Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[U S Army EOD]

Georgia has had several. I rode David out in 1979 anchored in my sailboat. The eye came right over Hunter Army Airfield.

[Slip18]

Glad you're okay. When you're missing for ten minutes, we all panic! LOL.

[MoJo2001]

So? How bad is it in your area right now? I'm worried about one of our buddies. He's a Sailor and went on Leave back home to New Bern, North Carolina. We haven't been able to reach his cellphone yet. The Navy is worried as well. I pray for his, yours, and everyone else's safety! *HUGS* to all! We'll all be fine. Just wish Isabel would go back to the Ocean and drown herself. LOL!

[NautiNurse]

I am starting to lose any sympathy that may come with injuries to these reporters. The FNC guy Losing his pants and then Losing his balance

[VRWC_minion]

No wind speed being reported in Jacksonville, NC

[1Old Pro]

RUSH just said Hillary will call a press conference to blame the hurricane on BUSH. He must read the FR posts fro rintense and yourself.

[xsmommy]

no, but apparently his pants keep blowing off. too bad the tv is not in the same room with me, he's cute!!

[Howlin]

It's ocean foam. It comes in like that when there is a lot of wind.

[MEG33]

Many hurricane party throwers have learned their last lesson.If any rescuer is harmed..the idiots should get the max.They also are interfering with emergency services I just heard.

[MEG33]

Many hurricane party throwers have learned their last lesson.If any rescuer is harmed..the idiots should get the max.They also are interfering with emergency services I just heard.

[Howlin]

CNN reporting that inland winds could reach 150 MPH?

What the heck are they talking about?

[Mo1]

Yes he does

I know Hurricanes are nothing to laugh at .. But Jeff is kind of funny running around like he is

[okkev68]

Excuse me but what the @##@! is your problem? Did you read my post? I said it was silly to waste time comparing them, but since you want to make an issue of it - on May 3, 1999 there were 66 tornados that touched down over 11 hours, with the F5 that hit OKC on the ground for over 3 or 4 hours.

Don't flame me without a good reason or having your facts togeter - Idiot.

[wimpycat]

New Bern is quite aways further east of Raleigh, where Howlin is. It's closer to Morehead City, and on the Neuse River, if I'm not mistaken.

They're not getting it as bad as the beach areas, but it's worse than here. I'm in the Raleigh area as well.

[MoJo2001]

I agree with you!

[MEG33]

May the power be with you!!

[mhking]

I'm in Georgia. Georgia has never experienced a hurricane, ever.

Bull.

Hurricane Opal, October 1995; I don't think I'll ever forget it. It moved inland so fast that it was still at hurricane strength by time it got to I-20 headed northbound.

[wimpycat]

My parents are in Jacksonville. I'm going to try to call them.

[mhking]

We're all gonna die!!!!

Eventually...