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U.S. Offshore Outsourcing Leads to Structural Changes and Big Impact
cio.com ^ | August 13, 2003 | Diane Morello

Posted on 08/13/2003 8:20:37 PM PDT by thimios

U.S. Offshore Outsourcing Leads to Structural Changes and Big Impact Gartner

By Diane Morello Vice President & Research Director

As offshore outsourcing ramps up, the dislocation of IT jobs in the United States is becoming real. CIOs must anticipate the potential loss of talent, knowledge and performance.

Many Ramifications With an Outsourcing Decision

In the first half of 2003, the application development manager of a well-known company was frantic. Her staff was near mutiny. A day earlier, the CIO had called an "all hands" meeting and announced that he could save the company $30 million during the next few years. How did he propose to do that? By moving application development offshore to outsourcing vendors. The application developers in the room were stunned. Immediately, they crowded into the office of their manager, all asking similar questions: What does this mean for me? Is my job safe? Will I become unemployed?

That scene is occurring in company after company around the United States, from midsize to large companies, with each decision affecting between 150 and 1,000 people. The movement of IT-related work from the United States and other developed countries to vendors and offshore sites in emerging markets is an irreversible mega trend. Although the United States may feel the biggest effect from this movement, other developed economies, including Australia and the United Kingdom, feel disoriented, too.

The workforce changes that accompany the trend toward offshore delivery - whether offshore outsourcing or offshore insourcing - are structural in nature, not fleeting or temporal. The effect of IT offshore outsourcing on the United States is a harbinger of changes in other countries that pursue global sourcing models. The workforce and labor-market consequences will be substantial.

Three CIO Issues

Three overarching issues shape CIOs' obligations around offshore outsourcing:

As long as new investment in IT remains low in North America and Western Europe, IT offshore outsourcing will yield a displacement of IT professionals and IT-related jobs. CIOs who make ill-informed decisions today will be unable to find or acquire the requisite local knowledge and competencies when IT investment resumes.

Few enterprises would deliberately choose to cede intellectual assets to offshore outsourcing vendors, but some executives fail to envision today which skills, knowledge or processes will generate business innovation tomorrow. Vision, leadership and an understanding of how technology fuels competitive advantage will help CIOs and business counterparts retain core knowledge.

CIOs and other business leaders must be clear about their plans, timing and transition phases for the offshore outsourcing transition. They must develop milestones, timelines and accountability. Moreover, they must communicate honestly and respectfully to keep performance high and defuse employee anger.

Not a Pretty Picture for the IT Workforce

Since 2001, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, more than 500,000 people in IT professions in the United States have lost their jobs. Some were caught in the dot-com bust. Others were laid off by cost cuts, shrinking budgets, a poor economy and a desire to satisfy shareholders quarter by quarter. Now, a growing number of IT professionals and practitioners are having their jobs displaced as IT work moves to offshore venues.

Without a "shot of adrenaline" to the U.S. IT profession - such as an investment boom, a "white knight" industry, new IT-led innovation or new ways of competing globally - the scenario for the IT workforce in the United States and other developed nations looks bleak.

Large U.S. enterprises, vendors and service providers aggressively are investigating or pursuing offshore markets for IT delivery. Combining that interest with minimal new investment, preliminary Gartner analysis - based on the IT Association of America's count of 10.3 million IT practitioners in the United States in 2003 - indicates that another 500,000 IT jobs plausibly may disappear by year-end 2004.

By year-end 2004, one out of every 10 jobs within U.S.-based IT vendors and IT service providers will move to emerging markets, as will one out of every 20 IT jobs within user enterprises (0.8 probability).

Through 2005, fewer than 40 percent of people whose jobs are moved to emerging markets will be re-deployed by their current employers (0.8 probability).

Likely Implications of IT Offshoring

To many CIOs and business executives, the decision to outsource activities offshore is fiscally sound:

The cost, quality, value and process advantages are well proven.

Moreover, at a time when IS organizations are struggling with poor credibility and IT is being scrutinized, offshore outsourcing is becoming a tool for improving service delivery and a source of highly qualified talent in greater numbers.

Finally, the extensive use of quality methodologies among offshore vendors - such as Software Capability Maturity Model (CMM), People CMM and ISO 9000 - enables a degree of assurance that many in-house organizations lack.

Gartner urges CIOs and other business executives not to trivialize the impact of offshore outsourcing on their business strategies, their organizations or their employees. Three areas of concern arise:

Loss of future talent;

Loss of intellectual assets;

Loss of organizational performance.

Loss of Future Talent

Many IT applications and services that are being considered for movement offshore are now run and maintained by seasoned IT professionals in user companies, technology vendors and IT service providers. Offshore movement of that technical work implies a significant displacement of IT professionals who possess organizational memory around IT investments. At the same time, college students in the United States, the United Kingdom and other developed countries see technical work moving to emerging markets, and see family and friends losing technical jobs. Interest in pursuing technical careers will wane.

Why should CIOs care? Because they cannot afford to have domestic IT talent "dry up." When investment resumes and the economy rebounds, CIOs will need a cadre of seasoned IT professionals and eager recruits to "turbocharge" new ideas, new investments and new programs.

Loss of Intellectual Assets

CIOs and enterprise executives must ask: If everything can theoretically be outsourced, what kind of knowledge must we retain or develop? At Gartner's Outsourcing Summit in Los Angeles in June 2003, 39 percent of attendees at the session "Managing Workforce-Related Risk in Outsourcing" cited the loss of critical knowledge as the greatest source of workforce-related risk around outsourcing. Identifying, capturing and measuring core enterprise knowledge is daunting, especially when critical knowledge is often subordinate to technical skill sets.

For now, most enterprises send straightforward technical activities and routine business processes offshore, but the ease with which they can move those activities may numb decision-makers to the need to maintain and protect essential knowledge/

Six areas of core knowledge that are worth protecting include:

Enterprise Knowledge: How do our products, services and systems blend together?

Cultural Knowledge: How do we do things here? What are our beliefs? Who really makes decisions?

Social Network Knowledge: Which roles and which people form critical connective tissue?

Strategic Knowledge: What are our objectives and competitive advantages?

Industry and Process Knowledge: How do our industry, competitors, and customers operate?

Activity Knowledge: Do we know which people are doing what today?

Loss of Organizational Performance

Offshore outsourcing weakens the already-fragile relationships between employees and employers. Whether CIOs are considering, investigating or actively pursuing offshore outsourcing, they should prepare for a bumpy ride. Beneath the sound business reasons for outsourcing lie thornier issues associated with people.

Decisions to outsource - whether offshore or domestic - bring upheaval to IS organizational competencies, roles and makeup. More than 40 percent of attendees at the workforce-related risk presentation at Gartner's Outsourcing Summit considered their organizations to be ill-prepared for the new roles, competencies and skills that accompany an outsourcing delivery model.

Are Enterprises Prepared for Outsourcing? Not Really

The situation worsens with offshore outsourcing, because fewer than 40 percent of the people affected will be re-deployed. During the offshore transition, the degree of uncertainty is so high that it can severely disrupt organizational performance. CIOs and other business executives should hold themselves accountable for sustaining and improving organizational performance levels during the transition. To do so, they should coordinate along several lines:

Identify competencies, roles, people and knowledge that will be retained. To prevent organizational paralysis, CIOs must define the future role and shape of their IS organizations as certain day-to-day activities move overseas. Gartner research reveals that many enterprises retain such critical functions as application design, application integration, client-facing process management, enterprise architecture, information management and high-investment competency centers. In addition, they develop new competencies in service management, vendor relationship management, process management and business integration.

Create a meaningful transition plan. Provide clear timelines and milestones to help people prepare for the changes that offshore outsourcing brings (for example, Milestone A will be reached in six months, Milestone B six months later and Milestone C 12 months after that). At each milestone, certain segments of work or applications will complete their offshore transfer, and the affected people will be terminated or re-deployed. Companies that have a lasting commitment to their people will generally spend time arranging redeployment of their affected employees.

Outline employees' options. Define the options available for affected employees: re-skilling, re-deployment, termination or outplacement. The way in which enterprises deal with employees during the offshore transition will be a lasting testament to the perception of leadership and the reputation of the company as an employer. Executives must hold themselves accountable for communicating clearly, quickly and meaningfully. "I don't know" is an unacceptable answer when the organization's performance and people's livelihood are at stake.

Bottom Line

CIOs and business leaders in the United States and other developed countries should move carefully as they pursue offshore outsourcing.

Until IT investment resumes, IT offshore outsourcing will yield a displacement of IT professionals and IT-related jobs.

CIOs who make ill-informed decisions will be unable to find or develop qualified talent when they need it.

Additionally, CIOs and other business leaders must be clear about envisioning what knowledge, roles, people and skills will fuel competitive advantage in the future - otherwise, they risk losing core knowledge.

Finally, CIOs must communicate clearly, honestly and respectfully about the transition plan, and about the options available to affected employees.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: freetrade; outsourcing
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To: mhking
>> While good in principle, it does little to put food on the table or keep a roof over your head during the "bad times."

True. In God We Trust.

If we're good, inventive, imaginative, resorceful developers then we can get by. And what doesn't kill us only makes us stronger.

Never lose faith. Keep plugging away.
361 posted on 08/14/2003 10:24:55 AM PDT by a_Turk (Lookout, lookout, the candy man..)
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To: belmont_mark
The impending and inevitable conflict is what mainly drives me as well.

It amazes me that when I talk about outsourcing weakening the nation and strengthening our enemies, I am jeered at with calls of "get a minimum wage job!"

I don't need a job or want one. My kids don't need anything.

It is the whole of America that is endangered. We have real enemies, and we are giving them weapons to use against us.

362 posted on 08/14/2003 10:26:15 AM PDT by the gillman@blacklagoon.com (Our government is either with us or against us.)
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To: William Terrell
What kindf of industry do you work in, Dane?

In case he does not answer you, he admitted in another thread that he has been downsized. He didn't specify the industry.

363 posted on 08/14/2003 10:26:39 AM PDT by Lazamataz (PROUDLY POSTING WITHOUT READING THE ARTICLE SINCE 1999!)
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To: harpseal
In that case I invite you to come up with a comprehensive list that may be added to my twelve point proposal especially under teh heading remove governmental regulation. i will probably agree with miost and be more than happy to include them under existing points or if you come up with additional points I will be happy to include those provided I am convinced they are conservative and help the business climate

Let me look at your points again. And don't worry. Nothing that comes from me will be Leftist.


I got a lotta livin' to do before I die, and I ain't got time to waste.

364 posted on 08/14/2003 10:28:50 AM PDT by rdb3 (I'm not a complete idiot. Several parts are missing.)
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To: Marauder
Exactly, but in order to level you have to protect a bit, tariffs on a nation should make it so a decision to move is more based on worker productivity thanworker / environment cost..
365 posted on 08/14/2003 10:29:56 AM PDT by N3WBI3
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To: harpseal
That presumes the managers can figure it out ...

They won't even try until the Chief (whatever) Officers in the walnut suites review the bottom line of the Income Statement, after which they get yelled at by the shareholders.

Then the CYA flurry begins, and it may take a while to sort it all out.

How long corrective action takes after that is anyone's guess.

366 posted on 08/14/2003 10:32:29 AM PDT by Marauder (What this country needs is more unemployed politicians.)
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To: Dane
I keep seeing "buggy whip maker" arguments coming from you and they don't hold water for one simple reason.

In each industry that has become obsolete, a new industry has risen to absorb the workforce that was made obsolete.

With offshoring, no industry becomes "obsolete" and there is no new industry to absorb the workers.

In terms of automation, generally, possibilities are created within the automation industry which absorb workers from the industry being automated.

Its cyclical in case nobody has noticed, but I see the demogagues here (as usual) can't see beyond their food dish. Woe to them when Uncle Adolf Stalin comes to take it away from them.

I hope you like a Communist/Socialist paradise because we're going to get it with that attitude.
367 posted on 08/14/2003 10:37:03 AM PDT by superloser
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To: Lazamataz
PROUDLY POSTING WITHOUT READING THE ARTICLE SINCE 1999

Usually not necessary to read article. Plethora of moronic stand-alone comments to respond to.

368 posted on 08/14/2003 10:37:17 AM PDT by William Terrell (People can exist without government but government can't exist without people)
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To: RinaseaofDs
Yeah, it's a push and pull type situation.

The massive amount of regulations (read time/money) imposed on an American employer is the push, while taxpayer funded indemnities and tax code incentives for foreign investment is the pull.

If HP firebombs in India, they and they alone should take the hit. Precisely.

369 posted on 08/14/2003 10:38:35 AM PDT by americanSoul (Better to die on your feet, than live on your knees. Live Free or Die. I should be in New Hampshire.)
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To: Dane
BTW, earlier on this thread I noted that self-serve check out lines now lets one checker do the job of four, thus outsourcing three checker jobs.

Should this practice be banned?

Oh, please. Stop being obtuse.

Next you'll start whining about the demise of full-service gas stations.

370 posted on 08/14/2003 10:38:58 AM PDT by mhking
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To: belmont_mark
I like that business and when you get it going I may submit a resume or depending upon products sold may be a customer.
371 posted on 08/14/2003 10:40:34 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: rdb3
Re #118 for reference
372 posted on 08/14/2003 10:42:09 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: harpseal
I like that business and when you get it going I may submit a resume

Aw hell man.

I was gonna work for you!

373 posted on 08/14/2003 10:46:00 AM PDT by Lazamataz (PROUDLY POSTING WITHOUT READING THE ARTICLE SINCE 1999!)
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To: Lazamataz
see your Freep mail
374 posted on 08/14/2003 10:47:36 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: Lazamataz
Aw hell man.

I was gonna work for you

Since I will probably be just a customer or maybe we can work out a joint partnershipo agreement that possibiloity is not yet gone. see your Freepmail

375 posted on 08/14/2003 10:49:29 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: mhking
"Next you'll start whining about the demise of full-service gas stations."

You have just touched on the one good thing about my home state of NJ! I want to be forever denied the privilege of pumping my own gas!

376 posted on 08/14/2003 10:49:47 AM PDT by SouthParkRepublican
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To: Lazamataz
Hey I may need someone to take over my existing business in case I work for someone else.
377 posted on 08/14/2003 10:50:43 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: harpseal
Hey I may need someone to take over my existing business in case I work for someone else.

What's that I hear....? Opportunity knocking.....?

Freepmail

378 posted on 08/14/2003 10:52:36 AM PDT by Lazamataz (PROUDLY POSTING WITHOUT READING THE ARTICLE SINCE 1999!)
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To: RockyMtnMan
I would say the boom was created by the internet because it was seen as new market channel (automation driven). The "irrational exuberance" that followed was the affect not the cause of the boom. Remember dot-com implies an internet address.

Put that way I see your point. Although I think the Y2K money was about 80% of the cause for the dot-com boom/bust - everybody was thinking all the Y2K cash in the tech companies came from the internet miracle so a lot of good venture capital went into worthless companies and in a few years it all went up is smoke with little to show for it except a lot of empty office space and a glut of second-hand Aeron chairs.

While “dot-com” refers to the Internet, the cause for the success and quick failure of the tech bubble had little directly to do with the Internet. The Internet was a completely new paradigm and people did not understand it.

I have a hard time referring to the Internet as part of the “automation cycle” in that the Internet has nothing directly to do with automation (although it can function as a vehicle or automation). The Internet is merely a revolutionary way to exchange data – nothing more, nothing less.

379 posted on 08/14/2003 10:53:12 AM PDT by Last Visible Dog
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To: Last Visible Dog
Last Visible Dog

Everybody's got a cool screen name but me. :o(

380 posted on 08/14/2003 10:56:27 AM PDT by Lazamataz (PROUDLY POSTING WITHOUT READING THE ARTICLE SINCE 1999!)
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