Bush Edges Clinton, Tops All Comers In New York, But Most Voters Say She Should Stay In The Senate

Quinnipiac ^ | 4/24/03

[areafiftyone]

If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton challenged President George W. Bush in 2004, the not-so-native daughter would be on the short side of a 47 -- 44 percent split among New York voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.

President Bush has a 58 -- 37 percent approval in New York, up from 50 -- 44 percent in a February 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

"That a president fresh off a wartime win would poll higher than most wannabes isn't surprising. What will surprise many is that President Bush does so well against Sen. Clinton," said Maurice Carroll director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"In 2000, Bush was so far behind in New York, he didn't even bother to campaign here.

"Meanwhile, New Yorkers want Hillary to stay home. They'd rather have her call Chappaqua home than to try going back to Pennsylvania Avenue."

Bush is ahead of other leaders in the Democratic Presidential pack:

• 50 -- 38 percent over Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman;
• 50 -- 38 percent over Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry;
• 49 -- 38 percent over Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt.

As a result of the war in Iraq, 31 percent of New York State voters say they are more likely to vote for Bush for reelection, with 28 percent saying they are less likely and 38 percent saying their position hasn't changed.

New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 885 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	59	54	66	57	58	60	64
Disapprove	22	31	16	23	26	18	25
DK/NA	19	15	17	20	16	21	11
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	51	58	56	63	59
Disapprove	27	20	21	22	23
DK/NA	22	23	22	15	17
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	52	31	72	46	50	54	53
Disapprove	36	61	18	42	41	32	35
DK/NA	12	8	11	12	9	14	12
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	42	49	48	59	48
Disapprove	47	40	42	28	40
DK/NA	11	10	10	13	11
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W.Bush is handling his job as President?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	58	91	38	56	60	57	59
Disapprove	37	7	56	40	35	39	38
DK/NA	4	1	5	4	4	4	3
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	68	65	66	46	66
Disapprove	27	32	31	50	29
DK/NA	5	3	3	5	5
9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Clinton	44	7	72	39	37	50	47
Bush	47	90	16	49	52	42	44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	-	3	3	3	2	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	-	2	3	2	1	2
DK/NA	5	3	6	6	6	5	6
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Clinton	26	34	33	61	35
Bush	63	55	57	29	58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	4	2	2	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	1	1	1	2	1
DK/NA	5	7	7	5	4
10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W.Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Lieberman	38	6	66	34	34	41	45
Bush	50	88	23	47	54	46	43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	-	2	5	4	1	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	1	3	3	2	2	4
DK/NA	8	5	5	11	6	10	6
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Lieberman	21	28	26	54	33
Bush	68	56	59	35	57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	3	3	3	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	-	2	1	3	3
DK/NA	8	12	11	6	6
11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Kerry	38	4	65	35	36	40	42
Bush	50	92	21	49	53	46	43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	1	-	1	2	2	1	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	1	1	1	2	2	1	1
DK/NA	10	3	12	12	8	13	12
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Kerry	22	28	27	55	30
Bush	65	59	60	32	60
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	1	2	1	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	-	-	-	1	3
DK/NA	10	11	11	11	8
12. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Gephardt	38	5	67	33	37	39	42
Bush	49	90	20	48	52	46	45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	1	1	3	2	2	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	-	2	4	2	2	2
DK/NA	9	3	10	11	7	11	10
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Gephardt	23	27	26	53	34
Bush	64	58	60	32	57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	3	3	3	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	2	2	2	2
DK/NA	8	10	10	11	6
13. As a result of the war with Iraq, are you now more likely to support George W. Bush for a second term as President, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
More likely	31	54	14	30	35	26	27
Less likely	28	7	40	32	25	30	33
Hasn't changed	38	37	39	37	34	40	40
DK/NA	4	2	7	1	5	3	1
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
More likely	27	35	33	21	42
Less likely	20	25	24	38	18
Hasn't changed	49	35	38	37	38
DK/NA	4	5	5	4	2
14. Would you like to see Hillary Rodham Clinton run for President in 2004 or not?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Yes	37	11	55	32	29	43	38
No	59	85	40	62	65	54	59
DK/NA	4	4	5	5	5	3	3
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Yes	23	29	27	51	30
No	74	67	69	44	66
DK/NA	3	4	4	5	5

[trebb]

Are you not proud that you state will give the President 31 electoral votes in 2004?

Keep in mind that if New York goes for Bush, then so will Connecticut and New Jersey. I still have hope for Massachusetts and Rhode Island, being that Bush lost those states by the same margin and is now leading in one of them by 12 points.

Thanks for the perspective - I will sleep much better tonight.

[b4its2late]

[lowbridge]

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

Total: 52 percent approve. 35 pecent disapprove.

Question 3a: Do you even really know what her job entails, and what she has actually done? Do you even know how she voted on the issues?

[ohioman]

It is sad that so many idiots live in NY State.

[qam1]

why would 7 percent of registered R's vote for Hillary if she ran against Bush???!?!?!!! Who ARE these idiots and whya re they even registered R's?

The poll takers must have called the Governor and the members of the State Senate.

[anniegetyourgun]

You're spot on....again....

[ReaganRevolution]

I didn't say she would be viable, just in the game. She'll try her best to win the nomination it's her life's dream to be President "again"

[Darksheare]

Illbay, every 'poll' done in New York ask ONLY select people in a pre-determined area.
Guess what areas they conduct them in?
Hint: they were blue in the county by county vote result map.

The polls also ask super-vague questions that could mean anything.
To be elected in this stae, they had to cheat as well.
The voting machines here are those stupid lever-matic voting machines.
Guess which voting levers were disabled in 2000?

[Darksheare]

Illbay, every 'poll' done in New York ask ONLY select people in a pre-determined area.
Guess what areas they conduct them in?
Hint: they were blue in the county by county vote result map.

The polls also ask super-vague questions that could mean anything.
To be elected in this state, they had to cheat as well.
The voting machines here are those stupid lever-matic voting machines.
Guess which voting levers were disabled in 2000?

[Darksheare]

GAAAH!
and ZOUNDS!
DOUBLE POST!!

[JennysCool]

why would 7 percent of registered R's vote for Hillary if she ran against Bush???!?!?!!! Who ARE these idiots and whya re they even registered R's?

My best guess is that's the percentage of Republican-leaning men under the thumb of their soccer-mom wives.

[Darksheare]

Well, there's also the fact that vote fraud is a main staple of the Dem party here in this state.
Shenanigans like that have been going on for years.

That, and there are those who claim to be Republican but are RINOs.
New York is one majorly screwed up state.

[Once-Ler]

Illbay, every 'poll' done in New York ask ONLY select people in a pre-determined area.

It's not the polls Darksheare. It's the elections. Do you all get flat tires on the first Tuesday in Nov? No. You live in a liberal state. Don't take it personally. There are more 'rats living there than Pubbies. Deal with it.

[Darksheare]

Yes and no.
Look at the county by county voting results 2000 map.
The counties with the major cities like NYC, Albany, Buffalo and such are all blue.

The rural areas where it's mainly farmland and people who actually honestly have a life outside of the political eye were all red.

It was the cities versus the country.
And the polls are done in the cities, like Ithica.
To break even with Lazio or even gain a lead, the Shrillery needed to pull a dirty.
And tehy did.
There were voting machines that were disabled, Republican levers only.
The paper 'back up' ballots were mysteriously 'lost' in the circular file, meaning tossed into the dumpster.
One of the local news stations saw firsthand such shenanigans, reported that paper backup ballots were being thrown out, then promptly clammed up when they found out it was their side doing it.

This state isn't quite as liberal as some would think.
They got quite animated when the libs in a certain school district wanted to teach third and fourth graders the 'joys' of S&M, bondage, gay&lesbian sex, bestiality, fisting and such.
The schoolboard was promptly forced to stepback from it.
The press bother to report it?
Not on your life.

[Theodore R.]

You think Hillary has had sex since she conceived Chelsea?

Only Vince Foster knew for sure!

[ALOHA RONNIE]

.."IS it SAFE?" = HILLARY on Armed Services Committee..

http://www.TheAlamoFILM.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=629

[Marysecretary]

That's right. Of course it's mostly city folk who thinks she's wonderful, and college folk. I wish she'd disappear down the black hole of calcutta, but I'm afraid she won't. She is one dangerous cookie.

[Marysecretary]

I'll never forget the time I went down to NYC to work with NYSUM, a ministry that reaches out to the homeless. I was walking down a busy street and coming toward me was a handsome young man sporting an expensive leather jacket and carrying a leather bag for his work (I can't remember the name of it==grrr!). Anyway, as we walked by eachother, I noticed he was wearing a woman's slip and boots. It was so incredibly ODD! I live in a small town. You'd never see that here. You're right, people don't care what you wear in the city.

[areafiftyone]

LOL - OMG of all the experiences to have! That is funny!

[Donna Lee Nardo]

The way the headline is written is wacky. They don't want people to know that GWB beat the hell out of the wench in the poll. n inattentive scan of the headline alone could leave many to believe that the bitch topped GWB instead. Oops! Can I say bitch?