Posted on 10/27/2002 8:23:31 AM PST by vannrox
Edited on 04/13/2004 2:08:28 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
The Democrats will do well, particularly in gubernatorial contests unaffected by talk Of War, but they may not claim the Majority toward which they have been Moving, by fits and starts, since 1996. It won't be long, however Before the decade is over, the Democrats Will complete this journey, and the country will move from conservative Republican majority to a progressive Democratic one.
(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...
And higher education too.
Yes, they do and with some reason. From my experience, most (if not the vast majority) of tech workers are down on Bush for abortion rights, stomping on stem cell research, his supposed inability to speak publicly, foot dragging on gun control (hatred of rednecks is very common), etc. Of course, this could well be a local thing.
Also, tech workers do not have to vote Democrat to provide a boost to the Democrats. Once these tech workers have moved into an ideopolis, they have boosted the population in the area resulting in increased representation for the area. If they are too few to change the vote balance, they have just increased the number of representatives needed, but without changing the party affiliation. Also, the area where they came from has lost a Republican voter.
Affluent areas on the coasts swung towards Clinton and Gore. So did outlying cities and university towns in the Middle West with the same make-up. And "verbalizers" or "symbol manipulators" have shown a preference for Democrats. But I don't think it represents technologists swinging to the Democrats. It's rather the affluent decadence that accompanied the late 90s boom. In other words, it was the apparent prosperity of the time and all of the perks and privileges that high-flying dot.coms and start-ups were getting that swung the vote strongly Gore's way. When you understand that every tech worker or manager or director may be married to a Democrat or spend his or her wad on the decadent pleasures of a high flying era, you can see how politics in New Hampshire or Northern Virginia (already full of Government workers) or Silicon Valley may have changed.
A Democrat who can win over these people may win elections (though he'll lose votes in key industrial or mining states like KY, PA, WV or OH). But not every Democrat will be able to do so.
The old industrial and new high tech economies have different ways of thinking of society and the individual. So they'll swing different ways -- so long as old economy districts remain industrial. When welfare becomes the main industry, they may change their votes and a new alignment may occur. But it's by no means clear that high tech is tied to liberals and democrats or that high tech will always be a high flyer. Basically, in 2000, they were getting all they wanted and weren't under pressure or threatened by government, so they felt free to vote for the incumbent Democrats who courted them. That won't always be the case.
I think it's very telling that the very first words of this article start in on a little Democrat historical revisionism. The economy slowed in the summer of 2000, when their man was still in the White House. This summer, the economy was recovering (albeit with less than hoped-for vigor).
There's a lot of wishful thinking here, by a somewhat idealistic leftist idiot who at least knows how to lie with statistics. He's taken something that is happening -- migrations associated with the move toward a more knowledge-based economy -- and tried to turn it into a wet dream for Democrats. As an exercise in polemic, it's somewhat clever, but if the author believes it himself he's dumber than a rock. If you take a compass, and put the pin in the center of any inner city full of core Democrat voters, and then adjust the compass to draw a circle around the largest area in which you will still find a Democratic majority, you will have his "ideopolis." All this guy has done is draw some circles around different cities than a guy from Boston is used to hearing about. "Houston" didn't used to be on the radar if you were from Boston... real cities were places like Pittsburg and Philadelphia. When Phoenix got an NFL team, he probably went into shock. That people might be moving to places like this probably came as a revelation to him, which is why he thinks he's discovered something new. The hidden assumption in this guy's "Ideopolii" is that Democrats can move from one city to another, without reducing the number of Democrats left behind. In his formulation, the "growing areas" get all these new Democrats from the Fourth Dimension. None of them ever leave where they are; new ones just show up someplace else. Soon the entire country will be covered with Democrats. It is true that 2+2=5, for sufficiently large values of 2. However, no one has ever actually seen this happen in the real world. Boston may be home to MIT, but I suspect this guy didn't go there. Someone who can add and subtract would have noticed that every time an aging hippy moves from Minneapolis to Boulder, Colorado gains a liberal voter. But Minnesota loses one. |
But if Minnesota has a surplus of liberals, then the loss of one makes no difference there, but makes Boulder more liberal.
For example, Delaware used to be a swing state with quite a few Republicans (such as Roth of Roth IRA fame). But we got a migration of banks from New York and thanks to this migration, this place is now rather solidly Democrat.
Unfortunately, the issues are whatever the Democrats and their media lapdogs say they are. You'll note that the issues that are of concern to we conservatives rarely come to the attention of the national media, except when they offer opportunities for excoriation and derision.
Yeah, I would expect that level of analysis from a smug liberal idiot. How does he explain the fact that in 2000, Gore won voters with no high school diploma and those with post-graduate degrees, but Bush won among high school graduates, those who attended college, and those who graduated college. Where does he think the big numbers are?
Herein lies the root of the problem. Conservatives are aging and dying off; we're not replacing ourselves as fast as the paid breeding classes can produce new little dim-witted government dependents. Worse, we can't even educate our own children in our traditions and values, without a daily battle against the liberal indoctrination that's called public education.
Demographics is destiny, and unfortunately, our destiny looks pretty grim.
The Republican establishment is importing their demise by the sheer numbers coming in. Try telling them that though, even if they know it's true they act as if they don't want to hear it.
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