Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[Gabz]

I was watching my local news and the server goto hung up so I missed him.

Maybe another FReeper in that area can help me out with that question. After the storm is gone!!!!

[Howlin]

I was just looking at mine and thinking the same thing. I wish I could pick the ones that fall.......LOL.

[steveegg]

The President has left the White House (was he scheduled to be at Camp David this weekend?)

[mikegi]

I always like how the "storm reporters" stand in between two buildings so that the wind is made to look much stronger. There was a guy on FNC who looked like he was about to fly away (strangely, the camera wasn't being buffeted too much) then the camera panned around to show that the reporter was standing in an alley.

[Sally'sConcerns]

I live about 60 miles due south of OKC. In my front yard I have a pear tree and half of an apple tree. In my backyard I have 4 large oak trees and in my sideyard, I have 3 very tall pine trees.

Texas and Oklahoma are not made up of short, stubby mesquite trees even though there are a number of the mesquites around.

[CobaltBlue]

there may be some "selectively" eliminated, if you know what I mean.......LOL.

My thought is to hit the abuse button - which I have been - but don't want to tick off the admin. It's small stuff ordinarily but this is not the time nor the place for childish egotists demanding attention. My guess is that they're teenaged "fan boys" without jobs, or the functional equivalent thereof.

[Howlin]

He's on Radio Island, between Morehead City and Beaufort; it's where the Marines leave to go out to the inlet and board their ships. It's right in the port there.

And he's quite dumb to be standing there. There's water on at least 3 sides of him.

[NautiNurse]

ROFL! Here are two TWC screen shots--check out the bystanders in the background compared to the news guy. Too funny!

Pic #1 Pic #2

[Miss Marple]

Yes, he is at Camp David with King Abdullah of Jordan. They moved the meeting up so that they could meet at Camp David instead. They already had a press conference this morning.

I wonder if King Abdullah has ever been in a hurricane? Even up at Camp David they are going to get one heck of a storm.

I heard this morning that Air Force One had been flown to Georgia.

[GOPJ]

With the invention of spell checkers, spelling has lost it's elitist charm:

At least we know how to spell volcanose...

FYI - found on net:

Aoccdrnig to a rscheearch at Cmabrigde Uinervtisy, it deosn't mttaer in waht oredr the ltteers in a wrod are, the olny iprmoetnt tihng is taht the frist and lsat ltteer be at the rghit pclae. The rset can be a total mses and you can sitll raed it wouthit porbelm. Tihs is bcuseae the huamn mnid deos not raed ervey lteter by istlef, but the wrod as a wlohe.

[Spok]

Congress is shutdown. ISABEL FOR PRESIDENT!

[glock rocks]

post 757 answers your question.

[Howlin]

How can that be? Did they put a fan on him?

[CobaltBlue]

A friend of mine moved here (Fairfax) from Nebraska. She says all the trees in her neighborhood give her claustrophobia. Lots of mature hardwoods, mostly oaks.

[steveegg]

I wonder if King Abdullah has ever been in a hurricane?

Doubt it (no great tropical oceans near Jordan).

[Bubbette]

Nice to hear an Alexandria update. My mom's by herself in the family home on the west side of the city (80 years old). Every big hurricane, our basement floods and I hate that I can't be there to help her. So, all I could do was make sure she was ready on the phone from Dallas. If you can, please keep us posted on the D.C. area

[Overtaxed]

I was just looking at mine and thinking the same thing. I wish I could pick the ones that fall.......LOL.

Maybe that poplar will survive okay, but if one of those tallllll pines in the front yard breaks, I'll probably be talking "replacement value" with the insurance people.

[Howlin]

TWC just reported the same.

[NautiNurse]

I think the bystanders are locals--not wearing windbreakers. The TWC guy is an import.

[Howlin]