Russert: Landrieu's chances 50:50 at best; Bush to visit after Turkey Day

CNBC Capitol Report ^ | 11-13-02 | Me

[GraniteStateConservative]

Tim Russert was interviewed on CNBC's Capitol Report tonight. He's scheduled to moderate a debate with Landrieu and Terrell this Sunday. He said that a big reason Daschle folded on the Homeland Security Dept. was to try to help Landrieu. He also announced that Bush will visit Louisiana shortly after Thanksgiving when the WH thinks people in the state will really start to focus on the race. He also gave Landrieu no better than a 50% chance to win the race.

[billorites]

"He also gave Landrieu no better than a 50% chance to win the race. "

I've been a good Republican so far and followed Bush's example and Rush's dictum that we should not gloat.

If Terrell wins, I'll be doing this nasty little tap-dance, singing "n'yah, n'yah," and will be generally insufferable to be around.

Please somebody stop me before I gloat.

Gotta call my sponsor...

[Paleo Conservative]

He also announced that Bush will visit Louisiana shortly after Thanksgiving

Sounds like President Bush will carve her up pretty good.

[anniegetyourgun]

We're here for you billorites.....try to hold on.....

[Consort]

50-50?

There's ony about a 10% chance of that.

[NeoCaveman]

50-50?

There's ony about a 10% chance of that.

Sounds about right to me. LOL

[deport]

fyi

[deport]

........There's ony about a 10% chance of that.....

---

That's assuming the dead rise and vote.....

[Lunatic Fringe]

Two people in a tight race, and you give one of them a 50-50 chance. Really going out on a limb there, Tim....

[Paleo Conservative]

That's assuming the dead rise and vote.....

Why do you think the dead are burried above ground in New Orleans?

[harrowup]

I was hoping the President would stay away from this one. He has had a cordial relationship with Senators Breaux and Landrieu and I believe he will look like a spoiler either way.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Re-election rates are much higher than 50-50. Landrieu should be favored at least about 55-45 or 60-40 to win. She isn't though.

[Deport Billary]

I hope Russert takes her apart the way he did McBride ...

[GraniteStateConservative]

Yeah, sort of like in Georgia-- where Zell Miller both endorsed and stumped with Cleland and also co-sponsored Bush's tax cut package. That really blew up in our faces. [/sarcasm]

This is a runoff with little reason for high turnout. We are wanting to demoralize the Democrats. That's what Bush does. He doesn't incite Democrats. He makes them feel sorry for themselves because they are leaderless and because he stole "Remember Florida" from them and he stole "he lost the popular vote" from them. Bush will excite Republicans to volunteer and vote.

In NH he kept a much stronger Democrat than Landrieu is from going to D. C. If Bush can punch out our "Independent Party" nominee for U. S. Senate from winning, he can knockout Miss Mary.

[Common Tator]

Just remember that when a major media reporter or commentato says a Democrat has a 50/50 chance he has seen polls that show 55 to 45 loss with a 4 point margin of error.

But the reason daschle folded is pretty obvious. Democrats do not thave the votes to stop the Republicans from bringing it up for consideration. Daschle could have refused to bring it up. That is what Lott thought he would do. But Bush had lined up enough votes to bring it to the floor with out Daschle

Daschle could not stop the vote and he could not stop the passage. That is the reason it will pass. IT had nothing directly to do with popularity. It was that several Democrat Senators were going to vote to hear it and pass it. There was nothing Daschle could do to stop it. So he will not try.

In this congress with 50 democrats one independent and 49 Republicans, Daschle could not come up with 40 votes. If DAschle does not have 40 votes in this congress he will not come close to that in the next. Bush will have to peal off either 8 or 9 Democrats in the next congress to get the required 60 votes to invoke cloture. This week proves that Bush has more than that number.This may turn out to be a situation where bush gets everything. But some loud mouth democrats over the next 2 years will scream so loud that the public will think the Democrats are holding things up

The public does not buy attacks. The public buys people who offer solutions. The Democrats hate Bush and attack him. It is very counterproductive.

[Phantom Lord]

The LA race is of supreme importance. Bush and the LA GOP need to pour every resource into it. If the RATS win you can take to the bank that they will say that, "the people of LA got a small taste of GOP control and didnt like it so they rightly elected Landrieu." Figuring out what the left is gonna say is easy. And if Terrell wins, the RATS will really be driven nutz along with the GOP being able to say the opposite of what the dems would say.

[winin2000]

Can't believe Rush actually floated the notion that maybe it'd be a good idea to not go hard-charging after this seat so as not to appear as if we're "attacking a woman" or getting "too greedy."

This is a no-brainer. It isn't just a matter of having one more seat in our narrow majority; imagine the orgasms the RATS and the press will have spinning it if we lose!

"See, the American people are having some buyer's remorse! GOP's losing momentum and they haven't even taken control yet! This is a conservative, Bush state and he couldn't even pull off this race? What mandate?"

To say nothing of how it would embolden RATS to resume their obstructionism (and it's inevitable, trust me) even sooner. You get the picture.

[Hildy]

I'm going to say it again...peopl want to be on the side of the winners...The Republican will win.

[deport]

Why do you think the dead are burried above ground in New Orleans?

So that Marie Laveau can work her
voodoo spells much easier...

[Paleo Conservative]

I'm going to say it again...peopl want to be on the side of the winners...

So, did you vote for Clinton in 1992 just because he was going to win?