Well, it finally happened: McBride leads 49-45%

RealClearPolitics.com ^ | 10/23/02

[winin2000]

My heart sank when I saw this one, but one word of caution: my guess is this poll is an outlier because 1) I've never heard of this polling unit, and 2)it has a very high margin of error at 6%.

Maybe I'm engaging in wishful thinking but I just don't see any fundamental weakness on Jeb's part, only ultra high intensity among partisan Democrats. If this race is won, it will be on turnout, not anti-Bush sentiment.

[copycat]

Poll seems suspect. It is off by at least 7 points from every other poll out there.

No mention of whether it polls likely or registered voters...could even be an internet poll.

[The G Man]

"But based on the newest poll conducted for the Internet news service InsiderAdvantage by the Marketing Workshop,"

Next!

[Oldeconomybuyer]

The InsiderAdvantage poll was done by THESE folks...

[SamAdams76]

The socialists are energized and they are going to get to the polls next month with all the dead relatives, homeless bums, MTV viewers, peaceniks and mentally retarded people they can find.

That is why it is so important that WE get to the polls. Now is not the time to sit the election out because you are bummed that the Repubican candidate aren't in 100% lockstep agreement with you. Now is not the time to vote Libertarian or for some other fringe candidate that has no chance of winning. A non-GOP vote is a vote for socialism.

[Republican Red]

This company is too funny. They state on their web site the following:

"The true value of marketing research is not in the reporting of numbers or in the use of analytical techniques. The real value of marketing research is in how the numbers are interpreted.."

I wouldn't worry about this poll.

[Oldeconomybuyer]

I surfed their website and they appear to be a rinky-dinky "marketing" outfit perfectly suited to conduct biased polling for a rinky-dinky internet "news" site.

[T. Jefferson]

I remember when the polls had Mondale winning over Reagan
2 weeks before the election. Reagan won 48 of 50 states.

[zanarchist]

Insider Advan. 10/14/10-19 45% 49% Dem +4
Mason-Dixon 10/17/10-20 49% 44% GOP +5
The these polls were taken at the same time. In fact the Mason-Dixon is really newer. I trust the Mason-Dixon one.
They have a good record. Insider I have never heard of.

[Deep_6]

I always considered myself an "Independent", since there
are "bad" Republicans just as there are "BAD" democraps.
[note: there are more bad democraps]

If Jeb Bush loses down here in Florida, it'll be due to his
record, and nothing else:

This provides some interesting links: Google

An example:
The Florida legislature passed HB 775, which states that if a plane crashes in Florida and if the plane is over 20 years old, there can be no lawsuits against the manufacturer. It also appears that if a Florida resident is in a plane crash anywhere, and the plane is over 20 years old, the manufacturers have no product liability.

NADA participated in a press conference and publicly asked Gov. Jeb Bush not to sign the bill. After the May 26th press conference, NADA family members went to Gov. Bush's office, and while the TV cameras were rolling Bush refused to meet with our family members whose loved ones had been killed in air crashes, and signed the bill that day

 

So shall ye sow; so shall ye reap.....

[McGruff]

Don't be such a pessimist.

Florida                                                                     Toss Up
Poll	Date	Bush (R)	McBride (D)	Spread
Insider Advantage	10/14/10-19	45%	49%	Dem +4
Mason-Dixon	10/17/10-20	49%	44%	GOP +5
McLaughlin (R)	10/16-10/17	49%	41%	GOP +8
Garin Hart Yang (D)	10/13-10/14	47%	47%	TIE
Zogby	10/9-10/11	48%	45%	GOP +3
SurveyUSA	10/8-10/10	50%	47%	GOP +3
Insider Advantage	10/2-10/5	47%	42%	GOP +5
	Average	47.9%	45.0%	GOP +2.9

After the last couple of polls seemed to indicate McBride might have peaked, a new IA poll has him out in front for the first time. However, by most accounts Bush won the debate last night which should translate to at least a slight bump in support. Either way, this one is going to be a squeaker.

[Dave S]

The true value of marketing research is not in the reporting of numbers or in the use of analytical techniques. The real value of marketing research is in how the numbers are interpreted.."

That is true. Numbers in and of themselves are not that importance. What is important is their proper interpretation so Management takes the proper action. You dont want to overlook an opportunity just because you look at the numbers incorrectly. This statement from their website has NOTHING to do with SPIN or POLITICAL polling.

[The Wizard]

this is BS and should be pulled

[The Wizard]

Do FR A Favor and don't bump this lying thread

[The G Man]

The Florida legislature passed HB 775, which states that if a plane crashes in Florida and if the plane is over 20 years old, there can be no lawsuits against the manufacturer .... After the May 26th press conference, NADA family members went to Gov. Bush's office, and while the TV cameras were rolling Bush refused to meet with our family members whose loved ones had been killed in air crashes, and signed the bill that day"

Yeah, so what?

[wjcsux]

Dead voters were counted in this poll, too. They always vote RAT.

[vollmond]

One thing that never gets mentioned (or noticed) in these polls is the confidence factor. When they say that the Margin of Error is plus or minus 4%, they are saying that they are 95% sure that the polling method used has a MoE of 4%. Occasionally, a poll will pop up with wild results - there was a poll in the Clinton-Dole election near the end where support swung solidly to Dole. It was obviously one of the wild results.

[Guillermo]

49

[Guillermo]

Very close.

GOP'ers are going to have to get out and vote.

Act like you're 10 points down.

[varon]

Well, it finally happened: McBride leads 49-45%

Not surprising since the people polled were those requesting absentee ballots residing in Mexico and several other South American countries ;-)