Posted on 04/24/2003 6:23:54 AM PDT by areafiftyone
If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton challenged President George W. Bush in 2004, the not-so-native daughter would be on the short side of a 47 -- 44 percent split among New York voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.
President Bush has a 58 -- 37 percent approval in New York, up from 50 -- 44 percent in a February 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
"That a president fresh off a wartime win would poll higher than most wannabes isn't surprising. What will surprise many is that President Bush does so well against Sen. Clinton," said Maurice Carroll director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"In 2000, Bush was so far behind in New York, he didn't even bother to campaign here.
"Meanwhile, New Yorkers want Hillary to stay home. They'd rather have her call Chappaqua home than to try going back to Pennsylvania Avenue."
Bush is ahead of other leaders in the Democratic Presidential pack:
As a result of the war in Iraq, 31 percent of New York State voters say they are more likely to vote for Bush for reelection, with 28 percent saying they are less likely and 38 percent saying their position hasn't changed.
New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.
From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 885 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Approve |
59
|
54
|
66
|
57
|
58
|
60
|
64
|
Disapprove |
22
|
31
|
16
|
23
|
26
|
18
|
25
|
DK/NA |
19
|
15
|
17
|
20
|
16
|
21
|
11
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Approve |
51
|
58
|
56
|
63
|
59
|
||
Disapprove |
27
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
||
DK/NA |
22
|
23
|
22
|
15
|
17
|
||
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Approve |
52
|
31
|
72
|
46
|
50
|
54
|
53
|
Disapprove |
36
|
61
|
18
|
42
|
41
|
32
|
35
|
DK/NA |
12
|
8
|
11
|
12
|
9
|
14
|
12
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Approve |
42
|
49
|
48
|
59
|
48
|
||
Disapprove |
47
|
40
|
42
|
28
|
40
|
||
DK/NA |
11
|
10
|
10
|
13
|
11
|
||
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W.Bush is handling his job as President? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Approve |
58
|
91
|
38
|
56
|
60
|
57
|
59
|
Disapprove |
37
|
7
|
56
|
40
|
35
|
39
|
38
|
DK/NA |
4
|
1
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Approve |
68
|
65
|
66
|
46
|
66
|
||
Disapprove |
27
|
32
|
31
|
50
|
29
|
||
DK/NA |
5
|
3
|
3
|
5
|
5
|
||
9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Clinton |
44
|
7
|
72
|
39
|
37
|
50
|
47
|
Bush |
47
|
90
|
16
|
49
|
52
|
42
|
44
|
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
2
|
-
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
2
|
-
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
DK/NA |
5
|
3
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Clinton |
26
|
34
|
33
|
61
|
35
|
||
Bush |
63
|
55
|
57
|
29
|
58
|
||
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
4
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
||
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
1
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
||
DK/NA |
5
|
7
|
7
|
5
|
4
|
||
10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W.Bush the Republican for whom would you vote? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Lieberman |
38
|
6
|
66
|
34
|
34
|
41
|
45
|
Bush |
50
|
88
|
23
|
47
|
54
|
46
|
43
|
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
2
|
-
|
2
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
2
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
DK/NA |
8
|
5
|
5
|
11
|
6
|
10
|
6
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Lieberman |
21
|
28
|
26
|
54
|
33
|
||
Bush |
68
|
56
|
59
|
35
|
57
|
||
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
3
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
||
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
-
|
2
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
||
DK/NA |
8
|
12
|
11
|
6
|
6
|
||
11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Kerry |
38
|
4
|
65
|
35
|
36
|
40
|
42
|
Bush |
50
|
92
|
21
|
49
|
53
|
46
|
43
|
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
1
|
-
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
1
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
DK/NA |
10
|
3
|
12
|
12
|
8
|
13
|
12
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Kerry |
22
|
28
|
27
|
55
|
30
|
||
Bush |
65
|
59
|
60
|
32
|
60
|
||
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
2
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
||
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
-
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
3
|
||
DK/NA |
10
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
8
|
||
12. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Gephardt |
38
|
5
|
67
|
33
|
37
|
39
|
42
|
Bush |
49
|
90
|
20
|
48
|
52
|
46
|
45
|
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
2
|
1
|
1
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
2
|
-
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
DK/NA |
9
|
3
|
10
|
11
|
7
|
11
|
10
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Gephardt |
23
|
27
|
26
|
53
|
34
|
||
Bush |
64
|
58
|
60
|
32
|
57
|
||
SMONE ELSE(VOL) |
3
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
||
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) |
2
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
||
DK/NA |
8
|
10
|
10
|
11
|
6
|
||
13. As a result of the war with Iraq, are you now more likely to support George W. Bush for a second term as President, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
More likely |
31
|
54
|
14
|
30
|
35
|
26
|
27
|
Less likely |
28
|
7
|
40
|
32
|
25
|
30
|
33
|
Hasn't changed |
38
|
37
|
39
|
37
|
34
|
40
|
40
|
DK/NA |
4
|
2
|
7
|
1
|
5
|
3
|
1
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
More likely |
27
|
35
|
33
|
21
|
42
|
||
Less likely |
20
|
25
|
24
|
38
|
18
|
||
Hasn't changed |
49
|
35
|
38
|
37
|
38
|
||
DK/NA |
4
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
2
|
||
14. Would you like to see Hillary Rodham Clinton run for President in 2004 or not? | |||||||
Union
|
|||||||
Tot
|
Rep
|
Dem
|
Ind
|
Men
|
Wom
|
HsHolds
|
|
Yes |
37
|
11
|
55
|
32
|
29
|
43
|
38
|
No |
59
|
85
|
40
|
62
|
65
|
54
|
59
|
DK/NA |
4
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
3
|
3
|
UpState.............
|
UpState
|
||||||
Urban
|
Othr
|
Total
|
NYC
|
Sub
|
|||
Yes |
23
|
29
|
27
|
51
|
30
|
||
No |
74
|
67
|
69
|
44
|
66
|
||
DK/NA |
3
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
|
|
So much for those who claim that Hillary!'s antics since taking office have alienated New Yorkers.
No one apparently notices the reporting about her falsifying records of meetings with 9/11 survivors, etc.
You people who claim that Hillary! is toast in NY are just engaging in wishful thinking.
I find this rather remarkable . . you would think that after 9/11 grandstanding, the Whitewater Scandals, FileGate, TravelGate, and all the terrible examples of carpetbagging New Yorkers would have achieved a better sense of truth and reality.
Oh well.
Clinton's BIG DOMINO - The Rogues Gallery
Alamo Girl's Downside Legacy of The Clinton's
I'd skew the results about five points to the right to get the actual sentiments of New Yorkers.
/sarcasm
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