AR POLL: US Senate (Tim Hutchinson (R) 43% v Mark Pryor 51% )

katv.com ^ | 11/02/2002 | Arkansas News Bureau/Stephens Media Group

[KQQL]

>

The Spirit of Arkansas      

  Search KATV
  
 news internet

 News

 Weather

 2002 Vote

 Sports

 Around The Home

 ARSN

 7 On Your Side

 Daybreak

 Good Morning Arkansas

 KATV Forums

 Programming

 HealthCheck

 Healthy Baby

 Recipes

 Local Entertainment

 Community Events

 Inside KATV

 Movie Reviews

 JobCenter

 Member Profile

 Classifieds

 Advertise On 7

 Games

 Contact KATV

  Home Page

 

	US Senate

 

Return to index page

If the election for the US Senate were held today, would you vote for...

Tim Hutchinson (R)	Mark Pryor (D)	Undecided
43 %	51 %	6 %

This is the fourth survey conducted by ORA on this race since August. The three previous surveys were conducted for the Arkansas News Bureau/Stephens Media Group:

	August	September	October 1
Hutchinson (R)	41 %	40 %	43 %
Pryor (D)	51 %	50 %	48 %
Undecided	8 %	10 %	9 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied in name recognition. Pryor's favorable rating is higher than Hutchinson's and Pryor also has a lower unfavorable rating than Hutchison:

	Favorable	Mixed	Unfavorable	Don't recognize or can't rate	Total Name Recognition
Hutchinson (R)	52 %	4 %	35 %	9 %	91 %
Pryor (D)	60 %	4 %	29 %	7 %	93 %

Pryor leads Hutchinson in the First, Second and Fourth Congressional Districts, while Hutchinson leads Pryor in the Third District:

	First District	Second District	Third District	Fourth District
Hutchinson (R)	36 %	37 %	58 %	42 %
Pryor (D)	57 %	57 %	36 %	54 %
Undecided	7 %	6 %	6 %	3 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied in the support they receive from their respective parties. Hutchinson furthermore leads among Independents:

	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
Hutchinson (R)	8 %	51 %	85 %
Pryor (D)	86 %	44 %	9 %
Undecided	6 %	6 %	5 %

Pryor leads among voters with a high school education or less while the two are virtually tied among voters with some college education. Hutchinson leads among college graduates:

	Some HS	HS Grad	Some College	College Graduate
Hutchinson (R)	34 %	34 %	48 %	52 %
Pryor (D)	63 %	58 %	47 %	44 %
Undecided	4 %	8 %	6 %	4 %

Pryor leads among voters 35 and older while Hutchinson leads among younger voters:

	18-35	35-44	45-54	55-64	65+
Hutchinson (R)	61 %	38 %	44 %	47 %	37 %
Pryor (D)	34 %	56 %	50 %	52 %	55 %
Undecided	5 %	6 %	7 %	1 %	8 %

Pryor leads among retirees and white collar workers, while Hutchinson leads among white collar voters:

	White Collar	Blue Collar	Retired
Hutchinson (R)	51 %	43 %	39 %
Pryor (D)	45 %	53 %	54 %
Undecided	4 %	4 %	7 %

Pryor leads among voters whose yearly incomes fall below $50,000 per year and Hutchinson leads among voters with incomes $75,000 or more. The two are virtually tied among the $50,000-$75,000 per year income group:

	<$20K	$20-30K	$30-40K	$40-50K	$50-75K	>$75K
Hutchinson (R)	34 %	41 %	44 %	47 %	48 %	56 %
Pryor (D)	60 %	52 %	50 %	51 %	49 %	39 %
Undecided	6 %	8 %	6 %	2 %	3 %	5 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied among whites while Pryor holds a substantial lead among African-Americans:

	White	African American
Hutchinson (R)	47 %	15 %
Pryor (D)	48 %	75 %
Undecided	5 %	9 %

Pryor leads among both men and women:

	Male	Female
Hutchinson (R)	44 %	42 %
Pryor (D)	51 %	51 %
Undecided	5 %	7 %

Methodology
Opinion Research Associates, Inc., of Little Rock, interviewed 500 randomly selected registered voters in Arkansas who said they were planning to vote in the November General Election.
Interviews were conducted by telephone during the evenings of October 23-25, and on Saturday October 26, 2002.
Interviews were conducted statewide and divided equally among the state's four congressional districts, with 125 interviews completed in each district.
The margin of error for a random sample of 500 registered voters = ±4.5 percentage points, at the 95% level of confidence. This means that the 95% of all random samples of this size will produce percentages that can be expected to vary, as a result of random variation, by no more than 4.5 percentage points from the true population parameters.
Percentages calculated on smaller subsamples will have a somewhat larger margin of error depending upon the size of the subsample. For example, the margin of error for each of the congressional districts is approximately ±9 percentage points.
Occasionally percentages may not add up to 100% because of rounding error.

Return to index page

Privacy Policy, Terms of Use

Copyright ©2002 KATV, LLC.   Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form.

Problems, Questions, Comments? Contact the Webmaster
KATV adheres to the ICRA RATING SYSTEM for parental control

[Mo1]

The troll jumped threads.

I don't think our friend here has said a nice thing about the GOP all night .. LOL

[sweetliberty]

"What type of court does Arkansas have? I bet it's filled with RATS"

LOL! Well, I know that the courthouse in Pulaski county is and in Jefferson county where XXX42 will be tomorrow is a Rat stronghold. Mostly blacks. When we were training for counting absentee ballots they told us that the polls are open until 7. Anyone who is ALREADY there at 7 and waiting in line will be allowed to vote. I think this is typical of a lot of places. However, where Arkansas got into trouble in the last election, and it looks like it could possibly be a problem this time around, was in opening the courthouses in selected counties on the weekend. I know it has been said that that isn't going to happen this year, but it already has in one instance that I know of. Saline County opened the courthouse for 4 hours today.

[Admin Moderator]

Quit spamming. thank you.

[DoveTurnedHawk]

Look, I'm just stating the facts: quite a few of Hutchinson's supporters and independents were turned off by Hutchinson's hypocrisy. Don't shoot the messenger.

[DoveTurnedHawk]

Thanks. :-)

[sweetliberty]

"People with integrity also don't post the same response 5 times on one thread."

He has been doing this consistently here and on another thread tonight.

[kcvl]

I'm just stating the facts

Well, I'm still waiting for the FACTS. The messanger should have the FACTS before they deliver the MESSAGE.

[kcvl]

Saline County opened the courthouse for 4 hours today.

That's why I don't trust a thing they tell me! I knew they were going to do this somewhere in Arkansas. They can't win by playing by the rules.

I hope everyone is keeping a check on the places that open for voting before Tuesday. This is another way to cheat. They know all the dirty tricks or make up the rules as they go. They always have and always will until someone stops them!

[kcvl]

Scandal: Postal Exec Caught Using USPS Budget to Unseat GOP Senator [Tim Hutchinson]

Townhall.com ^ | Nov 3, 2002 | Sean Rushton/Mark Carpenter

Washington, D.C.) -- The Council for Citizens Against Government Waste (CCAGW) today reacted with outrage to reports that a U.S. Postal Service (USPS) executive has been forced to resign amidst allegations that she attempted to manipulate postal service resources to punish a candidate for the U.S. Senate who had been critical of the mismanaged government mail system.


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/781269/posts?page=1


Posted on 11/03/2002 0:08 AM PST by The Raven

[DoveTurnedHawk]

It is a fact, which no reasonable person can dispute. "Quite a few" people were turned off by Hutchinson's hypocrisy. I'm not saying 50% or anything quantitative like that, but it's a definite number greater than say, 3-5 people, and it might make the difference in a very close race.

Or perhaps you believe that his divorce from his wife of several decades, followed by a quickie marriage to a much younger woman, somehow is HELPFUL to Hutchinson's campaign?

[Lando Lincoln]

I think your observation about the hypocrisy is merited - people will, more often than not, react emotionally.

However, I see no evidence on this thread or elsewhere that the reaction by the electorate is nothing more than punitive. This frustrates me when there is so much at stake.

[Lando Lincoln]

Wow, the previous reply was #111 at 11:11am - how did I do that?

[Lauratealeaf]

Or perhaps you believe that his divorce from his wife of several decades, followed by a quickie marriage to a much younger woman, somehow is HELPFUL to Hutchinson's campaign?

Good grief. Drop that divorce stuff quick or some are going to think you are not really a hawk after all. Still the little dove cooing the Democrat talking points. Your words are telling on you.

[spectre]

Everyone doesn't think like you..I wish they did. The fact is, that Tim did hurt himself. He is an Ordained Baptist Minister, who held himself up to higher standards than the Clinton's..or us, for that matter.

The facts are hard to take...Tim couldn't get out his Family Values message this time around, so don't be mad at those of us who are putting the blame for his possible loss on right square where it belongs..with Tim.

I am sick about the possibility of Tim losing, and have encouraged my friends and family to get out and VOTE for Tim. But I can't reach out to the undecideds who don't take what Tim did as lightly as we would like.

But the next time someone brings up Bill Clinton and his horney dog ways, just turn a deaf ear or a blind eye to it and say that it's "no big deal"....I don't think soooo..

sw

[spectre]

P.S. OTOH, it would have been extremely hard, under normal circumstances...for Tim to campaign against Mark Pryor, considering Mark's father, David, is an icon in Arkansas with instant name recognition.

sw

[mrtoby]

I lost a lot of credibility by defending Newt Gingrich until I found out about his personal life. All I say now is while I'd love my Republican candidates to have wonderful personal lives, I put them in office because of how they vote. Most of the time the Republicans are better than the Democrats anyway, and I don't look to them for moral guidence. I look to them to save me from terrorists that want to kill us and not tax me to death.

[Lauratealeaf]

I am sick about the possibility of Tim losing, and have encouraged my friends and family to get out and VOTE for Tim. But I can't reach out to the undecideds who don't take what Tim did as lightly as we would like.

Why not appeal to them on the basis of Pryor's ties and lies with that anti-military group. They gave about 68,000 dollars to his campaign I understand and they are going to expect something for their money which will end up being non-support for our military.

Forget the ordained baptist minister stuff. Hutchinson has not been a minister since he entered politics. I believe that the divorce while unfortunate and sad for his family was probably coming for years and years. His wife is happily employed in Washington D.C and of course his children are grown.

But, you know all that and you are supporting Hutchinson which I appreciate. Just appeal to undecided folks on the basis of the danger that Pryor and his ilk pose to the U.S. military and our nations' security.

That is what is worrying me most of all. Bush needs to have the senate on his side as well as the house or he will not be able to accomplish his goal, which is to protect our country. Unbelievable that Pryor is running those dirty ads against Hutchinson.

Unbelievable until you think of the source....dirty dems.

[Lando Lincoln]

"....and I don't look to them for moral guidence...."

I can't go quite that far. Character does matter. But an uncontested divorce followed by remarriage does not warrant the reaction that I am seeing, either. Seems overly punitive and, dare I say, "holier than thou". I guess I am missing something. I hope someone explains the circumstances better.

[DoveTurnedHawk]

Nice, a complete and utter dodge of my point.

I ask again: do you think Hutchinson's divorce and the circumstances surrounding it, especially in light of his strong family values positions, is helpful to him? Or are you willing to display a tiny shred of intellectual honesty yet, and admit that it has hurt him with some small, but quantifiable, portion of his base?

[wharfrat]

Especially a Baptist Minister, sad sorry world we live in; another philandering casualty by someone who should know better!