A really outstanding summary of SARS.
To: EternalHope
Haven't you read the other thread? SARS doesn't exist.
2 posted on
04/26/2003 10:50:41 PM PDT by
Arkinsaw
To: EternalHope
An interesting question would also be "IS CHINA THE VICTIM OF A BIO-TERROR ATTACK ?"
Did a madman-scientist or a group of MANKIND-HATING Nazis-like nuts started this evil scheme ? The truth may or may never be known.
However, The PLA would sure like to find out
Was that why the Chinese Govt initially reluctant to give out info about the disease ? For fear that these info would help the attackers monitor the progress of their attack?
To: EternalHope
China may be relatively backward...Now there's an understatement!
To: EternalHope
Is it possible that SARS has been present in Western populations for a long time but has been no more than a nuisance?
I'm thinking of how small pox decimated American Indian populations but not Europeans, who had developed more widespread immunity to the virus.
Could SARS have been unknowingly introduced by westerners into a population in China that had never been exposed to it and therefore had little immunity?
13 posted on
04/26/2003 11:49:49 PM PDT by
Ken H
To: EternalHope
"...Toronto is losing $30 million a day. All told, says WHO, the global cost of SARS is approaching $30 billion." Funny economics. If I decide not to fly to Toronto and buy something the world has incured a cost?
Ok. So tomorrow lets all not buy walkmans. That will create a global cost of $600 billion dollars? A cost? For not spending money?
SARS has a cost. It is the resources consumed to fight the disease and the reduced production can, I guess, be viewed as a cost. Buy not flying somewhere to spend money?
Are marketing people running the world or something?
To: EternalHope
Thanks for posting this article.
16 posted on
04/27/2003 12:11:38 AM PDT by
Betty Jo
To: EternalHope
My analysis says the SARS death rate is much higher than widely reported.
I believe the various areas differ for two main reasons:
- Some areas have better/worse treatement and life-support facilities.
- Some countries choose to report only their more SERIOUS cases as SARS.
SARS Mortality Rates Based on World Health Organization data (Revised: 4/27am) |
Area |
Recoveries to date |
Deaths to date |
Recent** Death Rate |
|
Active Cases still in Danger |
Projected Future Deaths |
Projected Final Mortality |
Hong Kong |
632 |
121 |
12.9% |
|
774 |
100 |
14.5% |
Singapore |
126 |
21 |
16.1% |
|
51 |
8 |
14.8% |
China |
1285 |
122 |
28.2% |
|
1346 |
380 |
18.2% |
Canada |
77 |
18 |
20.7% |
|
47 |
10 |
19.5% |
World-wide |
2239 |
293 |
18.5% |
|
2304 |
426 |
14.9% |
** ( Deaths in the last 7 days) / ( Deaths + Recoveries in the last 7 days) |
Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger |
Date |
Hong Kong |
Singapore |
China |
Canada |
World-wide |
Apr 19 |
914 |
61 |
307 |
66 |
1616 |
Apr 20 |
893 |
64 |
497 |
66 |
1694 |
Apr 21 (est.) |
872 |
66 |
686 |
66 |
1771 |
Apr 22 |
874 |
60 |
708 |
61 |
1783 |
Apr 23 |
831 |
58 |
968 |
58 |
2005 |
Apr 24 |
812 |
55 |
1058 |
58 |
2059 |
Apr 25 |
781 |
50 |
1209 |
51 |
2169 |
Apr 26 |
774 |
51 |
1346 |
47 |
2304 |
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) |
My observations:
- Hong Kong 'might' be getting a handle on their problem.
- It's average new cases per day is smaller than cases resolved per day.
- It apparently has the best treatment rate.
- Singapore and Canada MAY be the close to controlling their active caseloads:
- Canada's higher death rate MAY be because more patients truly had SARS,
instead of something else like flu. - OR MAYBE Canada has poorer healthcare
- OR MAYBE Canada is ONLY reporting it's more-severe cases.
- China appears to be terribly out of control by every measure.
To: EternalHope
A really outstanding summary of SARS.
From Time? Sure. That's the ticket.
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