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Trouble on the Right? Bush and His Conservative Base
Toogood Reports ^ | July 14, 2003 | W. James Antle III

Posted on 07/14/2003 9:41:09 AM PDT by Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS

President Bush has been having more than his share of troubles lately. The economy is not quite where it should be, with unemployment offices reporting that jobless claims are at a 20-year high. Criticism of his administration's intelligence handling prior to going to war with Iraq, and even the veracity of its WMD claims, is mounting. The public is growing understandably anxious about the rising number of American casualties in Iraq, where our postwar occupation policies at times seem aimless and uncertain.

All of this is well known and frequently commented upon. One group where the president is thought to enjoy rock-solid support is among his conservative base. Yet even here, there are signs of trouble brewing.

Polls show that the president's approval ratings, still respectably high among the public at large, are quite simply stratospheric among self-described Republicans. Such staples of conservative opinion as talk radio, FreeRepublic.com and the major non-paleo right-of-center periodicals buzz with an enthusiasm for Bush unmatched in conservative circles since the heady days of Ronald Reagan. Talking with people I am acquainted with who belong to quintessential Republican constituent groups - military servicemen, white-collar male professionals, born-again Christians - I find the president to still be held in high regard.

Yet there are signs of trouble in paradise. First there is the anecdotal evidence. When I wrote critically about candidate Bush during the 2000 election, my inbox would flood with missives chiding me for being unfair in my characterizations of his conservative credentials and unrealistic in my political expectations. Just as frequently, there would be impassioned defenses of the man and his policies. In fact, one column where I was particularly hard on Bush elicited the most hostile response I have ever gotten from a conservative reader, who actually sent me an e-mail challenging me to a fight.

Nowadays, my generally milder criticisms of Bush don't seem to provoke much of a backlash and often invite agreement. More surprisingly, when I write favorably about some Bush policy - such as his tax cuts or his support for incremental abortion restrictions - I often get e-mails suggesting that I should be criticizing him for not going far enough. The only time readers were still leaping to Bush's defense would be when I'd express misgivings about the Iraq war, something I generally refrained from after the shooting started. (I wonder if even this would still be the case now.)

Less anecdotally, professional conservatives, the very people who have generally been most reluctant to criticize the Bush administration, are beginning to gripe about some of the president's policies. Conservative think tanks are openly opposing the administration's passivity on health care, for example. Perhaps more representative of grassroots sentiment is some of the grumbling now being heard on the predominantly conservative blogosphere.

Eugene Volokh's co-blogger Phillipe de Croy has called for a Republican primary challenge to President Bush. Paul Cella, blogging on the topic of the impending prescription drug benefit disaster, wrote "This must be why I voted for a 'conservative' presidential candidate: so I can reap the glorious benefits of socialized medicine, and an expansion in the size of the federal government unlike anything since Lyndon Baines Johnson." He notes that Bush faces a lack of pressure from the organized right, which has seemed content to function as "a set of court intellectuals for a ruling party," "the handmaidens of servitude," and "the functionaries of the Servile State." Steve Sailer has been all over Bush's response to the Supreme Court's awful affirmative action ruling in the University of Michigan case. Bush can forget about libertarian bloggers; even many who normally vote Republican are so fed up with his lack of interest in limited government that they are musing about voting for the unspeakable Howard Dean.

Why this outpouring of criticism of the man many conservatives breathlessly predict will usher in an enduring national Republican majority? As a sequel to dropping serious conservative education reform in favor of giving Ted Kennedy the big-government education bill he wanted, Bush is dropping serious conservative Medicare reform in favor of giving Kennedy the big-government Medicare bill he wants. (The latter promising to be a massive boondoggle that will impose staggering costs on future generations to come.) To follow up on his decision to cave on the free speech-strangling McCain-Feingold campaign finance travesty, he is caving on Second Amendment rights by backing a renewal of the assault weapons ban. He has apparently decided that as long as the Sandra Day O'Connor pays lip service to color-blindness 25 years from now, ruling in favor of a more surreptitious regime of racial preferences is A-OK. He's willing to spend federal money on constitutionally dubious "marriage promotion" initiatives but has yet to take any proactive steps to curb the growing judicial threat to traditional marriage.

Then of course there is the steel and lumber tariffs, the PATRIOT Act, the decision to sign ridiculously bloated farm and transportation bills and the refusal to veto wasteful federal spending. Rather than address porous borders and an immigration policy that lends itself more to balkanization than Americanization, the administration treats us to Karl Rove's schemes for illegal alien amnesties. The list goes on.

Yes, every single Democrat vying to replace Bush is far worse. No, I'm not saying we necessarily need to find a Pat Buchanan II to draw first blood against President Bush II. Bush's record is not without accomplishment and, in fact, he has been considerably exceeded my dismally low expectations of him from the 2000 campaign. I voted for him even then and unless there emerges some evidence that even his more hysterical critics are right, I will do so again. It is not my intention to be one of those right-wingers who would rather criticize Bush than the left.

But I do confess to a certain irritation with conservatives who don't seem to think anything is more important than having a president or other elected official with an "R" next to their name when they appear on C-SPAN. The problem isn't really Bush. It is that conservatives don't really expect anything of Republican leaders. Enough liberals were willing to risk losing the presidency in 2000 to rebuke the New Democrats by voting for Ralph Nader over Al Gore. Many are willing to risk losing it again for a principled Democratic presidential candidate in 2004.

What will conservatives be willing to risk in order to contain the growth of government, to preserve the traditional understanding of marriage, to uphold the American national identity? It often looks like not much, but there are some signs this might be changing.

President Bush still has ample time to right some of these wrongs and secure his base for the 2004 elections. Conservatives still have time to exert pressure on a president they have some influence on to further their values. If the latter does not occur, we should not blame the president. We only get the leaders we deserve.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdpartyequalsenemy; 3rdpartyisnotthebase; apesforstupidity; bush43; bushdoctrine; conservativebase; dontletthedoorhitya; gwb2004; returningbannee; scotus; sogoalready; winwithoutyou
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To: Jhoffa_; Rightwing Conspiratr1; Sandy
I thought I'd ping my favorite spectrum of conservative thought (this week) :)
21 posted on 07/14/2003 10:23:28 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: AD from SpringBay
HA!!!!!!!
22 posted on 07/14/2003 10:24:20 AM PDT by Azrael
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To: ApesForEvolution
Nice post, you've pretty much described the governor of my home state New York and the Republican Party here. It's sad to see the Republican Party slide downhill like it has been.

It is refreshing though to see people here question this administrations' philosophy and beliefs. All too rare I'm afraid.

Regards;

23 posted on 07/14/2003 10:26:40 AM PDT by Dazedcat
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To: Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS
Ah yes, the cry of the third party warriors, "No defeat is too small."
24 posted on 07/14/2003 10:31:18 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Kay Soze
"All Bush has done is what even Hillary could not accomplish: Make the government much much bigger and socialize health care."

It bugs me to no end that conservatives could somewhat constrain krinton, but now enable Bush to ride socialist issues such as CFR, AWB, AA, Vouchers, Entitlement, etc.

I'm glad Bush beat Gore, thankful everyday for it. However, IMO, it did nothing but buy America a little time - and if conservatives are going to let 'compassionate conservatism', i.e., 'socialist light' get a pass while fedgov moves further from control, further erodes the Constitution, just to carry the GOP banner, then I want no part of it.

If Bush is going to win, he needs conservative activists. He'll get the party over principle 'conservatives', but he won't get that part of the base that propels him to victory.

And, he won't get them without crossing the road back into conservative traffic.
25 posted on 07/14/2003 10:31:21 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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Comment #26 Removed by Moderator

To: GoOrdnance
That is not the desire nor the intention of some people in FR; theirs is to divide and weaken. Almost makes you wonder if they have underlying motives.
27 posted on 07/14/2003 10:34:42 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Dazedcat
Just when the GOP starts bringing back conservatives ('94 started it after conservatives' voices were 'heard', '00 election wouldn't have been without conservatives and '02 was all about the base of the conservative movement being active at the grassroots level), they run left and look more like the Republicans that lost so many national elections by being moderates (at best).
28 posted on 07/14/2003 10:34:56 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: GoOrdnance
We're conservatives, is Bush?
29 posted on 07/14/2003 10:36:42 AM PDT by stevio
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Comment #30 Removed by Moderator

To: Lexington Green
He's lost me... 3rd party next election.

Addition through subtraction.

31 posted on 07/14/2003 10:38:57 AM PDT by ArneFufkin (The sad stories ... this'll be a two tissue box thread)
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To: Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS
The Left got 52% of the popular vote and picked up 4 Senate seats in 2000. Maybe that's why the Republicans are running scare to the middle. Heck we do well in off-years because the Dems base rarely votes in those.
32 posted on 07/14/2003 10:38:57 AM PDT by NeoCaveman ("I don't need the Bush tax cut. I never worked a f****** day in my life. Patrick Kennedy D-RI)
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To: Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS
When you guys reach your ultimate destination, "the perfect world", how about sending me a postcard.

For some reason I think that I will be waiting a long time for the postman, as you guys take one step forward and two steps back in your quest for political perfection.

33 posted on 07/14/2003 10:38:58 AM PDT by Dane
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To: ApesForEvolution
What is maddening is watching Republicans, that call themselves conservatives, allow their favorite compassionate conservative to move hard left, unchecked.

Without pressure from the right, we have and will have a moderate - or futher left behaving POTUS for 4 more years.

If that's what you want, you're happy.

That's not what I want.

We can either call Bush out and hope that through pressure he moves back to the conservative camp - or there are other choices I guess.

But, those that wouldn't say Bush crapped if they had a mouthful, they irk me to no end. It's intellectually dishonest and unbecoming of true conservatism.

When it comes to the Constitution, we must be objective about our leadership and candidates.
34 posted on 07/14/2003 10:41:03 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Dane
I was beginning to wonder about JR there for a minute...I stumbled onto this thread and wondered why in the hell JR was providing direct thread links to DU.
35 posted on 07/14/2003 10:41:30 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: ApesForEvolution
"Without pressure from the right..."

Yes, there used to be another poster around here who was always doing everything he could to trash the President and drive away voters but insisted he was only holding the President's feet to the fire.

36 posted on 07/14/2003 10:42:51 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Sabretooth
Good morning.
37 posted on 07/14/2003 10:43:35 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: GoOrdnance
Forgive me for being so negative but, giving me back some of my own money doesn't exactly wipe out the destruction he's allowing to happen to our Constitution.
38 posted on 07/14/2003 10:45:54 AM PDT by stevio
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To: CWOJackson
Like I said, some people wouldn't say Bush crapped if they had a mouthful...and then they try to run people off that don't goose step. Why don't you go ahead and drive off all of the conservative activists and enjoy the next RAT presidency? Or, IS THAT YOUR AIM? Maybe YOU are an agent provacateur masquerading as a conservative who is bent on socialist Republicanism and are on a mission to rid the GOP of conservatives?
39 posted on 07/14/2003 10:46:00 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: ApesForEvolution
"Like I said, some people wouldn't say Bush crapped if they had a mouthful..."

Do you go around singing that to yourself all day because you sure have a mouth full...and you seem to enjoy spreading it widely. You could keep a whole brigade of dung beetles busy.

40 posted on 07/14/2003 10:48:41 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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