Ah-nold Will Win

Congressman Billybob's website ^ | 2 July 2003 | Congressman Billybob (J. Armor, Esq.)

[Canticle_of_Deborah]

Bump to that.

The way the Dems are trashing Issa right now, I'm sure they are ready and waiting for Arnold to declare his candidacy.

[Let's Roll]

Agree totally - who needs this mess?

It won't be workable until Californians accept that they have to cut spending. At this point they just want to be saved and, as it's obvious grayout can't do it, they are all for getting someone else in there to save them as long as programs and spending aren't really cut. Not gonna work, never has, never will.

[El Conservador]

The only offices that allow only natural-born citizens are those of the President and the Vice-President.

[Cicero]

I think you're right. Fortunately I can't vote in California, because I couldn't vote for the guy on account of his position on abortion.

It would have been a LOT better if the Republican pros had lined up behind Simon last year and given him enough funding to win the election. Didn't happen. I think the recall was a second major mistake--better to let Davis take the blame for the mess he has made. But if there's going to be a recall, Ahnold is probably the only choice remaining.

[luckodeirish]

It won't be workable until Californians accept that they have to cut spending

Actually, most of us Californians are happy to cut spending. We would like to start immediatly by cutting (and I mean stopping) free medical services, housing and education for illegals.

[amused]

[Prodigal Son]

I think if it comes to the ballot box- Arnold could very well win. In doing so, he would become the living embodiment of the American dream. From the Alps in Austria to rich, famous, celebrated governor of the largest state in the Union.

[mattdono]

I agree with you Congressman Billybob. Actually, I made a similar prediction (though not as thorough) back on 6/11/2003

I admire your commentary here on FR and am glad to know that my analysis was similar.

[Monty22]

I just saw T3... He sure has a winner of a movie there. It's awesome.

[fish hawk]

I agree, Arnold has the muscle!!!

[ewing]

Davis has said under no circumstances will he resign.

[AndyTheBear]

The other fear would be that as soon as Ah-nold or anyone else was elected Governor, their would be another recall effort

Of coarse there will be another recall effort. There has always been a recall effort against every governer since the law started.

The recall against Davis is succeding because even the not normally political types feel he has failed us. Without this feeling, the recall against the next governer will likely be the typical obscure failure.

[SierraWasp]

I'm sorry if this comes off as insulting, and I stand ready to take the flames and even a thorough shunning, but this entire thread is void of rational comment based on any real knowledge of CA politics, so far.

If I'm wrong, then it means that the majority in this state are more vacuous than those in MN that jumped on a celebrity from the WWF, or even the folks that screwed our whole country up by casting their votes for nutty Perot!

You folks ain't seen nuthin, YET!!!

Everytime the Public Employee Unions, the Liberal Non-Profits, the Gay Communutty, the Enviral Communutty, the Illegal Communutty get frightened... You aren't gonna believe what's gonna happen before this is all over.

We will see some of the same EXTREME political hysteria that happened in June, 1998 when Prop 226 initially looked like it was gonna be passed by conservative voters. It will make the FL 2000 nearly stolen election look like nothing bad ever was attempted there.

[eureka!]

Interesting and well thought out, as usual. Methinks you are right, too, for a different reason. Arnold is not, in most eyes, a "politician". As the recall is a shake up, so too is voting for a nonpolitician. I know, Simon was too, however, he was successfully demonized by the presstitutes and Grayout's campaign $$. Whatever the case, it will be lots of fun to watch...

[Bush2000]

And this is why the Republicans should not try to win the Governorship. Let all the blame for California's collapse fall unambiguously where it belongs: on the Democrats.

I agree that blame should fall on the Democrats' shoulders. But voters have a short memory. If a Democrat succeeds Davis, he'll blame Davis, not the Democrat Party. Which means that we need to elect a Republican. I could care less whether it's Arnold or somebody else. The important thing is to swing California's electoral votes in our favor. Arnold can do that.

[Carry_Okie]

Led by election officials loyal to Davis, who is the captain of their sinking ship, California will delay as long as possible the official certification of those signatures.

Here's the law: California Constitution, Article 2, Sec 14(c):
(c) The Secretary of State shall maintain a continuous count of the signatures certified to that office.

He doesn't have the room to delay it within that law. It's up to us to lean on our county officials.

[Bullish]

An early question is whether, once the handwriting is on the wall, Governor Davis can resign, turn the job over to Lieutenant Governor Cruz Bustamante, and thereby cancel the recall election.

Many have speculated on that, including Susan Estrich, Professor of Law at UCLA, who should have known better. The California Code provides that if the target of a recall "resigns after a recall has been filed," the appropriate official takes over "until the election is held." And this recall has been filed.The window for Davis to stop the process by resigning has closed. Ms. Estrich should have known better than to state the opposite on Fox News this week.

But then she's a longtime Democrat operative, allowed her politics to interfere with reading and understanding the law that she teaches in the classroom.

You should check this article out.

[William McKinley]

Congressman,

The election will be set either early in October, or early November. Worst case analysis, assume November.

From this, does it really follow that there "will be a two-part election"? What happens if a short time before the election it is apparent to Davis that he will lose and lose badly, and he decides to resign?

Given what the Democrats pulled in New Jersey with the assistance of their kangaroo state Supreme Court, is it not likely that the Democrats would say that there is no legal reason to go forth with the election?

[William McKinley]

Never mind. I missed this while reading:

The California Code provides that if the target of a recall "resigns after a recall has been filed," the appropriate official takes over "until the election is held." And this recall has been filed.

[Grampa Dave]

Good! All this excitement beats the summer reruns and the August blahs re fly fishing.

Issa is right on top of this. I just got a first class letter from him "Help me clean up the Gray Davis Mess--Congressman Darrell Issa!" on the envelope.


This will cost the unions, the phoney non profits, and the rats millions if not billions to try and keep Davis. That is money they will not have to spend in 2004.

Issa and Ar Nold are wealthy, so their battle will not cost us a lot.

During this upcoming $hit $torm we can remind all of the moderates that they brought this on by voting for Herr Davis twice for governor.

If there is no budget and Wall Street steps in to set up a budget, that will make this summer commedy even better.

I plan to stock up on a lot popcorn, beer and sun tea to watch this great American Comedy unroll!

In the meantime, Davis had better hire a food taster and stay away from any planes, trains, buses and cars. The Clintoon DNC Rats don't like losers as a senator from Mo and Minnesota found out in 2000 and 2002. Torch beat the death sentence by retiring.