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Trouble on the Right? Bush and His Conservative Base
Toogood Reports ^ | July 14, 2003 | W. James Antle III

Posted on 07/14/2003 9:41:09 AM PDT by Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS

President Bush has been having more than his share of troubles lately. The economy is not quite where it should be, with unemployment offices reporting that jobless claims are at a 20-year high. Criticism of his administration's intelligence handling prior to going to war with Iraq, and even the veracity of its WMD claims, is mounting. The public is growing understandably anxious about the rising number of American casualties in Iraq, where our postwar occupation policies at times seem aimless and uncertain.

All of this is well known and frequently commented upon. One group where the president is thought to enjoy rock-solid support is among his conservative base. Yet even here, there are signs of trouble brewing.

Polls show that the president's approval ratings, still respectably high among the public at large, are quite simply stratospheric among self-described Republicans. Such staples of conservative opinion as talk radio, FreeRepublic.com and the major non-paleo right-of-center periodicals buzz with an enthusiasm for Bush unmatched in conservative circles since the heady days of Ronald Reagan. Talking with people I am acquainted with who belong to quintessential Republican constituent groups - military servicemen, white-collar male professionals, born-again Christians - I find the president to still be held in high regard.

Yet there are signs of trouble in paradise. First there is the anecdotal evidence. When I wrote critically about candidate Bush during the 2000 election, my inbox would flood with missives chiding me for being unfair in my characterizations of his conservative credentials and unrealistic in my political expectations. Just as frequently, there would be impassioned defenses of the man and his policies. In fact, one column where I was particularly hard on Bush elicited the most hostile response I have ever gotten from a conservative reader, who actually sent me an e-mail challenging me to a fight.

Nowadays, my generally milder criticisms of Bush don't seem to provoke much of a backlash and often invite agreement. More surprisingly, when I write favorably about some Bush policy - such as his tax cuts or his support for incremental abortion restrictions - I often get e-mails suggesting that I should be criticizing him for not going far enough. The only time readers were still leaping to Bush's defense would be when I'd express misgivings about the Iraq war, something I generally refrained from after the shooting started. (I wonder if even this would still be the case now.)

Less anecdotally, professional conservatives, the very people who have generally been most reluctant to criticize the Bush administration, are beginning to gripe about some of the president's policies. Conservative think tanks are openly opposing the administration's passivity on health care, for example. Perhaps more representative of grassroots sentiment is some of the grumbling now being heard on the predominantly conservative blogosphere.

Eugene Volokh's co-blogger Phillipe de Croy has called for a Republican primary challenge to President Bush. Paul Cella, blogging on the topic of the impending prescription drug benefit disaster, wrote "This must be why I voted for a 'conservative' presidential candidate: so I can reap the glorious benefits of socialized medicine, and an expansion in the size of the federal government unlike anything since Lyndon Baines Johnson." He notes that Bush faces a lack of pressure from the organized right, which has seemed content to function as "a set of court intellectuals for a ruling party," "the handmaidens of servitude," and "the functionaries of the Servile State." Steve Sailer has been all over Bush's response to the Supreme Court's awful affirmative action ruling in the University of Michigan case. Bush can forget about libertarian bloggers; even many who normally vote Republican are so fed up with his lack of interest in limited government that they are musing about voting for the unspeakable Howard Dean.

Why this outpouring of criticism of the man many conservatives breathlessly predict will usher in an enduring national Republican majority? As a sequel to dropping serious conservative education reform in favor of giving Ted Kennedy the big-government education bill he wanted, Bush is dropping serious conservative Medicare reform in favor of giving Kennedy the big-government Medicare bill he wants. (The latter promising to be a massive boondoggle that will impose staggering costs on future generations to come.) To follow up on his decision to cave on the free speech-strangling McCain-Feingold campaign finance travesty, he is caving on Second Amendment rights by backing a renewal of the assault weapons ban. He has apparently decided that as long as the Sandra Day O'Connor pays lip service to color-blindness 25 years from now, ruling in favor of a more surreptitious regime of racial preferences is A-OK. He's willing to spend federal money on constitutionally dubious "marriage promotion" initiatives but has yet to take any proactive steps to curb the growing judicial threat to traditional marriage.

Then of course there is the steel and lumber tariffs, the PATRIOT Act, the decision to sign ridiculously bloated farm and transportation bills and the refusal to veto wasteful federal spending. Rather than address porous borders and an immigration policy that lends itself more to balkanization than Americanization, the administration treats us to Karl Rove's schemes for illegal alien amnesties. The list goes on.

Yes, every single Democrat vying to replace Bush is far worse. No, I'm not saying we necessarily need to find a Pat Buchanan II to draw first blood against President Bush II. Bush's record is not without accomplishment and, in fact, he has been considerably exceeded my dismally low expectations of him from the 2000 campaign. I voted for him even then and unless there emerges some evidence that even his more hysterical critics are right, I will do so again. It is not my intention to be one of those right-wingers who would rather criticize Bush than the left.

But I do confess to a certain irritation with conservatives who don't seem to think anything is more important than having a president or other elected official with an "R" next to their name when they appear on C-SPAN. The problem isn't really Bush. It is that conservatives don't really expect anything of Republican leaders. Enough liberals were willing to risk losing the presidency in 2000 to rebuke the New Democrats by voting for Ralph Nader over Al Gore. Many are willing to risk losing it again for a principled Democratic presidential candidate in 2004.

What will conservatives be willing to risk in order to contain the growth of government, to preserve the traditional understanding of marriage, to uphold the American national identity? It often looks like not much, but there are some signs this might be changing.

President Bush still has ample time to right some of these wrongs and secure his base for the 2004 elections. Conservatives still have time to exert pressure on a president they have some influence on to further their values. If the latter does not occur, we should not blame the president. We only get the leaders we deserve.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdpartyequalsenemy; 3rdpartyisnotthebase; apesforstupidity; bush43; bushdoctrine; conservativebase; dontletthedoorhitya; gwb2004; returningbannee; scotus; sogoalready; winwithoutyou
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To: CWOJackson
Once again, a substance-laiden post from you.../sarcasm
41 posted on 07/14/2003 10:49:45 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Dane
You said it well.



42 posted on 07/14/2003 10:49:51 AM PDT by baseballmom
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To: Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS; All
If Bush is so successfully implementing the left's agenda (as many here seem to think), and the Republican Congress has lost sight of its duty to resist expansion of government and erosion of freedoms (which they do so well when a Democrat holds the White House) . . .

Then why the heck are the Democrats criticizing the administration -- or even fielding a candidate -- , when supposedly Bush is implementing their agenda far faster than they could if they had the office?

Unless, of course, it really isn't about the agenda at all and never has been -- it's only about getting the office and the power.

Hmm. Ya think?

43 posted on 07/14/2003 10:50:08 AM PDT by HughSeries
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To: ApesForEvolution
It all boils down to sex, drugs, and rock and roll. As long as Bush is making the right noises on those issues, they'll keep voting for him.
44 posted on 07/14/2003 10:50:44 AM PDT by Wolfie
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To: ApesForEvolution
Thanks, considering your posts are always very full of a brown sticky substance. Why don't you go on over to DU and rally the troops?
45 posted on 07/14/2003 10:51:11 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: PhiKapMom
Yellow pad alert!
46 posted on 07/14/2003 10:52:17 AM PDT by onyx (Name an honest democrat? I can't either!)
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To: ApesForEvolution
Why don't you go ahead and drive off all of the conservative activists and enjoy the next RAT presidency?

Actually let's look back at fairly recent history. In 92 a lot of "concerned conservatives" decided to go the Perot rout, thus ensuring Clinton's victory.

Clinton got to appoint 2 SCOTUS Justices, put through a tax increase, appointed Janet Reno as Attorney General, and a whole host of other liberal policies.

Is Bush perfect, no, but I expect that since I know that I live an unperfect world.

But if you want to repeat 92, just remember the adage(paraphrased), "those who refuse to learn from electoral history are doomed to repeat it."

47 posted on 07/14/2003 10:52:59 AM PDT by Dane
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To: All
All you anti-Bush people are making DU very proud. Check this out CLICK
48 posted on 07/14/2003 10:56:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone (The U.N. needs a good Flush!)
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To: Dane
That is exactly his goal and purpose.

People don't seem to grasp how crucial this next election will be for this nation. The issue of the Supreme Court alone will affect us for many years to come. If they don't think the Democrats will try every slick trick in the book to disrupt and divide the Republican vote then they're stupid. And that would include infiltrating conservative groups and doing everything possible to demonize the President and discourage voters...to whip up third party fevor.

49 posted on 07/14/2003 10:57:02 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Dane
But if you want to repeat 92, just remember the adage(paraphrased), "those who refuse to learn from electoral history are doomed to repeat it."

Guess the Republicans learned nothing in '92...
50 posted on 07/14/2003 10:58:43 AM PDT by Lexington Green
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To: Kay Soze
All I have to show for my BUSH vote is a much much larger government, ZERO conservative judicial appointments, trashed economy.

I have many of the same concerns about Bush that you do, but let's be fair. It's been almost two years since 9/11, and not one terrorist attack has taken place on American soil. That in and of itself shows me that Bush has done an exemplary job at dismantling terrorism worldwide.

51 posted on 07/14/2003 10:58:43 AM PDT by Zack Nguyen
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To: ApesForEvolution
"Like I said, some people wouldn't say Bush crapped if they had a mouthful..."

Nah, If Bush keeps pushing that peace roadmap, you will soon see the great divide between real Bush supporters and the sleeper-cells that only back Bush in war. The latter would just as soon vote for McCain if Kristol says so.

52 posted on 07/14/2003 10:58:46 AM PDT by ex-snook (American jobs need BALANCED TRADE. We buy from you, you buy from us.)
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To: Kay Soze

Apparently, you're one of the 15%.




Question ...




Who would you rather have appointing and confirming the next several rounds of judicial appointments?
Bush and a Republican Senate. - 82%



Bush and a Democrat Senate. - 0%



A Democrat Prez and Republican Senate. - 0%



A Democrat Prez and Democrat Senate. - 0%



Don't know, doesn't matter, they're all the same, who cares, hang 'em all, etc. - 15%

53 posted on 07/14/2003 10:59:28 AM PDT by onyx (Name an honest democrat? I can't either!)
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To: Dane
"Is Bush perfect, no"

This is the strongest condemnation you've ever made of the man. Are you feeling ok? LOL Seriously, I voted for Bush, knew he wasn't as conservative as I desired - but he's departed from conservatism almost altogether. And he will continue if he doesn't fear losing a large activist portion of his base.
54 posted on 07/14/2003 10:59:42 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Zack Nguyen
That isn't their purpose.
55 posted on 07/14/2003 10:59:59 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Lexington Green
Guess the Republicans learned nothing in '92...

With friends like you, who needs enemies, IMO.

56 posted on 07/14/2003 11:00:31 AM PDT by Dane
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To: ApesForEvolution
And you've departed from reality altogether.
57 posted on 07/14/2003 11:00:45 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: CWOJackson
Well, a lot of these folks saying "he ain't getting my vote in 2004!" never voted for him the first time around, and many more suffer from MFSND (Multiple Freeper Screen Name Disorder). So take their comments with a grain of salt.
58 posted on 07/14/2003 11:01:25 AM PDT by Poohbah (Crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women.)
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To: areafiftyone
Very interesting, a51, that post is similar to the MO of someone whose vernacular includes, "feet to the fire and good".
59 posted on 07/14/2003 11:02:28 AM PDT by Dane
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To: ApesForEvolution
America needs a little more time to consider the benefits of returning to a Constitutional Republic vs. the consequences of following the Democrats to a more socialist utopia.

It is either too late, or too soon, to elect a President more conservative than Bush.

From Article Published 05. 23. 03 at 8:24 Sierra Time

An Interview With Ron Paul Part 2

Sir, on May 6th, on the floor of the house you asked the question: "Are the American people determined they still wish to have a Constitutional Republic." How would you answer that question, Sir?

A. A growing number of Americans want it, but a minority, and that is why we are losing this fight in Washington at the moment. That isn't as discouraging as it sounds, because if you had asked me that in 1976 when I first came to Washington, I would have said there were a lot fewer who wanted it then. We have drifted along and, although we have still enjoyed a lot of prosperity in the last twenty-five years, we have further undermined the principles of the Constitution and private property market economy. Therefore, I think we have to continue to do what we are doing to get a larger number. But if we took a vote in this country and told them what it meant to live in a Constitutional Republic and what it would mean if you had a Congress dedicated to the Constitution they would probably reject it. It reminds me of a statement by Walter Williams when he said that if you had two candidates for office, one running on the programs of Stalin and the other running on the programs of Jefferson the American people would probably vote for the candidate who represented the programs of Stalin. If you didn't put the name on it and just looked at the programs, they would say, Oh yeah, we believe in national health care and we believe in free education for everybody and we believe we should have gun control. Therefore, the majority of the people would probably reject Thomas Jefferson. So that describes the difficulty, but then again, we have to look at some of the positive things which means that we just need more people dedicated to the rule of law. Otherwise, there will be nothing left here within a short time.

60 posted on 07/14/2003 11:03:30 AM PDT by Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS
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