Posted on 09/16/2003 8:10:22 AM PDT by Orbiting_Rosie's_Head
000 WTNT33 KNHC 161442 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED AS ISABEL MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH MARYLAND...AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED NORTH OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES ISABEL A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. WHILE SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY...CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR RESTRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES.
A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEING EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 71.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.
FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
What thread is he talking about?
Fun to hear freerepublic mentioned(like a home town mention," hey, we are like a town, aren't we"_SNL Harry Carry ).
Drownding is the main cause of death in hurricanes. Think water, water, water. (I looked up drownding, it is spelled correctly)
Btw, lightening kills more people in the US anually than any other weather related mishap.
A bit difficult for be to decipher the "weatherese" ... but unless my eyes and/or math deceive me, it appears the heading is now DUE NORTH.
71º24'W = 71.4ºW, which was where it was in terms of longitude 3 hours ago. Meanwhile, it moved from 27.8ºN to 28º02'N (=28.03ºN) in the same time frame. Now, admittedly, 3 hours does not a trend make. But it is worthy of note that since 11 PM last night, she's moved more than 2.1º north, while moving only 0.9º west.
Yep. The "official" 8PM report came out showing a position of 28.2°N and 71.5°W. So in the last 3 hours, it moved 0.4° to the north, and 0.1° to the west. With, again, the caveat that 3 hour differentials probably don't mean much, it certainly seems to be tracking ever closer to due north:
over the last 3 hours ...... 0.4° north, 0.1° west
over the last 9 hours ...... 0.8° north, 0.3° west
over the last 15 hours ... 1.6° north, 0.8° west
over the last 21 hours ... 2.3° north, 1.0° west.
Compare that with the prior 24 hour period, when it moved 1.8° north, and 2.2° west. Clearly a significant swing away from the coast, a trend which everyone except The Weather Channel should welcome.
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