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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel; landfall
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To: abner
Is that "Tourist Guy" in the background ?
1,521 posted on 09/18/2003 1:59:14 PM PDT by XRdsRev
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To: Chemist_Geek
During the governor's press conference he said that they have rescued 135 people already, that he knew of.
1,522 posted on 09/18/2003 1:59:54 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Well, in this case, let's hope they're lying through their clenched teeth...lol..
1,523 posted on 09/18/2003 2:00:31 PM PDT by EternalVigilance
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To: NCjim
I hope so; this stuff freaks me out since the ice storm; I think I'm better with this because it's in the daylight.
1,524 posted on 09/18/2003 2:01:20 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: EternalVigilance
It's raining leaves...

We just lost our first tree -- about 8-9 inches in diameter. Broke off at the ground; missed everything but the bushes. But it's really not too bad yet. Wind is steady at about 35 mph and gusts are up around 45 or so.

1,525 posted on 09/18/2003 2:01:23 PM PDT by aBootes (... 15 mi north of D.C.)
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To: abner
How are you?
1,526 posted on 09/18/2003 2:02:00 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin; All
Lights are starting to flicker a bit...so I might be offline at some point here.

If so, stay safe.
1,527 posted on 09/18/2003 2:02:38 PM PDT by EternalVigilance
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To: EternalVigilance; DollyCali
The outer rain bands,coming up from the s.e., are starting to appear on our local radar and I'm 40 m. s. of Cleveland.
1,528 posted on 09/18/2003 2:02:53 PM PDT by Molly Pitcher (Is Reality Optional?)
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To: Lazamataz
Oh crap .. it is??

Well don't tell my husband
1,529 posted on 09/18/2003 2:03:26 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: Slip18
Shakey.
1,530 posted on 09/18/2003 2:03:50 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: NautiNurse
FOFL!!!

1,531 posted on 09/18/2003 2:04:12 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: honeygrl
What?
1,532 posted on 09/18/2003 2:04:35 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: xsmommy
Glad you and the xskiddlywinks are okay. The eye of Izzy looks as if it will not be hitting you. Thank goodness!
1,533 posted on 09/18/2003 2:04:56 PM PDT by Slip18
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To: Howlin
checking in before shutting down.

Central Jersey here. Winds are picking up along with the rain. And, oddly enough, it is COLD. Feels more like a noreaster than a hurricane.

I'm about to shut down for the night. Anyone else feel the cold?

Stay safe all.
1,534 posted on 09/18/2003 2:05:34 PM PDT by Calpernia (Innocence seldom utters outraged shrieks. Guilt does.)
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To: aBootes
We just lost our first tree -- about 8-9 inches in diameter. Broke off at the ground; missed everything but the bushes.

Wow.

Thanks for the idea on the tagline. Makes it easier to know where people are posting from. :-)

1,535 posted on 09/18/2003 2:06:01 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (one mile from the Capitol in DC...)
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To: Slip18
Gabz hasn't posted since 2:37........hmmmmmm.
1,536 posted on 09/18/2003 2:06:18 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
How are you?

So far, its raining and its windy. But, not too bad yet. I think the brunt is going to miss us, but later tonight we are supposed to get some heavy rain. My sister in law is a teacher in the Poconos and they just cancelled school up there. Her feeling is, "Great, then we get to make it up on a nice day."

At this point, I just hope Izzy just keeps moving at a good clip so no one gets soaked, and soaked, and soaked.... and then re-soaked..

1,537 posted on 09/18/2003 2:06:29 PM PDT by abner (In search of a witty tag line...)
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To: EternalVigilance
We just started getting rain here in the Philly area .. and no wind
1,538 posted on 09/18/2003 2:06:43 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: exnavy
Thank you kindly.
1,539 posted on 09/18/2003 2:06:44 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: EternalVigilance
You, too. I think you'll have worse than we did.
1,540 posted on 09/18/2003 2:07:38 PM PDT by Howlin
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