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Trouble on the Right? Bush and His Conservative Base
Toogood Reports ^ | July 14, 2003 | W. James Antle III

Posted on 07/14/2003 9:41:09 AM PDT by Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS

President Bush has been having more than his share of troubles lately. The economy is not quite where it should be, with unemployment offices reporting that jobless claims are at a 20-year high. Criticism of his administration's intelligence handling prior to going to war with Iraq, and even the veracity of its WMD claims, is mounting. The public is growing understandably anxious about the rising number of American casualties in Iraq, where our postwar occupation policies at times seem aimless and uncertain.

All of this is well known and frequently commented upon. One group where the president is thought to enjoy rock-solid support is among his conservative base. Yet even here, there are signs of trouble brewing.

Polls show that the president's approval ratings, still respectably high among the public at large, are quite simply stratospheric among self-described Republicans. Such staples of conservative opinion as talk radio, FreeRepublic.com and the major non-paleo right-of-center periodicals buzz with an enthusiasm for Bush unmatched in conservative circles since the heady days of Ronald Reagan. Talking with people I am acquainted with who belong to quintessential Republican constituent groups - military servicemen, white-collar male professionals, born-again Christians - I find the president to still be held in high regard.

Yet there are signs of trouble in paradise. First there is the anecdotal evidence. When I wrote critically about candidate Bush during the 2000 election, my inbox would flood with missives chiding me for being unfair in my characterizations of his conservative credentials and unrealistic in my political expectations. Just as frequently, there would be impassioned defenses of the man and his policies. In fact, one column where I was particularly hard on Bush elicited the most hostile response I have ever gotten from a conservative reader, who actually sent me an e-mail challenging me to a fight.

Nowadays, my generally milder criticisms of Bush don't seem to provoke much of a backlash and often invite agreement. More surprisingly, when I write favorably about some Bush policy - such as his tax cuts or his support for incremental abortion restrictions - I often get e-mails suggesting that I should be criticizing him for not going far enough. The only time readers were still leaping to Bush's defense would be when I'd express misgivings about the Iraq war, something I generally refrained from after the shooting started. (I wonder if even this would still be the case now.)

Less anecdotally, professional conservatives, the very people who have generally been most reluctant to criticize the Bush administration, are beginning to gripe about some of the president's policies. Conservative think tanks are openly opposing the administration's passivity on health care, for example. Perhaps more representative of grassroots sentiment is some of the grumbling now being heard on the predominantly conservative blogosphere.

Eugene Volokh's co-blogger Phillipe de Croy has called for a Republican primary challenge to President Bush. Paul Cella, blogging on the topic of the impending prescription drug benefit disaster, wrote "This must be why I voted for a 'conservative' presidential candidate: so I can reap the glorious benefits of socialized medicine, and an expansion in the size of the federal government unlike anything since Lyndon Baines Johnson." He notes that Bush faces a lack of pressure from the organized right, which has seemed content to function as "a set of court intellectuals for a ruling party," "the handmaidens of servitude," and "the functionaries of the Servile State." Steve Sailer has been all over Bush's response to the Supreme Court's awful affirmative action ruling in the University of Michigan case. Bush can forget about libertarian bloggers; even many who normally vote Republican are so fed up with his lack of interest in limited government that they are musing about voting for the unspeakable Howard Dean.

Why this outpouring of criticism of the man many conservatives breathlessly predict will usher in an enduring national Republican majority? As a sequel to dropping serious conservative education reform in favor of giving Ted Kennedy the big-government education bill he wanted, Bush is dropping serious conservative Medicare reform in favor of giving Kennedy the big-government Medicare bill he wants. (The latter promising to be a massive boondoggle that will impose staggering costs on future generations to come.) To follow up on his decision to cave on the free speech-strangling McCain-Feingold campaign finance travesty, he is caving on Second Amendment rights by backing a renewal of the assault weapons ban. He has apparently decided that as long as the Sandra Day O'Connor pays lip service to color-blindness 25 years from now, ruling in favor of a more surreptitious regime of racial preferences is A-OK. He's willing to spend federal money on constitutionally dubious "marriage promotion" initiatives but has yet to take any proactive steps to curb the growing judicial threat to traditional marriage.

Then of course there is the steel and lumber tariffs, the PATRIOT Act, the decision to sign ridiculously bloated farm and transportation bills and the refusal to veto wasteful federal spending. Rather than address porous borders and an immigration policy that lends itself more to balkanization than Americanization, the administration treats us to Karl Rove's schemes for illegal alien amnesties. The list goes on.

Yes, every single Democrat vying to replace Bush is far worse. No, I'm not saying we necessarily need to find a Pat Buchanan II to draw first blood against President Bush II. Bush's record is not without accomplishment and, in fact, he has been considerably exceeded my dismally low expectations of him from the 2000 campaign. I voted for him even then and unless there emerges some evidence that even his more hysterical critics are right, I will do so again. It is not my intention to be one of those right-wingers who would rather criticize Bush than the left.

But I do confess to a certain irritation with conservatives who don't seem to think anything is more important than having a president or other elected official with an "R" next to their name when they appear on C-SPAN. The problem isn't really Bush. It is that conservatives don't really expect anything of Republican leaders. Enough liberals were willing to risk losing the presidency in 2000 to rebuke the New Democrats by voting for Ralph Nader over Al Gore. Many are willing to risk losing it again for a principled Democratic presidential candidate in 2004.

What will conservatives be willing to risk in order to contain the growth of government, to preserve the traditional understanding of marriage, to uphold the American national identity? It often looks like not much, but there are some signs this might be changing.

President Bush still has ample time to right some of these wrongs and secure his base for the 2004 elections. Conservatives still have time to exert pressure on a president they have some influence on to further their values. If the latter does not occur, we should not blame the president. We only get the leaders we deserve.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdpartyequalsenemy; 3rdpartyisnotthebase; apesforstupidity; bush43; bushdoctrine; conservativebase; dontletthedoorhitya; gwb2004; returningbannee; scotus; sogoalready; winwithoutyou
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To: CWOJackson
What? Oh, it's just you...
181 posted on 07/14/2003 12:10:30 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: ApesForEvolution
Yes todd, it's me.
182 posted on 07/14/2003 12:10:59 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: dfrussell
And it is increasingly likely that I will vote 3rd party in 2004.

And who would that be? Come on give us your perfect Presidential candidate and we can discuss his/her strengths and weaknesses and chances.

183 posted on 07/14/2003 12:11:48 PM PDT by Dane
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To: CWOJackson
Goose-stepping Bushbot BTTT
184 posted on 07/14/2003 12:11:50 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS
Yet there are signs of trouble in paradise. First there is the anecdotal evidence.

When someone leads off with anecdotal evidence, and then segues into what is being said by blog commentators, you need to stifle the giggles.

185 posted on 07/14/2003 12:11:55 PM PDT by Chancellor Palpatine
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To: ApesForEvolution
Is embracing leftist ideals (like a new, big, fat drug entitlement versus a Medicare overhaul?) the bridge we want?

Aye, there it is. The entitlement was done to take the wind out of the sails of the Democrats and to buy the vote of the elderly. Question is, was it necessary? To a party hack who is only concerned with party politics every advantage is necessary, but such types can't usually see the forest for the trees, self-proclaimed political savviness notwithstanding. Such entitlements are nearly impossible to eliminate. If the Republican Party is going to adopt any principle willy-nilly just to get re-elected so that they can further adopt any principle willy-nilly, then politics is more a masturbatory practice of 'raid the treasury' and 'I can't work in the private sector so I'll do anything to keep my job'. That's as much a threat to the Republic as anything else. Democrats and modern liberalism are still a greater threat, I'd say, but allegiances should be given to principles, not to parties.

186 posted on 07/14/2003 12:12:16 PM PDT by Catalonia
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To: samm1148
Oops here we go again with the 'well if you don't vote for Bush evil democrat ______ will get in'. At least with a democrat in the white house this runaway spending might've been opposed

And it certainly would, with no doubt....

187 posted on 07/14/2003 12:12:25 PM PDT by Joe Hadenuf (Are these people for real?)
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To: samm1148
I dont know what to say, maybe Im naive. But I have to tell you Im absolutley floored that anyone would do ANYTHING that offers the remote chance of President Hillary.
188 posted on 07/14/2003 12:12:44 PM PDT by cardinal4 (The Senate Armed Services Comm; the Chinese pipeline into US secrets)
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To: ApesForEvolution
You forgot anti-Constitutional jackbooted thug. It's right there on page three of your talking points.

You keep making mistakes like that and you'll loose your contract.

189 posted on 07/14/2003 12:12:55 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: sonofron
Rove is the one i'm watching. He was the one that suggested Bush start courting Homo's and had a meeting with the log cabin republicans, a gay rights group. Call me insensitive, but i don't care about gay rights and don't want to be on the same team as them.
190 posted on 07/14/2003 12:13:54 PM PDT by sonofron
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To: Catalonia
Eggs-Zackley! You summed it up better than I've been able to. Hey, are you Todd? lol
191 posted on 07/14/2003 12:14:04 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: cardinal4
That is why the Democrats will infiltrate every conservative forum they can to spread dissent.
192 posted on 07/14/2003 12:14:09 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: areafiftyone
Yeah. Sure. Whatever.

And this is the same argument the DU made regarding Clinton and Republicans.

If Democrats were stupid to support an obviously flawed Clinton at all costs, why is it NOT stupid for Republicans to support and obviously flawed Bush at all costs?

193 posted on 07/14/2003 12:14:15 PM PDT by dfrussell
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To: Catalonia
Outstanding response!
194 posted on 07/14/2003 12:14:53 PM PDT by Joe Hadenuf (Are these people for real?)
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To: CWOJackson
What? Oh, it's just you...

You seem to be so abreast of RAT talking points and what they post on their sites, you really make the strong case that you are an anti-conservative Bushbot trying to help Bush run conservatives out of the GOP.

If you are, you're doing a great job.
195 posted on 07/14/2003 12:15:34 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: ApesForEvolution
See, Catalonia can keep their place in the talking points. Wasn't that from page six?
196 posted on 07/14/2003 12:15:48 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: ApesForEvolution
And I'm sure you're earning your check...and the admiration of your peers.
197 posted on 07/14/2003 12:16:27 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: CWOJackson
See, that's completely todd.

If you insist. FWIW, I haven't looked into it much, but I've heard that Gonzalez is pretty constructionist, which works for me. To be honest, as much as I like a good flamewar, I tried to stay away from those "Todd" threads, as I would regularly get disgusted by the posters on both sides. So what's with this first-name thing anyway?

198 posted on 07/14/2003 12:17:20 PM PDT by jmc813 (Check out the FR Big Brother 4 thread! http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/943368/posts)
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To: CyberCowboy777
The proper way to get the President's attention on an issue with which you disagree is to write the White House, stating your position politely and rationally. You should also call your Congressman and Senators, letting them know your position on that issue.

No one expects people to agree with the President on everything he does. I think the Education Bill is too big and wish that there were vouchers included in it. However, I wrote the White House to remind them that they need to keep talking about vouchers and not give up. I did NOT come on here and say, "That's it, I'm voting Third Party! Bush is a leftist!"

199 posted on 07/14/2003 12:18:07 PM PDT by Miss Marple
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To: jmc813
It's simply easier to type then tblshow.
200 posted on 07/14/2003 12:18:17 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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