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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC
| 9-17-03
| My Favorite Headache
Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003
...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.
There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Avila
TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel; landfall
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To: LindaSOG
Whow. Awsome. Thanks
961
posted on
09/18/2003 10:48:36 AM PDT
by
amom
To: rwfromkansas
highest gust so far is 98 mph? You know rw, I saw some of your comments last night. If you want to be an idiot go do it somewhere else.
People will die in this storm. Maybe my family and me. I'm sorry it ain't bad enough to feed your apparent need for the gruesome.
But give it a rest.
To: Howlin
Does the yellow indicate that the worst is still over the ocean?
To: mykdsmom
Good, I'm not the only one saying "CRAP."
964
posted on
09/18/2003 10:49:10 AM PDT
by
Woodstock
(<------- is a BIRD)
To: Howlin
just posting the facts. If you don't like it, that's your problem.
And how is it snotty to qualify it by saying that 98 mph will rip up the mobile home parks?
965
posted on
09/18/2003 10:49:52 AM PDT
by
rwfromkansas
("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
To: Howlin
But, I will not get in an argument with you.
966
posted on
09/18/2003 10:50:29 AM PDT
by
rwfromkansas
("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
To: rwfromkansas
My goodness. Where do you live?
967
posted on
09/18/2003 10:50:45 AM PDT
by
Woodstock
(<------- is a BIRD)
To: Howlin
My SIL in Dover just called to check on us.
They are going into the second phase of the state of emergency in Delaware.
As of 2pm tickets will begin to be issued for people on the roads. They didn't do it earlier because of the continuing evactuations.
Any one who knows me, knows I hate over-regulation by government (especially in Delaware) but I find this a good thing.
It became necessary to add that to the State of Emergency law following the ice storms of 1993 when there were so many idiots on the roads that emergency personnel were having difficulty doing their job.
It actually worked well during the February Blizzard - because it kept most people OFF the road where they belonged.
968
posted on
09/18/2003 10:50:55 AM PDT
by
Gabz
(Smoke-gnatzies - small minds buzzing in your business - SWAT'EM)
To: rwfromkansas
KANSAS .... nothing else to say except LAND LOCKED!
969
posted on
09/18/2003 10:51:50 AM PDT
by
Woodstock
(<------- is a BIRD)
To: mykdsmom
Get to a safe place in your home. We don't need injuries to FReepers out there. Good luck to you!
970
posted on
09/18/2003 10:52:34 AM PDT
by
Slip18
To: Corin Stormhands
I am just pointing out how seriously hyped the storm was.
You apparently have a problem with that.
You won't die...not even a slight chance.
971
posted on
09/18/2003 10:53:01 AM PDT
by
rwfromkansas
("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
To: mykdsmom
Ouch.
972
posted on
09/18/2003 10:53:04 AM PDT
by
steveegg
(I have one thing to say to the big spenders; BLIZZARD OF RECALL TOUR!)
To: rwfromkansas
since you were nice enough to backtrack yesterday, let me just point out to you that it serves no purpose, and just gets people's backs up, to hear people, like you, saying ONLY 98 mph....? can you see that? no one is arguing the facts with you, they are just reacting to the supercilious tone of disdain for 98 mph winds. get it?
973
posted on
09/18/2003 10:53:05 AM PDT
by
xsmommy
To: 1Old Pro
The dark blue is wind on the same level as the yellow. The yellow means there is still some nasty stuff to come unfortunately.
974
posted on
09/18/2003 10:54:02 AM PDT
by
rwfromkansas
("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
To: Howlin
Wow.
975
posted on
09/18/2003 10:54:11 AM PDT
by
steveegg
(I have one thing to say to the big spenders; BLIZZARD OF RECALL TOUR!)
To: rwfromkansas
Thank you for the vote of confidence. I wonder about the builder of this home whenever we heavy rain - let alone wind. It will be an interesting night. Towels & Buckets standing by....
976
posted on
09/18/2003 10:54:24 AM PDT
by
Woodstock
(<------- is a BIRD)
To: All
Does anyone know if the storm track over the next 1-2 days has been updated or changed?
To: rwfromkansas
Go do some homework. There's a discussion going on here that doesn't involve you.
978
posted on
09/18/2003 10:54:57 AM PDT
by
Slip18
To: 1Old Pro
I was just looking for that.
Winds picking up here; my deck is already covered with "selective" pruning!
979
posted on
09/18/2003 10:55:15 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: rwfromkansas
But, I will not get in an argument with you.Promise?
980
posted on
09/18/2003 10:55:23 AM PDT
by
Dog
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