AR POLL: US Senate (Tim Hutchinson (R) 43% v Mark Pryor 51% )

katv.com ^ | 11/02/2002 | Arkansas News Bureau/Stephens Media Group

[KQQL]

>

The Spirit of Arkansas      

  Search KATV
  
 news internet

 News

 Weather

 2002 Vote

 Sports

 Around The Home

 ARSN

 7 On Your Side

 Daybreak

 Good Morning Arkansas

 KATV Forums

 Programming

 HealthCheck

 Healthy Baby

 Recipes

 Local Entertainment

 Community Events

 Inside KATV

 Movie Reviews

 JobCenter

 Member Profile

 Classifieds

 Advertise On 7

 Games

 Contact KATV

  Home Page

 

	US Senate

 

Return to index page

If the election for the US Senate were held today, would you vote for...

Tim Hutchinson (R)	Mark Pryor (D)	Undecided
43 %	51 %	6 %

This is the fourth survey conducted by ORA on this race since August. The three previous surveys were conducted for the Arkansas News Bureau/Stephens Media Group:

	August	September	October 1
Hutchinson (R)	41 %	40 %	43 %
Pryor (D)	51 %	50 %	48 %
Undecided	8 %	10 %	9 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied in name recognition. Pryor's favorable rating is higher than Hutchinson's and Pryor also has a lower unfavorable rating than Hutchison:

	Favorable	Mixed	Unfavorable	Don't recognize or can't rate	Total Name Recognition
Hutchinson (R)	52 %	4 %	35 %	9 %	91 %
Pryor (D)	60 %	4 %	29 %	7 %	93 %

Pryor leads Hutchinson in the First, Second and Fourth Congressional Districts, while Hutchinson leads Pryor in the Third District:

	First District	Second District	Third District	Fourth District
Hutchinson (R)	36 %	37 %	58 %	42 %
Pryor (D)	57 %	57 %	36 %	54 %
Undecided	7 %	6 %	6 %	3 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied in the support they receive from their respective parties. Hutchinson furthermore leads among Independents:

	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
Hutchinson (R)	8 %	51 %	85 %
Pryor (D)	86 %	44 %	9 %
Undecided	6 %	6 %	5 %

Pryor leads among voters with a high school education or less while the two are virtually tied among voters with some college education. Hutchinson leads among college graduates:

	Some HS	HS Grad	Some College	College Graduate
Hutchinson (R)	34 %	34 %	48 %	52 %
Pryor (D)	63 %	58 %	47 %	44 %
Undecided	4 %	8 %	6 %	4 %

Pryor leads among voters 35 and older while Hutchinson leads among younger voters:

	18-35	35-44	45-54	55-64	65+
Hutchinson (R)	61 %	38 %	44 %	47 %	37 %
Pryor (D)	34 %	56 %	50 %	52 %	55 %
Undecided	5 %	6 %	7 %	1 %	8 %

Pryor leads among retirees and white collar workers, while Hutchinson leads among white collar voters:

	White Collar	Blue Collar	Retired
Hutchinson (R)	51 %	43 %	39 %
Pryor (D)	45 %	53 %	54 %
Undecided	4 %	4 %	7 %

Pryor leads among voters whose yearly incomes fall below $50,000 per year and Hutchinson leads among voters with incomes $75,000 or more. The two are virtually tied among the $50,000-$75,000 per year income group:

	<$20K	$20-30K	$30-40K	$40-50K	$50-75K	>$75K
Hutchinson (R)	34 %	41 %	44 %	47 %	48 %	56 %
Pryor (D)	60 %	52 %	50 %	51 %	49 %	39 %
Undecided	6 %	8 %	6 %	2 %	3 %	5 %

Hutchinson and Pryor are virtually tied among whites while Pryor holds a substantial lead among African-Americans:

	White	African American
Hutchinson (R)	47 %	15 %
Pryor (D)	48 %	75 %
Undecided	5 %	9 %

Pryor leads among both men and women:

	Male	Female
Hutchinson (R)	44 %	42 %
Pryor (D)	51 %	51 %
Undecided	5 %	7 %

Methodology
Opinion Research Associates, Inc., of Little Rock, interviewed 500 randomly selected registered voters in Arkansas who said they were planning to vote in the November General Election.
Interviews were conducted by telephone during the evenings of October 23-25, and on Saturday October 26, 2002.
Interviews were conducted statewide and divided equally among the state's four congressional districts, with 125 interviews completed in each district.
The margin of error for a random sample of 500 registered voters = ±4.5 percentage points, at the 95% level of confidence. This means that the 95% of all random samples of this size will produce percentages that can be expected to vary, as a result of random variation, by no more than 4.5 percentage points from the true population parameters.
Percentages calculated on smaller subsamples will have a somewhat larger margin of error depending upon the size of the subsample. For example, the margin of error for each of the congressional districts is approximately ±9 percentage points.
Occasionally percentages may not add up to 100% because of rounding error.

Return to index page

Privacy Policy, Terms of Use

Copyright ©2002 KATV, LLC.   Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form.

Problems, Questions, Comments? Contact the Webmaster
KATV adheres to the ICRA RATING SYSTEM for parental control

[The Wizard]

don't believe it....

[Interesting Times]

Opinion Research Associates, Inc., of Little Rock, interviewed 500 randomly selected registered voters in Arkansas who said they were planning to vote in the November General Election.

"Registered" voters. Not "likely" voters.

Next...

[KQQL]

Oh well..

[Tennessean4Bush]

Crap! So much for the 47-40 edge nationally, eh?

[KQQL]

Let's see what ZOGBy comes with in AR poll...

[Ciexyz]

I'm not an Arkansas resident but I see that Pryor leads in groups of which I'm part of: female, over 35, making under $50,000/yr.

[ambrose]

Yup, I'll wait for some confirmation from a more reputable poll... but I think Hutchinson is toast in any event.

[churchillbuff]

Looks like the promise-breaker's getting his comeuppance. Why did he have to run again after dumping his wife? Why couldn't he step aside and let someone without baggage be the nominee? BECAUSE HE'S SELFISH AND SELF-CENTERED! (Just ask the wife he dumped). Don't tell me that the way somebody behaves toward their wife and family doesn't say something about how they'll behave in the political realm. CHARACTER COUNTS. If he would put selfishness ahead of his vows to his wife, why WOULDN'T he put selfishness ahead of the interests of the Republican PArty?

[luv2ndamend]

Percentages calculated on smaller subsamples will have a somewhat larger margin of error depending upon the size of the subsample. For example, the margin of error for each of the congressional districts is approximately ±9 percentage points.

Is this normal?

[Lando Lincoln]

I wish it were true. This one would sting our ex-Purjurer-in-Chief.

[Leto]

The newpaper/pollster is owned by Stephen's in AK aren't they allies of the Clinton's?

What is their track record?

[Recovering_Democrat]

Arkansas, don't give up: don't let the 'rats win.

[Professional]

9% surveyed don't know who Hutch is? But only 7% don't know who Pryor is? Bad sample, too small a sample,...

[Tennessean4Bush]

You are reaching. Hutchinson is toast.

[comebacknewt]

Terrible news. This one will take a miracle if it's not gone already.

Why couldn't Hutchinson keep his pants on?!?

[churchillbuff]

DUMP YOUR WIFE, LOSE AN ELECTION.

[churchillbuff]

Why couldn't Hutchinson keep his pants on?!?

Or, why couldn't he choose not to run this year, after creating a personal scandal for himself? There would have been other, stronger GOP candidates, but this selfish lout insisted on having his cake and eating it too.

[BlackRazor]

Poll Ping!

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

[Guillermo]

Don't be an idiot.