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Why are Our Imaginations Retreating from Science and Space, and into Fantasy?
The Globe and Mail (Canada) ^ | Monday, September 8, 2003 | SPIDER ROBINSON

Posted on 09/08/2003 10:49:45 AM PDT by anymouse

I've recently returned from Torcon 3, the 61st World Science Fiction Convention, held at the end of August in Toronto. I left it deeply concerned for the future -- not merely of my chosen genre or my chosen country, but my species.

I served this Worldcon as its toastmaster, and presiding over our annual Hugo Awards ceremony required me to make a speech. This being the 50th year that Hugos have been given for excellence in SF, I devoted my remarks to the present depressing state of the field. Three short steps into the New Millennium, written SF is paradoxically in sharp decline.

My genre has always had its ups and downs, but this is by far its worst, longest downswing. Sales are down, magazines are languishing, our stars are aging and not being replaced. And the reason is depressingly clear: Those few readers who haven't defected to Tolkienesque fantasy cling only to Star Trek, Star Wars, and other Sci Fi franchises.

Incredibly, young people no longer find the real future exciting. They no longer find science admirable. They no longer instinctively lust to go to space.

Just as we've committed ourselves inextricably to a high-tech world (and thank God, for no other kind will feed five billion), we appear to have become nearly as terrified of technology, of science -- of change -- as the Arab world, or the Vatican. We are proud both of our VCRs, and our claimed inability to program them.

I'm not knocking fantasy, but if we look only backward instead of forward, too, one day we will find ourselves surrounded by an electorate that has never willingly thought a single thought their great-grandparents would not have recognized. That's simply not acceptable. That way lies inconceivable horror, a bin Laden future for our grandchildren.

SF's central metaphor and brightest vision, lovingly polished and presented as entertainingly as we knew how to make it, has been largely rejected by the world we meant to save. Because I was born in 1948, the phrase I'll probably always use to indicate something is futuristic is "space age."

There were doubtless grown adults at Torcon 3 who were born after the space age ended. The very existence of the new Robert A. Heinlein Awards, given for the first time at Torcon to honour works that inspire manned exploration of space, proves a need was perceived to foster such works.

About the only part of our shared vision of the future that actually came to pass was the part where America just naturally took over the world. But while it's prepared to police (parts of) a planet, the new Terran Federation is so far not interested enough to even glance at another one.

Inconceivable wealth and limitless energy lie right over our heads, within easy reach, and we're too dumb to go get them -- using perfectly good rockets to kill each other, instead.

The day Apollo 11 landed, I knew for certain men would walk on Mars in my lifetime. So did the late Robert Heinlein -- I just saw him say so to Walter Cronkite last weekend, on kinescope.

I'm no longer nearly so sure. The Red Planet is as close as it's been in 60,000 years -- and the last budget put forward in Canada contained not a penny for Mars. (Please, go to http://www.marssociety.com and sign the protest petition there.)

At Torcon 3, I caught up with Michael Lennick, co-producer of a superb Canadian documentary series about manned spaceflight, Rocket Science. His next project examines the growing phenomenon of people who refuse to believe we ever landed on the moon. Not because he sees them as amusing cranks . . . but because they're becoming as common as Elvis-nuts. And it's hard to argue with their logic: It beggars belief, they say, that we could possibly have achieved moon flight . . . and given it up.

On the other hand, I take heart that SF still exists, 50 years after the first Hugo was awarded. My wife's family are Portuguese fisherfolk from Provincetown, Mass., where every summer they've held a ceremony called the Blessing of the Fleet, in which the harbour fills with boats and the archbishop blesses their labours. The 50th-ever blessing was the last. There's no fishing fleet left. For the first time in living memory, there is not a single working fishing boat in P-town . . . because there are no cod or haddock left on the Grand Banks. For all its present problems, science fiction as a profession seems to have outlasted pulling up fish from the sea.

I believe with all my heart that the pendulum will return, that ignorance will become unfashionable again one day, that my junior colleagues are about to ignite a new renaissance in science fiction, and that our next 50 years will make the first 50 pale by comparison, taking us all the way to immortality and the stars themselves. If that does happen, some of the people who will make it so were in Toronto.

People still believe that men fished the Grand Banks, once. Some even dream of going back. SF readers have never stopped dreaming. We can't, you see. We simply don't know how.

B.C. writer Spider Robinson's latest novel is Callahan's Con.


TOPICS: Canada; Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Technical
KEYWORDS: canada; demagogue; freep; goliath; liar; pinhead; pseudoscience; science; scifi; space
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To: DoctorMichael
I've NEVER read one of these novels and refuse to

Aw, go on, read one. They're nothing like the screen plays.

21 posted on 09/08/2003 12:16:48 PM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the Law of the Excluded Middle)
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To: RightWhale
Buy magazines. All writers test market their new ideas in short stories for magazines. Don't expect any new ideas to appear in books. Books are put out by publishing houses, who are in turn owned by multinational entertainment conglomerates, who are concerned first, last, and everywhere in between with making a profit. And given a choice between publishing Yet More Dragondreck or some book that isn't easily packaged, labeled, and marketed, they will go with the dragons every time, simply because the dragon book is less of a risk.

It's almost impossible to get a publisher interested in a new idea unless you've already sold a few stories that explore it and generated a positive buzz among the fans and critics.

22 posted on 09/08/2003 12:21:44 PM PDT by brbethke
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To: NewRomeTacitus
....French company that purchased it a few months ago. ......

Huh? I hadn't heard THAT!

No wonder!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

23 posted on 09/08/2003 12:27:08 PM PDT by DoctorMichael (TAG! You're it!)
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To: RightWhale
Aw, go on..........

Sorry (LOL), but I can't tell if you're joking or not.

24 posted on 09/08/2003 12:28:38 PM PDT by DoctorMichael (TAG! You're it!)
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To: RightWhale
As the author of a sci-fi novel that has yet to see the light of day, I offer another story:

I was looking for an agent, and introduced myself to a woman claiming to be an agent who was from Washington DC. She read my manuscript, then got back to me. She said that she thought the story was very good, but that she could not represent the work unless I made one teensy-weensy change: she wanted me to transform the story's hero into a lesbian female. (The story had absolutely nothing to do with sex - probably why it hasn't been published...).

I informed her that, unfortunately, the protagonist was a heterosexual male and there was precious little I could do about that.

Anyway, my story IS hard science fiction; no aliens, no other worlds, no mystic powers, just good old physics taken to the extreme. I think its an excellent story.

25 posted on 09/08/2003 12:29:23 PM PDT by lafroste
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To: brbethke
I never liked that one. Killing people at precisely the point when they are becoming really useful is dumb.

Another problem I had with space scenarios was the motivation for colonization. Either "Australia" (dumping ground for Earth's unwanted) or "Suburban White Flight" (the well off fleeing Earth's squalor). Well, "Australia" makes little sense because nobody is going to build spaceships to empty Earth's prisons, ghettos, and homeless shelters. And if technology has progressed to the point where every well to do person gets his own Darryl Hannah doll, why leave Earth at all ?
26 posted on 09/08/2003 12:30:30 PM PDT by Tokhtamish (Free trade ! Cheap Labor ! Cheap Life ! Cheap Flesh !)
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To: lafroste
Try another agent. There are plenty of them out there.

A bit of practical advice, though: I hope you're actually submitting the manuscript to actual publishers. It's a whole lot easier to get a good agent after you have some interest from a legit publisher.

27 posted on 09/08/2003 12:34:41 PM PDT by brbethke
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To: anymouse
Fantasy is Sci-fi for 'gurlz'.
NASA is research for 'gurlz'.

A society that treats testosterone as an indicator for Prozac treatment will die on the planet it was born.

28 posted on 09/08/2003 12:35:16 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: lafroste
And here's a very useful link for you.
29 posted on 09/08/2003 12:36:21 PM PDT by brbethke
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To: Tokhtamish
Ever read "The Marching Morons" by C.M. Kornbluth? I think you'd enjoy it.
30 posted on 09/08/2003 12:38:04 PM PDT by brbethke
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To: Tokhtamish
If you can simply plug into cyber experiences the way people go online these days, who needs reality ?

One of my first SF reads was Heinlein's "Door Into Summer".

31 posted on 09/08/2003 12:40:20 PM PDT by js1138
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To: Tokhtamish
why leave Earth at all?

Because Wyoming was no longer far enough away.

32 posted on 09/08/2003 12:41:17 PM PDT by brbethke
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To: lafroste
I was looking for an agent, and introduced myself to a woman claiming to be an agent who was from Washington DC. She read my manuscript, then got back to me. She said that she thought the story was very good, but that she could not represent the work unless I made one teensy-weensy change: she wanted me to transform the story's hero into a lesbian female. (The story had absolutely nothing to do with sex - probably why it hasn't been published...).

Agents live in New York, or Los Angeles. You didn't get an agent, you got a political hack/scam artist who is fronting for a vanity press. She probably has not made one sale to a legitimate press.

33 posted on 09/08/2003 12:43:28 PM PDT by Poohbah (Crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women.)
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To: anymouse
Although looking back, it is obvious that this trend has been happening since the 1970s.

My assessment also. First it was the dystopic visions of the late 60s to early 70s, where the future changed from something wonderful to something horrible. Then the junk that turned away altogether -- I was furious when I bought the latest award-winner, "Of Mist, and Sand and Grass" by Vonda McIntyre (this is straight from memory so I might have part of it wrong) and found out what junk it was.

These days I tend to buy the annual Year's Best anthologies, and otherwise read from the collection gathered over the past 40 years.

34 posted on 09/08/2003 12:45:15 PM PDT by Eala (None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. - Milton)
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To: lafroste
That's about right. I actually had one short story published long ago. I can't even remember exactly where, but it was definitely off-Broadway. It was strictly sci-fi, no aliens, etc., but I know at least one reader who said it creeped her out but good. You just don't find those on the drugstore dime-rack.
35 posted on 09/08/2003 12:45:27 PM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the Law of the Excluded Middle)
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To: DoctorMichael
What sealed the deal for me was the horrid 'The Chronicles of Thomas Covenant the Unbeliever'.

You too? You know, I read every book in that relentlessly depressing series hoping for a happy ending of some sort. Ugh.

There are a couple of cultural factors working to push the pendulum away from "hard" SF - first, the notion, pushed by those on campus too stupid to understand engineering, that it is the social sciences and not the hard ones that will become predominant in solving the problems of society that constitute the backdrop to every hard SF novel. Second, the idea that it's harder to write - hard SF has rules that must be followed or it doesn't work; in the fantasy world anything (including the laws of physics) is negotiable. And third, it's kind of hard to get people involved with the explosion of incredible technologies in the real world - the Internet, GPS, computerized appliances, microtechnology, satellite communication, genetic engineering, to name but a few - to be impressed by anything more remarkable in fiction. Heck, it's hard to come up with a fictional idea more fantastic than today's reality, and that doesn't look to change for awhile.

But good writing will out, and it ages much more slowly than less-good writing. I saw a young relative of mine with a Heinlein novel in his hand not too long ago. It's kind of a tough standard.

36 posted on 09/08/2003 12:46:10 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: anymouse
May I suggest:

Revelation Space

37 posted on 09/08/2003 12:50:03 PM PDT by PogySailor
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To: anymouse
I think the reason for this is fairly simple. The real space program exceeded all expectations during the 1960s, creating a tremendous sense of excitement and potentiality around the subject. Since then, it hasn't gone anywhere. The Shuttle has gone round and round for 22 years, chained to LEO, reinventing the wheel, sucking down billions, and occasionally killing people.

More than 30 years have passed since the last Moon landing. Worse, the program was shut down before the enormous expenditure on research and development could be properly exploited, leading to the impression that we spent 40 billion dollars just to put 12 guys on a worthless rock for a few hours apiece.

The old idea of "our future in space" has worn pretty thin. It is the future now, and nothing has happened.

It could have been different, and this article explains why and how: 2001: No Space Odyssey

Check out this gang's homepage while you're at it: Nuclear Space. They are serious ogres and thought-criminals to the luddite eco-wacky mob, which makes their effort worthwhile all by itself.

38 posted on 09/08/2003 12:51:29 PM PDT by atomic conspiracy ( Message to Dems: Vote Green! McKinney/Kaczynski '04!)
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To: anymouse
The reason for this is that it is simply impossible to develop new stories that have not already been told within the confines of the hard SF genre.

The whole point of a hard sf is to develop NOVEL takes on space exploration and science. Each book or series needs a new 'mcguffin'.

Since the 1930's, we have, in our literature explored the near planets, the galaxy to its boundaries and infinite uncounted dimensions. The genre is exhausted. The mother lode has been mined out, and it is virtually impossible to find a tiny nugget around which to base a new book, especially with the confines of hard SF.

In real life, manned exploration has gone no further that posited by Jules Verne in 1865. Since we have been unable to keep up, readers and writers are frustrated and have moved on.

One of the problems is one of physics, or chemistry. We simply cannot get affordable access to space given chemical based systems. There is simply not enough energy in a pound of fuel. The only hope is for someone to invent anti-gravity, or develop a new compact energy source safe for use in getting to orbit--that or a space elevator.

And no matter what, once it is cheap, the world becomes a far more dangerous place. Objects in space are inherently high energy. You don't wan't a future Osama dropping rocks on your cities from LEO. Quite frankly, cheap widespread access to space cannot be permitted without an effective defense system.

This is unfortunate. In the introduction to his early 1990's anthology, "Fire on Ice", Orson Scott Card rendered a passionate defence of SF Literature as one of the few forms of literature that allows us to examine the constructs of our societies. Because alternate worlds are imagined, and the results examined, SF allows us to look at our own world through new eyes. It is well worth seeking out and reading for these few pages.

39 posted on 09/08/2003 1:14:40 PM PDT by MalcolmS (To Boldly Go Where No Man has Gone Before)
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To: anymouse
SPOTREP
40 posted on 09/08/2003 1:20:04 PM PDT by LiteKeeper
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