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Trouble on the Right? Bush and His Conservative Base
Toogood Reports ^ | July 14, 2003 | W. James Antle III

Posted on 07/14/2003 9:41:09 AM PDT by Vindiciae Contra TyrannoSCOTUS

President Bush has been having more than his share of troubles lately. The economy is not quite where it should be, with unemployment offices reporting that jobless claims are at a 20-year high. Criticism of his administration's intelligence handling prior to going to war with Iraq, and even the veracity of its WMD claims, is mounting. The public is growing understandably anxious about the rising number of American casualties in Iraq, where our postwar occupation policies at times seem aimless and uncertain.

All of this is well known and frequently commented upon. One group where the president is thought to enjoy rock-solid support is among his conservative base. Yet even here, there are signs of trouble brewing.

Polls show that the president's approval ratings, still respectably high among the public at large, are quite simply stratospheric among self-described Republicans. Such staples of conservative opinion as talk radio, FreeRepublic.com and the major non-paleo right-of-center periodicals buzz with an enthusiasm for Bush unmatched in conservative circles since the heady days of Ronald Reagan. Talking with people I am acquainted with who belong to quintessential Republican constituent groups - military servicemen, white-collar male professionals, born-again Christians - I find the president to still be held in high regard.

Yet there are signs of trouble in paradise. First there is the anecdotal evidence. When I wrote critically about candidate Bush during the 2000 election, my inbox would flood with missives chiding me for being unfair in my characterizations of his conservative credentials and unrealistic in my political expectations. Just as frequently, there would be impassioned defenses of the man and his policies. In fact, one column where I was particularly hard on Bush elicited the most hostile response I have ever gotten from a conservative reader, who actually sent me an e-mail challenging me to a fight.

Nowadays, my generally milder criticisms of Bush don't seem to provoke much of a backlash and often invite agreement. More surprisingly, when I write favorably about some Bush policy - such as his tax cuts or his support for incremental abortion restrictions - I often get e-mails suggesting that I should be criticizing him for not going far enough. The only time readers were still leaping to Bush's defense would be when I'd express misgivings about the Iraq war, something I generally refrained from after the shooting started. (I wonder if even this would still be the case now.)

Less anecdotally, professional conservatives, the very people who have generally been most reluctant to criticize the Bush administration, are beginning to gripe about some of the president's policies. Conservative think tanks are openly opposing the administration's passivity on health care, for example. Perhaps more representative of grassroots sentiment is some of the grumbling now being heard on the predominantly conservative blogosphere.

Eugene Volokh's co-blogger Phillipe de Croy has called for a Republican primary challenge to President Bush. Paul Cella, blogging on the topic of the impending prescription drug benefit disaster, wrote "This must be why I voted for a 'conservative' presidential candidate: so I can reap the glorious benefits of socialized medicine, and an expansion in the size of the federal government unlike anything since Lyndon Baines Johnson." He notes that Bush faces a lack of pressure from the organized right, which has seemed content to function as "a set of court intellectuals for a ruling party," "the handmaidens of servitude," and "the functionaries of the Servile State." Steve Sailer has been all over Bush's response to the Supreme Court's awful affirmative action ruling in the University of Michigan case. Bush can forget about libertarian bloggers; even many who normally vote Republican are so fed up with his lack of interest in limited government that they are musing about voting for the unspeakable Howard Dean.

Why this outpouring of criticism of the man many conservatives breathlessly predict will usher in an enduring national Republican majority? As a sequel to dropping serious conservative education reform in favor of giving Ted Kennedy the big-government education bill he wanted, Bush is dropping serious conservative Medicare reform in favor of giving Kennedy the big-government Medicare bill he wants. (The latter promising to be a massive boondoggle that will impose staggering costs on future generations to come.) To follow up on his decision to cave on the free speech-strangling McCain-Feingold campaign finance travesty, he is caving on Second Amendment rights by backing a renewal of the assault weapons ban. He has apparently decided that as long as the Sandra Day O'Connor pays lip service to color-blindness 25 years from now, ruling in favor of a more surreptitious regime of racial preferences is A-OK. He's willing to spend federal money on constitutionally dubious "marriage promotion" initiatives but has yet to take any proactive steps to curb the growing judicial threat to traditional marriage.

Then of course there is the steel and lumber tariffs, the PATRIOT Act, the decision to sign ridiculously bloated farm and transportation bills and the refusal to veto wasteful federal spending. Rather than address porous borders and an immigration policy that lends itself more to balkanization than Americanization, the administration treats us to Karl Rove's schemes for illegal alien amnesties. The list goes on.

Yes, every single Democrat vying to replace Bush is far worse. No, I'm not saying we necessarily need to find a Pat Buchanan II to draw first blood against President Bush II. Bush's record is not without accomplishment and, in fact, he has been considerably exceeded my dismally low expectations of him from the 2000 campaign. I voted for him even then and unless there emerges some evidence that even his more hysterical critics are right, I will do so again. It is not my intention to be one of those right-wingers who would rather criticize Bush than the left.

But I do confess to a certain irritation with conservatives who don't seem to think anything is more important than having a president or other elected official with an "R" next to their name when they appear on C-SPAN. The problem isn't really Bush. It is that conservatives don't really expect anything of Republican leaders. Enough liberals were willing to risk losing the presidency in 2000 to rebuke the New Democrats by voting for Ralph Nader over Al Gore. Many are willing to risk losing it again for a principled Democratic presidential candidate in 2004.

What will conservatives be willing to risk in order to contain the growth of government, to preserve the traditional understanding of marriage, to uphold the American national identity? It often looks like not much, but there are some signs this might be changing.

President Bush still has ample time to right some of these wrongs and secure his base for the 2004 elections. Conservatives still have time to exert pressure on a president they have some influence on to further their values. If the latter does not occur, we should not blame the president. We only get the leaders we deserve.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdpartyequalsenemy; 3rdpartyisnotthebase; apesforstupidity; bush43; bushdoctrine; conservativebase; dontletthedoorhitya; gwb2004; returningbannee; scotus; sogoalready; winwithoutyou
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To: jmc813
Oops, their agenda is so similar I get the two confused. They even use so many of the same accusations, phrases...it's almost as if they were working together.
161 posted on 07/14/2003 11:57:24 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: cardinal4
At this point, I think Bush 41 was better than Bush 43... and I voted for Perot.

And I'm not sure if Hillary would be worse than another 4 years of what Bush 43 has been handing out and, yes, I'll explain the comment.

Bush 43 is using his support from the right and the "benefit of the doubt" to slide us further into socialism. Consider for a moment if a President Hillary would have been able to increase the budget of the DOE as did Bush 43, propose another illegal aliens in free and possibly get it, "campaign reform" that violates the Bill of Rights or creation of another massive entitlement program that almost no-one seems to want?

What we are looking at is incrementalism at its finest. At least with a President Hillary, the Republicans in the House and Senate would be obligated to pretend to care... thus giving us smaller steps into socialism. With Bush 43, they're simply dropping trou and looking for a convenient desk and possibly a little lubrication in the form of goodies for the home district a la The Honerable Robert "Sheets" Byrd... and honestly, are there any roads left in West Virginia that don't have Sheets name on them?

I'm tired of giving Bush 43 the benefit of the doubt and hoping he delivers, I'm tired of watching our borders ignored and H1Bs being imported while Americans are unemployed and I'd rather vote for a loser 3rd party than go the "Once more please, Sir!" route.

162 posted on 07/14/2003 11:58:01 AM PDT by dfrussell
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To: jmc813
"And, his WH counsel, Alberto Gonzales, will be another Souter, O'Conner, moderate-lefty nominee to the USSC if Bush is allowed to 'go there'."

See, that's completely todd.

163 posted on 07/14/2003 11:58:54 AM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: CWOJackson
I'm sorry, I do not understand your response.
164 posted on 07/14/2003 11:58:55 AM PDT by Zack Nguyen
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To: Zack Nguyen
No, you're right. He's worse that I thought he would be when I voted for him though. I anticipated that the RAT would take us down the wrong path very quickly and that Bush would do his best to avoid the path, if indeed not start rolling up the path a bit. The latest lurches to the left are what I feared.
165 posted on 07/14/2003 12:00:24 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Catalonia
You're paranoid.

That description is an understatement.

but painting those who are concerned with certain aspects of the Administration's re-election strategy or policy decisions is ludicrous. Nobody respects mindless goose-steppers.

Thank you for that bit of common sense.......

166 posted on 07/14/2003 12:00:43 PM PDT by Joe Hadenuf (Are these people for real?)
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To: Abram
Flee the Party (vs. working within it to persuade individuals to be like minded) and vote for a third party.

A couple of things:

1) Explain how I can effectively work within the party, and I'm not talking about B.S. tactics like writing a litter to your representative, and I might. Maybe you could tell me abou the Republican Liberty Caucus.

2) Why have a 'grass-roots' conservative forum like Free Republic if we must always work through the Republican Party for change?

167 posted on 07/14/2003 12:02:46 PM PDT by Catalonia
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To: dfrussell
All very valid points. But President Hillary would be the end of the Republic as we know it. Can you imagine her ideolgy coupled with the ability to issue Executive Orders? As far as I know, and could be wrong, Bush's only exec orders are recsinding Billyjeffs. Bush 43 will always be better than Kerry, or Hillary. Thats my opinion.
168 posted on 07/14/2003 12:03:14 PM PDT by cardinal4 (The Senate Armed Services Comm; the Chinese pipeline into US secrets)
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To: Catalonia
What are you seriously going to do to keep the limited government types happy?

Those types should be thrown out of the party immediately!

Should I say it???

Better.........*******SARCASM*********

169 posted on 07/14/2003 12:03:35 PM PDT by Joe Hadenuf (Are these people for real?)
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To: Zack Nguyen
todd is an ex-freeper who used to do the exact same thing. He would make a post out of any article, regardless the source and credibility, that brought discredit to the President. He posted every DU and fringe party talking point that would anger single issue voters. He seemed hell bent on bringing dissention and distrust the the administration in any way he could. And when challenged he would simply reply that he supported President Bush, he voted for President Bush...he was just holding the President's feet to the fire.

I'll give him credit, at least he had the courage to outright call the President a socialist instead of just insinuating it all the time like the ape.

170 posted on 07/14/2003 12:04:01 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Catalonia
Bttt... What you said!
171 posted on 07/14/2003 12:04:15 PM PDT by Brian S
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To: dfrussell
I don't know that I have or will ever identify a '3rd party' candidate that I would vote for, but I certainly am somewhat open-minded about it. I can tell you this - I have zero enthusiasm to rally the troops for the primaries or general election this go around. Magnify that across the conservative base and Bush II looks like Bush I (termer).
172 posted on 07/14/2003 12:04:22 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Catalonia
When Joe praises your common sense it's best to get an immediate appointment with a mental health professional.
173 posted on 07/14/2003 12:05:34 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Brian S
I'll second that bump......
174 posted on 07/14/2003 12:07:04 PM PDT by Joe Hadenuf (Are these people for real?)
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To: ApesForEvolution
"I have zero enthusiasm to rally the troops for the primaries or general election this go around."

Which is why you are working so tirelessly to demoralize the troops, spread dessention and surpress the vote.

175 posted on 07/14/2003 12:07:07 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: cardinal4
Oops here we go again with the 'well if you don't vote for Bush evil democrat ______ will get in'. At least with a democrat in the white house this runaway spending might've been opposed. Judicial appointments would've been held up albeit from the conservative side.

Bush again? Campaign finance reform, support of the assault weapons ban, prescription drug forced charities, the education bill with Uncle Ted Kennedy, and finally where is that damn uranium at? No thanks to a second Bush term, I'll cast a principled vote for a third party candidate.
176 posted on 07/14/2003 12:07:15 PM PDT by samm1148
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To: Catalonia
I'd like you to seriously address that issue. If the conservative base was unsatisfied with the Republican Party in '92, thus bringing us Clinton, what do you plan on doing to keep people from being unsatisfied with the Republican Party in '04. Sounds like your plan is to do nothing, in which case I blame guys like you for throwing the election. Republican goose-steppers are responsible for holding their party to account. What are you seriously going to do to keep the limited government types happy?

I have seriously addressed it many times, but I have come up to the conclusion that all that matters to you is being unhappy.

Look it's your right to believe that you live in a perfect world and voting for the 1% candidate will make a difference, but Perot got 19% and it didn't make a difference.

As I have stated before Bush is not perfect and no candidate will ever will be, but he is a whole lot better than the alternative, Kerry/Dean/Gephardt/Edwards/Lieberman etc. etc.

177 posted on 07/14/2003 12:07:28 PM PDT by Dane
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To: CWOJackson
What? Oh, it's just you...
178 posted on 07/14/2003 12:07:44 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution ("The only way evil triumphs is if good men do nothing" E. Burke)
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To: Poohbah
I not only voted for him, but I donated money.

And it is increasingly likely that I will vote 3rd party in 2004.

179 posted on 07/14/2003 12:09:16 PM PDT by dfrussell
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To: ApesForEvolution
Yes todd, it's me.
180 posted on 07/14/2003 12:09:22 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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