Real Clear Politics Nails 2002 predictions better than Zogby

RealClearPolitics.com ^ | 11/5/02

[finnman69]

Final RCP Predictions on Key 2002 Senate Races

Republicans Take Control Of The Senate 51 - 49 (Not Counting Louisiana Runoff)

Arkansas Pryor (D) 53% - Hutchinson (R) 47%. DEM +1 Colorado Allard (R) 49% - Strickland (D) 48% GOP Hold Georgia Chambliss (R) 49% - Cleland (D) 49% GOP +1 Iowa Harkin (D) 53% - Ganske (R) 46% DEM Hold Louisiana Landrieu (D) 45% Runoff Minnesota Coleman (R) 51% - Mondale (D) 47% GOP +1 Missouri Talent (R) 51% - Carnahan (D) 48% GOP +1 New Hampshire Shaheen (D) 49% - Sununu (R) 49% DEM +1 New Jersey Lautenberg (D) 51% - Forrester (R) 47% DEM Hold North Carolina Dole (R) 50% - Bowles(D) 48% GOP Hold South Carolina Graham (R) 55% - Sanders (D) 44% GOP Hold South Dakota Thune (R) 50% - Johnson (D) 50% GOP +1 Tennesee Alexander (R) 54% - Clement (D) 46% GOP Hold Texas Cornyn (R) 51% - Kirk (D) 47% GOP Hold

Total Net Gain (Not Counting Louisiana Runoff) GOP +2

[finnman69]

The only thing he missed...maybe was SD..and thats within 500 votes. They bested Zogby.

Check out the governor and House races too. He nailed the Kennedy race too.

[finnman69]

Final RCP Predictions on Key 2002 Senate Races

Republicans Take Control Of The Senate 51 - 49 (Not Counting Louisiana Runoff)

Arkansas Pryor (D) 53% - Hutchinson (R) 47%. DEM +1
Colorado Allard (R) 49% - Strickland (D) 48% GOP Hold
Georgia Chambliss (R) 49% - Cleland (D) 49% GOP +1
Iowa Harkin (D) 53% - Ganske (R) 46% DEM Hold
Louisiana Landrieu (D) 45% Runoff
Minnesota Coleman (R) 51% - Mondale (D) 47% GOP +1
Missouri Talent (R) 51% - Carnahan (D) 48% GOP +1
New Hampshire Shaheen (D) 49% - Sununu (R) 49% DEM +1
New Jersey Lautenberg (D) 51% - Forrester (R) 47% DEM Hold
North Carolina Dole (R) 50% - Bowles(D) 48% GOP Hold
South Carolina Graham (R) 55% - Sanders (D) 44% GOP Hold
South Dakota Thune (R) 50% - Johnson (D) 50% GOP +1
Tennesee Alexander (R) 54% - Clement (D) 46% GOP Hold
Texas Cornyn (R) 51% - Kirk (D) 47% GOP Hold

Total Net Gain (Not Counting Louisiana Runoff) GOP +2

[Thane_Banquo]

RCP missed NH, too. They had it going to Shaheen.

[1Old Pro]

This is perhaps the biggest and most meaningful GOP victory since Reagan....

1) The Supreme Court, need I say more.

2) Bush's federal judgeships will now proceed!

3) The Dems were repudiated in ssuch a sweet way: McCauliffe should resign which lessons the Clintoon influence on the National Dem Party and hopefully sinks Hitlery's future aspirations.

4) One of the best things: Mondale loses proving that dancing on the grave of a dead fellow Deomcrat and having Klintoon smiling and laughing during the memorial is simply too much for the electorate to stomach. Congrats to Minnesota!

5) The best job in the world? I'd say that goes to the person who gets to throw Dashole out of his office and move him and Jeffords into the broom cloest in the basement.

6) Lousenberg?? Sheesh, this geezer is too old to even take Dem orders. He'll spend his time drooling ath the D.C. steakhouses.

7) Saxby Chambliss over Cleland, that's a big one right up there with Sununu winning in N.H.

NOW, Bush and Congress have two years to prove that they deserve this. Someone should tell the future Senate Majority leader that we are not sharing power, we're moving forward with the many things the Dems have stalled.

[Ditter]

I haven't heard anything about the gov's race in California. What happened?

[finnman69]

Davis won.

[bewildered]

Sadly, Davis won.

[bewildered]

Sadly, Davis won.

[skeeter]

The overall GOP trend to the voting last night confirms my suspicions regarding the VNS shutting down its operations early last night.

We can only imagine what would have happened had the networks been forced to show strong republican exit polling early on...

[jmaroneps37]

I've said this before, I'll say it again. zombie does rat psyops polls. He does them to energize rats and raise money and deflate Republicans. He does it very well. Be he lies.
He knew what he was saying was a lie but; the rat media lapped it up like old people's dog food with a picture of Newt in the bottom.
zombie was wrong in each of these senate races: Texas
Minnesota Georgia and very wrong in Colorado.
I think he has discredited himself. Don't you?

[jmaroneps37]

I've said this before, I'll say it again. zombie does rat psyops polls. He does them to energize rats and raise money and deflate Republicans. He does it very well. But he lies.
He knew what he was saying was a lie but; the rat media lapped it up like old people's dog food with a picture of Newt in the bottom.
zombie was wrong in each of these senate races: Texas
Minnesota Georgia and very wrong in Colorado.
I think he has discredited himself. Don't you?

[goodnesswins]

Nah....while the Reagan win was BIG, this is even BIGGER. Not since Eisenhower in 1952 have we seen Republican's with this much power.....but, YES, now we need to use it. Thank GOD we have a President with GRAVITAS!!!!!!!!!! And, who knows what LEADERSHIP IS......hopefully the Senate (leader)will learn something.

[Cicero]

Zogby was always a Democrat operative. He cooked his numbers for their benefit, maybe even had some inside knowledge how much they planned to pack the ballot boxes. Then early in the morning on election day he adjusted his numbers back to where he really thought they would be, so he looked good.

Zogby is also a Muslim. I think that's what finally got the better of him. As a Democrat he was crooked but shrewd. As a Muslim he lost his head, threw caution aside, and went over the top. He not only cooked the numbers, but he issued little pro-Dem prefaces for the media to headline. He couldn't control himself when push came to shove and the terrorists started blowing up infidels for Allah. So he blew his hard-won credibility.

It's exactly what I predicted would happen.

[1Old Pro]

hopefully the Senate (leader)will learn something.

The Senate leader had better get ALL his troops in line. That means the RINO's/moderates etc.

[Constitutional Patriot]

Can you please forward this to Lott? I really hope we are all on the same page here. Our time has come and we need to implement our agenda. This will once and for all dispell the lies of the left that bring fear to the uninformed masses.

[Howlin]

This is the site I used last night......and I also used it in 2000 for the Electoral College votes. So far as I can see, it's one of the most accurate on the web.

[Ol' Sparky]

One could have pulled the predictions on the close races out of a hat and predicted more accurately than Zogby...