That way the Democrats can't claim the GOP victor has no mandate cause Gray Davis got more votes on Part 1 than the replacement candidate got on Part 2. Now LET'S ROLL!!!

[Sabertooth]

I expect the tomster to continue to "surge" right down to 8-9 percent by tomorrow night... or less.

Count me in.

[Saundra Duffy]

I'm glad because I hate that kind of last-minute dirty trick - Gray Davis trash! Even though I'm for McClintock!

[PeoplesRep_of_LA]

Well, I've already gotten a BIG kick out of the Stanford online polling through all this, but I'll take it!

Arnold Schwarzenegger held his ground and may even have gained support; the allegations of sexual misconduct that have dogged him in recent days appeared to have little immediate effect on his decisive lead.

Sweet! That means I can vote My Conscience, and then when (R)nold wins and falls apart, I can put the "Don't Blame Me, I Voted For McClintock" bumber sticker on! Great news!

Iceberg Ho!

[#3Fan]

This just in: Stripper suing club patrons, says they sexually harassed her by looking at her. About the same thing in these cases I bet. It's a matter of expectations.

[ladyinred]

Voter fraud scares me too!

GO ARNOLD!

[ladyinred]

What a tacky thing to say. Maybe, just maybe some of us recognize a democratic smear job when we see one! Good grief, go away.

[ladyinred]

Good for you Saundra, you are as sick of puke politics as I am! I know how you feel about Tom and Arnold, yet you are more than willing to denounce the vicious attacks coming from this corrupt regime!